Plastic-Paddock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$95

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$929

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-26

last 06-06 06:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

88% 25% -$146

Politics

11% 100% +$64

Crypto

1% 0% -$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	2	$360	201	201	+0	Yes	+$40	06-01 16:30
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	4	$318	466	466	+0	No	-$167	06-03 07:48
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	4	$127	115	115	+0	Yes	-$15	06-03 15:10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	1	$100	164	0	+164	No	+$64	05-26 13:30
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	2	$10	13	13	+0	No	-$4	06-06 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$6	10	10	+0	Down	-$4	05-26 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	-$5	05-26 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$2	17	0	+17	Down	-$2	05-26 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Up	-$1	06-01 16:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 06:01:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0xc6e103…
06-03 15:11:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x20d944…
06-03 15:10:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x650952…
06-03 07:49:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xe11901…
06-03 07:48:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	8¢	$8	0xf5a5e9…
06-03 04:28:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	51¢	$46	0x6d828b…
06-03 04:21:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	45¢	$48	0x04c7d5…
06-02 14:22:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	60¢	$64	0x724e0f…
06-02 14:21:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	376	18¢	$68	0x12c66f…
06-01 17:50:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	376	52¢	$197	0x70046b…
06-01 16:30:06	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	100¢	$200	0xb0a0a5…
06-01 16:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x90bfc4…
06-01 08:16:17	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	80¢	$160	0x170726…
05-26 17:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x636029…
05-26 17:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x509134…
05-26 17:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xdf1ae9…
05-26 13:30:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x9ef8ed…
05-26 13:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xac6557…
05-26 13:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa55134…