Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

1,517

Trades

1,592

lifetime

Volume

$6.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$112

6 positions

First seen

2026-06-26

last 10-28 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 67% +$44

Other

5% 0% -$6

Sports

3% 0% -$19

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	+72	$31	91¢	$66	+$35	10-15 01:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	+30	$20	69¢	$21	+$1	10-22 15:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+30	$10	31¢	$9	-$1	10-19 17:34
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+26	$10	34¢	$9	-$1	10-18 17:13
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	+78	$42	9¢	$7	-$35	10-15 03:03
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	+0	$0	44¢	$0	+$0	10-22 14:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	15	$93	174	23	+150	open	—	10-15 03:03
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	8	$79	143	143	+0	No	-$19	10-13 15:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	7	$70	92	31	+61	open	—	10-22 15:53
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	10-21 01:55
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	10-20 22:52
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% by June 30, 2027?	2	$24	20	18	+2	open	—	10-23 11:09
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	4	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	10-23 13:14
Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	4	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	10-21 18:22
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	2	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	10-22 09:18
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	2	$20	22	22	+0	open	—	10-22 14:08
Will Trump's approval rating hit 39% by June 30, 2027?	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	10-21 03:11
Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above $2.5B?	2	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	10-21 02:00
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?	2	$18	24	24	+0	open	—	10-28 13:20
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by December 31?	2	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	10-21 03:52
Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% by June 30, 2027?	2	$16	20	19	+1	open	—	10-21 07:35
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 20:30 UTC	1	$16	28	0	+28	Down	-$16	06-27 20:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 10:15 UTC	1	$16	26	0	+26	Down	-$16	06-27 10:25
will a 1m dota 2 team disband before 2027	2	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	10-20 22:10
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 21:15 UTC	1	$14	27	0	+27	Up	-$14	06-27 21:25
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	3	$14	25	24	+0	Yes	-$6	10-28 12:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 20:30 UTC	1	$14	21	0	+21	Down	-$14	06-27 20:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 09:45 UTC	1	$14	20	0	+20	Up	+$6	06-27 09:55
Will Cristiano Ronaldo join the Saudi Pro League next?	1	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	10-21 02:34
Will Team Spirit make a Dota 2 roster change before 2027?	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	10-21 00:32
Will Natus Vincere make a Dota 2 roster change before 2027?	2	$12	20	7	+13	open	—	10-23 05:11
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?	1	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	10-21 01:30
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 09:45 UTC	1	$11	14	0	+14	Up	+$3	06-27 09:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 10:00 UTC	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$3	06-27 10:10
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 10:00 UTC	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	06-27 10:10
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	10-18 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:47:08	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xf97b52…
10-28 13:20:14	Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	SELL	24	35¢	$8	0xaaaac8…
10-28 12:35:28	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	No	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0xea714e…
10-28 12:14:50	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	No	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x2d248f…
10-27 21:17:38	Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x200ad0…
10-23 13:14:12	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x0c62e9…
10-23 11:09:36	Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	18	64¢	$12	0x8d7b2a…
10-23 05:11:54	Will Natus Vincere make a Dota 2 roster change before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x2bc3ae…
10-22 15:53:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0x827aa5…
10-22 14:08:08	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0x40a6b2…
10-22 09:18:09	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	No	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0xb0f10a…
10-22 02:11:08	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$1	0x5563c0…
10-21 18:22:56	Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Yes	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x7f5cfc…
10-21 18:22:41	Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Yes	SELL	1	52¢	$0	0x78f479…
10-21 18:22:39	Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Yes	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0xede627…
10-21 14:33:50	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x8e26f7…
10-21 14:23:30	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xa3e1a0…
10-21 08:24:56	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x15b12f…
10-21 07:54:27	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x8963d9…
10-21 07:35:18	Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0x8909d4…
10-21 04:52:27	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xf953a3…
10-21 03:52:54	Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x372e01…
10-21 03:18:36	Will PPI YoY be 6.0% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xed5a73…
10-21 03:17:41	Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x0ecadc…
10-21 03:11:05	Will Trump's approval rating hit 39% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xd312ef…
10-21 02:34:29	Will Cristiano Ronaldo join the Saudi Pro League next?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xa87024…
10-21 02:23:32	Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xe88f2c…
10-21 02:12:56	Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x81b4f7…
10-21 02:12:56	Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x219fb1…
10-21 02:04:54	Will Trump's approval rating hit 39% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xb2a1e0…
10-21 02:00:51	Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above $2.5B?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x66aa6d…
10-21 02:00:29	Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above $2.5B?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xbf3abe…
10-21 01:55:08	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xaebd6d…
10-21 01:30:26	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x1c563d…
10-21 01:19:53	Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x323370…
10-21 00:32:51	Will Team Spirit make a Dota 2 roster change before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x5e1bff…
10-21 00:16:39	Will Natus Vincere make a Dota 2 roster change before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x665772…
10-20 23:45:08	next astra model 6pt1 released by december 15 2026	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x4bba81…
10-20 23:16:30	Will Xtreme Gaming make a Dota 2 roster change before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xec509d…
10-20 22:52:33	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xc4c7e8…
10-20 22:32:27	Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6f4489…
10-20 22:20:54	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x1967ca…
10-20 22:10:30	will a 1m dota 2 team disband before 2027	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x836196…
10-20 22:10:24	will a 1m dota 2 team disband before 2027	No	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xc82232…
10-20 12:03:15	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x837d1c…
10-20 11:35:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xf4e525…
10-20 11:27:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x61c7a3…
10-19 17:37:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x871e04…
10-19 17:34:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc0b149…
10-19 14:34:29	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x253272…
10-18 17:13:08	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x9d513d…
10-18 06:30:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0xf1cf65…
10-17 04:26:40	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x4e2da5…
10-17 04:10:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x3a5d43…
10-15 03:03:47	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x53e56d…
10-15 02:17:02	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x0c67c6…
10-15 02:03:47	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x298bfb…
10-15 01:57:20	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xcaf572…
10-15 01:57:20	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x810ebc…
10-15 01:57:20	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x1f7ee1…
10-15 01:51:55	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x53bbbc…
10-15 01:49:17	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x5ae275…
10-15 01:49:08	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf16f31…
10-15 00:22:16	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x3bb855…
10-15 00:20:28	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa6769e…
10-15 00:11:43	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9e1a6b…
10-14 08:49:10	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0x3545c0…
10-14 00:08:25	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x483487…
10-14 00:08:25	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x344a20…
10-13 15:23:47	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	143	21¢	$30	0x21ed58…
10-12 22:32:11	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x9bdfed…
10-12 22:30:39	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xa6cf1a…
10-12 22:29:27	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xdbf35c…
10-12 22:29:02	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xaf84e7…
10-12 22:25:12	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x4f238b…
10-12 22:19:08	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x05f2f9…
10-12 22:19:03	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x1a2891…
09-27 08:25:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x4892b2…
09-27 08:10:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x483fd1…
09-27 08:10:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x5795c8…
09-27 03:55:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x3783c7…
09-27 03:10:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7f17c9…
09-27 03:10:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x1dbcdf…
09-26 21:58:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xaa13fb…
09-26 20:11:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xb6014f…
09-26 18:40:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x4d9295…
09-26 15:41:53	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x9cd8c3…
09-26 15:25:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x514df9…
09-26 15:25:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x1b7a62…
09-26 13:10:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x31b58b…
09-26 13:10:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x761e25…
09-26 11:55:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x054dff…
09-26 11:41:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x90eb41…
09-26 11:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x0b9b4b…
09-26 08:27:35	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xc195fe…
09-26 08:26:41	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x973e0b…
09-26 08:25:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x317a5a…
09-26 03:55:17	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x6a050f…
09-26 00:55:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x8ce427…
09-26 00:55:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x383e31…