Offbeat-Pickax — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$80

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,137

lifetime

Volume

$35.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-10 14:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

95% 63% $-80

Crypto

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?	19	$929	590	670	-80	open	—	06-01 10:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$570	300	300	+0	open	—	04-18 01:50
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 19?	11	$407	383	383	+0	open	—	05-19 14:05
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 13?	8	$366	360	310	+50	Down	$-2	05-13 13:07
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	8	$364	484	232	+252	open	—	04-07 13:24
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$361	199	199	+0	open	—	04-26 02:43
aapl up or down on july 20 2026	8	$348	449	349	+100	open	—	07-20 19:54
aapl up or down on june 15 2026	8	$344	320	340	-20	open	—	06-15 13:37
highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 22c	10	$335	210	210	+0	open	—	04-02 07:20
ng up or down on june 8 2026	18	$332	313	313	+0	open	—	06-08 07:30
ng up or down on june 4 2026	9	$328	300	300	+0	open	—	06-04 13:47
spy closes above 725 on june 11 2026	7	$295	190	190	+0	open	—	06-11 11:57
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 18?	5	$284	205	205	+0	open	—	05-18 10:37
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	3	$281	312	0	+312	open	—	03-17 12:57
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	9	$281	200	198	+2	open	—	04-21 07:21
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 20?	7	$267	299	299	+0	open	—	05-20 11:18
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 8?	7	$258	260	260	+0	Up	+$10	05-08 05:01
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 19?	8	$246	253	253	+0	open	—	05-19 07:57
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	6	$243	300	300	+0	open	—	04-16 18:36
msft up or down on june 22 2026	7	$237	225	225	+0	open	—	06-22 10:49
nflx up or down on april 8 2026	4	$228	100	160	-60	open	—	04-08 08:29
fda approves camurus oclaiz 06 10 2026	6	$220	200	200	+0	open	—	06-09 14:04
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 21?	5	$219	200	200	+0	open	—	05-21 13:40
lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	9	$218	185	174	+11	open	—	03-16 16:49
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 7?	5	$215	200	200	+0	Up	+$5	05-07 07:44
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 13?	6	$214	206	206	+0	Up	+$16	05-13 12:38
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 8?	3	$200	200	200	+0	Down	+$12	05-08 01:45
ng up or down on june 10 2026	14	$200	200	200	+0	open	—	06-10 07:21
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 13?	3	$199	200	200	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 03:30
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 8?	4	$194	200	200	+0	Up	+$6	05-08 07:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:02:33	nflx up or down on august 10 2026	Up	SELL	46	43¢	$20	0xa9bf8c…
08-10 13:00:01	nflx up or down on august 10 2026	Up	SELL	46	46¢	$21	0xaa7fa0…
08-10 11:22:51	nflx up or down on august 10 2026	Up	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0xa06881…
08-10 10:39:13	aapl up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x392907…
08-10 10:22:00	aapl up or down on august 10 2026	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x5b3d8a…
08-10 10:21:13	aapl up or down on august 10 2026	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x82debe…
08-10 09:12:37	aapl up or down on august 10 2026	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x40374b…
08-10 09:12:34	aapl up or down on august 10 2026	Up	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0xe7e26c…
08-10 09:06:00	aapl up or down on august 10 2026	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xc838b7…
08-10 08:14:36	amzn up or down on august 10 2026	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x7b92e1…
08-10 08:08:37	amzn up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x08c9f2…
08-10 08:01:36	nflx up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x4b12db…
08-10 08:01:18	aapl up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xc0b8f3…
08-08 16:21:27	hok agal ksg 2026 08 08	AG.AL	BUY	33	32¢	$11	0xbf4dd8…
08-08 16:21:21	hok agal ksg 2026 08 08	AG.AL	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x30337c…
08-08 16:21:07	hok agal ksg 2026 08 08	AG.AL	BUY	14	32¢	$5	0x0b3cb0…
08-08 15:57:34	hok agal ksg 2026 08 08	AG.AL	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xe0acd2…
08-08 15:17:03	hok agal ksg 2026 08 08	Kuaishou Gaming	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x54a9ff…
08-08 15:09:12	hok agal ksg 2026 08 08	Kuaishou Gaming	BUY	48	20¢	$10	0x0e81ee…
08-08 14:30:10	hok agal ksg 2026 08 08	AG.AL	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x192c5e…
08-06 11:20:29	nvda up or down on august 6 2026	Up	SELL	70	55¢	$38	0x902d21…
08-06 06:18:23	nvda up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	70	54¢	$38	0xa44ca2…
08-05 14:07:18	tsla up or down on august 5 2026	Up	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0x8a174a…
08-05 10:13:00	amzn up or down on august 5 2026	Up	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xfaa06d…
08-05 08:26:38	amzn up or down on august 5 2026	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xcf829c…
08-05 08:26:02	amzn up or down on august 5 2026	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x3c9a77…
08-05 08:25:48	aapl up or down on august 5 2026	Up	SELL	39	64¢	$25	0x75a23d…
08-05 08:22:15	tsla up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xca3b33…
08-05 08:18:48	amzn up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xa01cef…
08-05 08:18:48	amzn up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	90	55¢	$50	0x1066ea…
08-05 08:12:20	aapl up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x5a1225…
08-05 08:12:09	aapl up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$12	0x444125…
08-05 08:05:45	amzn up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x433fb2…
08-05 08:01:32	tsla up or down on august 5 2026	Up	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x7c1484…
08-05 08:01:30	tsla up or down on august 5 2026	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xe3d180…
08-05 08:01:30	tsla up or down on august 5 2026	Up	SELL	56	48¢	$27	0x9ed331…
08-05 07:16:30	tsla up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xa2433d…
08-05 07:16:08	tsla up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	29	47¢	$14	0x137341…
08-04 17:17:56	googl up or down on august 4 2026	Up	SELL	46	90¢	$42	0x6c1c53…
08-04 17:17:11	googl up or down on august 4 2026	Up	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0x75eacd…
08-04 16:02:41	googl up or down on august 4 2026	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xa31d9a…
08-04 14:21:17	aapl up or down on august 4 2026	Up	SELL	48	83¢	$40	0x75829d…
08-04 14:18:50	aapl up or down on august 4 2026	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x11acad…
08-04 13:53:17	googl up or down on august 4 2026	Up	SELL	80	51¢	$41	0x8e4fdd…
08-04 13:24:42	aapl up or down on august 4 2026	Up	SELL	48	42¢	$20	0x498417…
08-04 13:20:56	ng up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	65	4¢	$3	0xcbd22b…
08-04 13:15:42	aapl up or down on august 4 2026	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x55b745…
08-04 13:11:06	ng up or down on august 4 2026	Up	SELL	140	6¢	$8	0x5525a9…
08-04 11:46:21	ng up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0x06e321…
08-04 08:01:51	googl up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0xb831b6…
08-04 08:01:51	googl up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x4ab44f…
08-04 08:01:50	googl up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	37	37¢	$14	0x313323…
08-04 06:57:35	ng up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x2e8ee3…
08-04 06:19:14	aapl up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x50ea1a…
08-04 06:18:30	aapl up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	95	60¢	$57	0xc8798d…
08-04 04:39:59	googl up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xbfe40a…
08-03 12:35:56	ng up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0xbec1aa…
08-03 10:24:03	amzn up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x2aa6e7…
08-03 09:27:59	googl up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0xb36cb6…
08-03 08:26:26	msft up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	98	69¢	$68	0x8062d4…
08-03 08:26:21	msft up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xade994…
08-03 08:03:20	googl up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xc5135b…
08-03 08:01:02	googl up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x602205…
08-03 08:00:59	googl up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x39bddc…
08-03 08:00:54	googl up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x116c92…
08-03 06:22:54	msft up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x8aaa5f…
08-03 05:43:50	amzn up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x13ec8c…
08-03 05:43:48	amzn up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0xb5338c…
08-03 05:43:47	amzn up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x4981e6…
08-03 05:43:47	amzn up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x38532c…
08-03 05:43:45	amzn up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x7cff8c…
08-03 03:48:50	ng up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xd55bf1…
07-31 14:22:23	hok wol wb 2026 07 31	Wolves	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0x4b13f7…
07-31 13:36:12	hok wol wb 2026 07 31	Weibo Gaming	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0xcf5d8f…
07-31 12:36:57	hok wol wb 2026 07 31	Weibo Gaming	BUY	41	34¢	$14	0x7bfa22…
07-31 12:15:20	hok wol wb 2026 07 31	Weibo Gaming	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x344a6b…
07-31 11:18:44	msft up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	32	42¢	$14	0x947c67…
07-31 11:18:20	msft up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x66c5c6…
07-31 11:18:18	msft up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x9151b4…
07-31 11:18:18	msft up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x1bfff0…
07-31 11:15:53	msft up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xd57187…
07-31 11:13:44	msft up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x731057…
07-31 11:13:02	msft up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xecdfea…
07-31 11:11:24	msft up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xab0e03…
07-31 11:09:05	msft up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x9bfdac…
07-31 11:09:05	msft up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$1	0x3a148b…
07-31 11:08:36	msft up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xabcee3…
07-31 10:00:23	msft up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0xf2d32f…
07-31 09:47:11	hok tesa ttg 2026 07 31	Talent Gaming	BUY	68	90¢	$61	0x63f0ba…
07-31 09:47:00	ng up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x9b65ef…
07-31 09:36:51	hok tesa ttg 2026 07 31	Talent Gaming	BUY	61	89¢	$55	0x356983…
07-31 09:24:39	msft up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0x9fd071…
07-31 09:24:29	msft up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0x58496a…
07-31 09:00:53	aapl up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xe02a20…
07-31 08:00:59	msft up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	51	42¢	$21	0xb6a1ea…
07-31 08:00:57	msft up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	49	42¢	$21	0xbbd9fe…
07-31 07:15:26	ng up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x1a0377…
07-31 07:10:30	aapl up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x76d484…
07-31 06:51:27	hok lgd rw 2026 07 31	Rogue Warriors	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xe36303…
07-31 06:50:38	hok lgd rw 2026 07 31	Rogue Warriors	BUY	89	20¢	$18	0x1bf733…