Lighthearted-Marksman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

Trades

527

lifetime

Volume

$2.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 05-14 19:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	15	$48	43	42	+1	Down	$-0	05-10 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	13	$44	30	30	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	18	$40	55	53	+2	Up	$-2	05-10 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	8	$36	32	31	+1	Down	+$1	05-10 20:42
btc updown 5m 1776039900	6	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	04-13 00:28
btc updown 5m 1775465100	6	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	04-06 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	11	$33	52	41	+10	Down	$-2	05-10 20:46
btc updown 5m 1775434200	7	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	04-06 00:13
btc updown 5m 1775434800	6	$31	18	18	+0	open	—	04-06 00:22
btc updown 5m 1775476500	6	$31	18	16	+2	open	—	04-06 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	7	$27	24	23	+1	Up	+$1	05-10 20:27
btc updown 5m 1774845600	5	$27	18	12	+6	open	—	03-30 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	9	$26	33	31	+1	Up	$-0	05-10 20:23
btc updown 5m 1775243400	6	$26	18	18	+0	open	—	04-03 19:14
eth updown 5m 1775183700	6	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	04-03 02:38
btc updown 5m 1775412000	4	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	04-05 18:03
btc updown 5m 1776040200	4	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-13 00:34
btc updown 5m 1775888100	5	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-11 06:18
btc updown 5m 1775467500	4	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-06 09:26
btc updown 5m 1775422800	4	$21	13	12	+2	open	—	04-05 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-03 13:33
btc updown 5m 1776032700	4	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-12 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	7	$21	12	30	-18	Down	$-1	05-10 16:28
btc updown 5m 1775426700	4	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-05 22:07
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 19:23
btc updown 5m 1775181600	4	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	04-03 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	5	$20	17	24	-7	Up	$-3	05-10 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	6	$20	18	17	+1	Up	+$0	05-10 19:28
btc updown 5m 1775429400	4	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	04-05 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	7	$20	18	17	+1	Down	+$0	05-10 16:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 19:59:42	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8529d9…
05-14 19:59:18	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x67131f…
05-14 19:57:43	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x646cf0…
05-14 19:54:50	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbcce14…
05-14 19:49:16	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8bf484…
05-14 19:48:20	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdc86e6…
05-14 19:44:34	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa4a903…
05-14 19:44:11	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb40a54…
05-14 19:43:19	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa5bc00…
05-14 19:42:23	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1c0da7…
05-14 19:38:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa001c5…
05-14 19:37:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdb8812…
05-14 19:33:32	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x580b5e…
05-14 19:32:49	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc5abd1…
05-14 19:30:48	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa9992e…
05-14 19:28:28	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xf81d92…
05-14 19:28:26	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc87666…
05-14 19:28:19	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf31d4e…
05-14 19:28:16	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7a249e…
05-14 19:27:35	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x59089f…
05-14 19:27:14	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf0b8f5…
05-14 19:25:38	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9ed46d…
05-14 19:23:04	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x70ab01…
05-14 19:22:13	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x738a91…
05-14 19:21:35	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x3c3837…
05-14 19:20:42	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd72b98…
05-14 19:19:50	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1f74b4…
05-14 19:19:08	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbc04d4…
05-10 22:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xd4d223…
05-10 22:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x81046e…
05-10 22:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xabe5c1…
05-10 22:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x3fae5b…
05-10 22:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0xfaf14d…
05-10 22:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xae4eb7…
05-10 22:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xf6b39b…
05-10 22:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xc32f41…
05-10 22:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x6012fb…
05-10 22:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x0e0106…
05-10 22:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0xdffabf…
05-10 22:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x68efa7…
05-10 22:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x544ac4…
05-10 22:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xf70114…
05-10 22:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x8feff3…
05-10 22:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x470431…
05-10 22:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x3ffa26…
05-10 22:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x0b7927…
05-10 22:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x25e772…
05-10 22:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe881f9…
05-10 22:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x46fd29…
05-10 22:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x14ce3a…
05-10 21:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xa7bfd5…
05-10 21:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x57ff6a…
05-10 21:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xe58a9a…
05-10 21:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x97abf9…
05-10 21:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xeeaa8a…
05-10 21:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x4c9147…
05-10 21:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x6a8b5c…
05-10 21:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0xc8e4d3…
05-10 21:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x19999b…
05-10 21:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x16fd48…
05-10 21:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x59f212…
05-10 21:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xbfa361…
05-10 21:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x23cbd6…
05-10 21:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0xb76045…
05-10 21:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x4382f8…
05-10 20:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x14befd…
05-10 20:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x823f22…
05-10 20:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x5892d7…
05-10 20:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xdfc364…
05-10 20:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x05f728…
05-10 20:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xe4e98c…
05-10 20:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x887cd8…
05-10 20:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x5e4b7d…
05-10 20:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0x7b6f20…
05-10 20:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0xe6569e…
05-10 20:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x750a7f…
05-10 20:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0x590a53…
05-10 20:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x36d90c…
05-10 20:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x0e7c51…
05-10 20:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x3d2b4f…
05-10 20:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x878886…
05-10 20:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	57¢	$4	0xd464b5…
05-10 20:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xaa2866…
05-10 20:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x48de29…
05-10 20:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x888474…
05-10 20:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x62fa16…
05-10 20:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0x2e0465…
05-10 20:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x69ce1f…
05-10 20:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9c47ac…
05-10 20:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x6ce1b8…
05-10 20:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x4e55e7…
05-10 20:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x0a6756…
05-10 20:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x73250c…
05-10 20:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0x9c7bf6…
05-10 20:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x950a16…
05-10 20:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xe1b86f…
05-10 20:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x4fcf49…
05-10 20:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x957272…
05-10 20:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x52facf…
05-10 20:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x46558a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	151	$88.2K	7,185	05-14 19:59
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	151	$20.0K	1,165	05-14 19:54
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	149	$21.7K	3,110	05-14 19:48
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	148	$47.2K	16,502	05-14 19:47
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	146	$82.8K	3,079	05-14 19:28
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	146	$49.4K	15,393	05-10 22:08
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	146	$39.4K	8,710	05-10 22:08
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	146	$32.7K	6,060	05-10 22:08