Muddy-Wraparound — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

167

lifetime

Volume

$9.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 08-13 23:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

52% 100% +$2

Other

25% 100% +$2

Crypto

14% — —

Tech

7% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	13	$857	710	310	+400	open	—	05-24 22:30
will trump say bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency during remarks in new york 20260811183234698	1	$760	800	0	+800	open	—	08-12 01:39
will trump say bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421460	3	$596	636	0	+636	open	—	08-05 18:50
will nvidia be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505805	2	$479	480	0	+480	open	—	08-09 23:39
will ipo be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505804	2	$448	451	0	+451	open	—	08-09 23:37
will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	2	$433	489	0	+489	open	—	07-23 21:44
will marco rubio say democrat during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534174	8	$428	713	0	+713	open	—	08-02 01:38
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	4	$409	233	233	+0	open	—	05-24 17:42
will software be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505808	1	$358	360	0	+360	open	—	08-09 23:37
will trump say washington dptcpt in august 20260728181450063	2	$349	350	0	+350	open	—	08-03 18:17
will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	2	$272	372	0	+372	open	—	08-07 03:21
will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	1	$243	441	0	+441	open	—	08-05 18:37
will trump say plastic egg during the white house easter egg roll	1	$216	300	0	+300	open	—	04-06 14:25
will trump say beer this week 20260703145736713	1	$207	215	0	+215	open	—	07-11 05:26
will trump say maga or make america great again during friday roundtable 20260805211427293	3	$202	287	0	+287	open	—	08-07 19:26
will marco rubio say jd or vance during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534173	3	$202	281	0	+281	open	—	08-02 01:38
will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	20	$164	212	0	+212	open	—	08-05 19:59
will trump say think about it during remarks in new york 20260811183234684	2	$161	255	0	+255	open	—	08-12 21:47
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	3	$152	155	0	+155	No	+$2	05-12 01:01
will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during friday roundtable 20260805211427284	1	$141	237	0	+237	open	—	08-07 03:23
will trump say winner during ufc 250 20260610182827986	2	$140	236	0	+236	open	—	06-14 15:19
Will "Hillary" or "Clinton" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	1	$131	133	0	+133	No	+$1	05-08 22:56
will red be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505806	2	$111	113	0	+113	open	—	08-10 11:05
will elon post tesla on x this week 20260703150058734	1	$109	110	0	+110	open	—	07-09 17:31
will spacex be said 3 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505803	3	$109	109	0	+109	open	—	08-09 23:39
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	2	$106	128	0	+128	open	—	05-26 00:03
will trump say refund during remarks in las vegas 20260804184741453	2	$96	210	0	+210	open	—	08-05 20:56
Will "Canada" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	1	$89	90	0	+90	No	+$1	05-08 22:55
will trump say aliens are real in march	2	$88	104	0	+104	open	—	03-07 17:32
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	3	$87	148	0	+148	open	—	05-24 18:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 23:33:25	clavicular and alexandria ocasio cortez confirm relationship in 2026 20260813000143573	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2516bc…
08-12 21:47:15	will trump say think about it during remarks in new york 20260811183234684	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xed4480…
08-12 01:56:15	will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf79698…
08-12 01:55:49	will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x00e72e…
08-12 01:55:40	will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x4c0673…
08-12 01:54:15	will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x2e5cb8…
08-12 01:52:58	will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x01749f…
08-12 01:52:55	will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x1846dd…
08-12 01:40:15	will trump say think about it during remarks in new york 20260811183234684	No	BUY	155	64¢	$99	0x7c01c5…
08-12 01:39:12	will trump say bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency during remarks in new york 20260811183234698	No	BUY	800	95¢	$760	0xd6071e…
08-10 11:05:49	will red be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505806	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x78d7a0…
08-09 23:39:30	will spacex be said 3 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505803	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x521b99…
08-09 23:39:24	will nvidia be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505805	Yes	BUY	410	100¢	$409	0xe66bd2…
08-09 23:37:45	will software be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505808	Yes	BUY	360	100¢	$358	0x68ee71…
08-09 23:37:22	will nvidia be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505805	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x1e428b…
08-09 23:37:07	will ipo be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505804	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$68	0x83f244…
08-09 23:36:57	will spacex be said 3 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505803	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x9b60fd…
08-09 23:36:49	will spacex be said 3 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505803	Yes	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0x346b3d…
08-09 23:36:31	will ipo be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505804	Yes	BUY	382	99¢	$379	0x5431ca…
08-09 23:35:45	will red be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505806	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xb99d6d…
08-09 23:34:34	will blue be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505807	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xb73028…
08-07 19:26:33	will trump say maga or make america great again during friday roundtable 20260805211427293	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb53ad4…
08-07 19:26:18	will trump say gm or general motors during friday roundtable 20260805211427277	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x1da2d4…
08-07 03:23:06	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during friday roundtable 20260805211427284	No	BUY	237	59¢	$141	0xec9e2f…
08-07 03:21:28	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	No	BUY	140	74¢	$104	0x6b504b…
08-07 03:16:13	will trump say maga or make america great again during friday roundtable 20260805211427293	No	BUY	70	74¢	$52	0x09229a…
08-07 03:16:09	will trump say maga or make america great again during friday roundtable 20260805211427293	No	BUY	212	69¢	$147	0x9fb7bd…
08-07 03:14:37	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	No	BUY	232	73¢	$168	0xdf333a…
08-05 20:56:09	will trump say refund during remarks in las vegas 20260804184741453	Yes	BUY	105	71¢	$75	0x8233fb…
08-05 19:59:03	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xda4510…
08-05 19:53:51	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$7	0xd72599…
08-05 19:53:50	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9eb95a…
08-05 19:52:42	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xf295b6…
08-05 19:52:42	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x749e87…
08-05 19:46:24	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xb8d822…
08-05 19:11:35	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1223b1…
08-05 19:11:32	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x51a792…
08-05 19:09:02	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x44eee2…
08-05 19:07:57	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x18d6ea…
08-05 19:07:08	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$7	0xec6db8…
08-05 19:07:08	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xaf16c7…
08-05 19:05:32	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x04ca23…
08-05 19:04:30	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$7	0x6ed17d…
08-05 19:04:29	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xab3806…
08-05 19:04:23	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x0453f8…
08-05 19:03:06	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc5ba73…
08-05 19:03:06	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x74ee0c…
08-05 19:00:44	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x881210…
08-05 18:50:29	will trump say bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421460	No	BUY	89	93¢	$83	0xf8fc9d…
08-05 18:40:39	will trump say refund during remarks in las vegas 20260804184741453	No	BUY	105	20¢	$21	0x3b005d…
08-05 18:39:45	will trump say waitress during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421458	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0x196686…
08-05 18:37:18	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	No	BUY	441	55¢	$243	0xce5940…
08-05 18:35:59	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	80	77¢	$61	0xa47234…
08-05 18:35:23	will trump say through the roof during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421455	No	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x4bf0e5…
08-05 18:33:12	will trump say rural health or rural healthcare during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421450	No	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0x1f3ee7…
08-05 18:32:12	will trump say bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421460	No	BUY	23	93¢	$22	0x299d66…
08-05 18:31:17	will trump say racist or lebron james during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421456	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc58705…
08-05 18:31:17	will trump say racist or lebron james during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421456	No	BUY	88	76¢	$67	0x84307f…
08-05 18:29:38	will trump say bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421460	No	BUY	524	94¢	$491	0x933b7d…
08-04 20:25:09	will spacex say trump during earnings call 20260730164309244	No	BUY	69	69¢	$48	0xd784fc…
08-04 20:05:44	will spacex say elon or musk 3 times during earnings call 20260730164309232	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x64bdf5…
08-04 16:32:24	will spacex say elon or musk 3 times during earnings call 20260730164309232	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xfa30b6…
08-04 16:32:17	will spacex say grok during earnings call 20260730164309235	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x573c24…
08-04 12:36:54	will spacex say elon or musk 3 times during earnings call 20260730164309232	Yes	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x637d33…
08-03 18:17:45	will trump say washington dptcpt in august 20260728181450063	Yes	BUY	330	100¢	$329	0xf7300c…
08-03 18:17:45	will trump say washington dptcpt in august 20260728181450063	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x28c231…
08-02 19:55:26	will trump say soaking wet in august 20260728220215928	No	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x4609fb…
08-02 19:54:06	will trump say future president in august 20260728220215931	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe2bac6…
08-02 19:49:39	will trump say red card in august 20260728220215906	No	BUY	31	76¢	$23	0x6ab59d…
08-02 01:38:36	will marco rubio say oil or gas or gasoline during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534169	No	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0xa9c839…
08-02 01:38:29	will marco rubio say israel or israeli during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534171	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6506f7…
08-02 01:38:27	will marco rubio say nato during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534172	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1bc775…
08-02 01:38:23	will marco rubio say jd or vance during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534173	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x5b2ce2…
08-02 01:38:20	will marco rubio say ceasefire during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534175	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x815704…
08-02 01:38:03	will marco rubio say democrat during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534174	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa4e304…
08-02 01:37:33	will marco rubio say democrat during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534174	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x126646…
08-02 01:28:15	will marco rubio say ai or artificial intelligence during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534176	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7b3895…
08-02 01:28:00	will marco rubio say democrat during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534174	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8e1e7a…
08-02 01:27:48	will marco rubio say nato during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534172	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x693215…
08-02 01:27:45	will marco rubio say israel or israeli during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534171	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x16f5b4…
08-02 00:38:35	will marco rubio say democrat during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534174	No	BUY	32	67¢	$21	0x2d0e1a…
08-02 00:12:45	will marco rubio say ceasefire during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534175	No	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x942cb3…
08-02 00:12:11	will marco rubio say tariff during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534177	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xe4bfdd…
08-02 00:11:14	will marco rubio say jd or vance during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534173	No	BUY	101	71¢	$72	0x13afee…
08-02 00:10:59	will marco rubio say jd or vance during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534173	No	BUY	166	70¢	$116	0x3dcf21…
08-01 23:34:20	will marco rubio say democrat during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534174	No	BUY	105	59¢	$62	0x5bff53…
08-01 23:13:50	will marco rubio say democrat during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534174	No	BUY	79	57¢	$45	0xc3a29c…
08-01 23:08:29	will marco rubio say democrat during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534174	No	BUY	216	57¢	$122	0x20841e…
08-01 23:02:15	will marco rubio say democrat during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534174	No	BUY	231	55¢	$128	0x2c5714…
08-01 23:01:21	will marco rubio say nuclear during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534168	Yes	BUY	110	74¢	$81	0x560b36…
07-25 01:48:10	will trump say nobel or peace prize during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255812	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x6e8b55…
07-23 21:44:31	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x7e37a4…
07-23 14:44:54	will leavitt say thing 10 times during the next white house press briefing 20260723134130087	No	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0xc460b9…
07-23 14:19:21	will leavitt say president 50 times during the next white house press briefing 20260723134130085	Yes	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x01b0f9…
07-23 14:19:16	will leavitt say president 40 times during the next white house press briefing 20260723134130084	Yes	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xcbdcdc…
07-23 14:18:27	will leavitt say thing 10 times during the next white house press briefing 20260723134130087	No	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0xf22401…
07-23 14:15:34	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	No	BUY	289	89¢	$257	0xd0f39d…
07-11 05:26:26	will trump say beer this week 20260703145736713	No	BUY	215	96¢	$207	0x8f31df…
07-11 05:22:32	will trump say communist or communism this week 20260710153927790	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x470671…
07-09 17:33:25	will elon post neuralink on x this week 20260703150058735	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xcf8372…