Intentional-Newspaper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$559

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

1,606

Trades

2,011

lifetime

Volume

$44.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-31 17:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% +$491

Sports

0% 100% +$68

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 09:30 UTC	6	$881	1,202	488	+714	Down	+$15	08-04 09:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 19:30 UTC	3	$466	314	309	+5	Up	+$151	03-16 19:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 14:15 UTC	4	$373	451	188	+263	Up	-$227	08-04 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	4	$351	602	602	+0	Down	-$139	10-05 13:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 09:45 UTC	1	$340	499	0	+499	Up	+$159	07-01 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$323	535	535	+0	Down	-$77	10-05 13:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 14:30 UTC	4	$321	213	211	+1	Down	+$2	03-05 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$311	213	213	+0	Up	+$111	04-30 15:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 11:00 UTC	2	$287	189	189	+0	Down	+$87	08-04 11:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 12:15 UTC	2	$283	262	262	+0	Down	+$83	07-22 12:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 07:05 UTC	4	$272	243	243	+0	Down	+$32	08-03 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:40 UTC	2	$268	169	169	+0	Up	+$68	08-03 12:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 08:15 UTC	5	$263	164	164	+0	Up	+$23	08-10 08:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 14:30 UTC	1	$250	503	0	+503	Up	+$253	08-04 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$200	381	0	+381	Up	+$181	10-02 17:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 13:15 UTC	2	$199	217	217	+0	Down	+$99	08-04 13:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 09:30 UTC	3	$190	143	137	+6	Down	+$76	04-08 09:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 15:15 UTC	2	$186	128	126	+2	Down	+$68	03-05 15:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:40 UTC	4	$171	124	124	+0	Up	+$31	08-10 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$164	115	115	+0	Up	+$64	05-01 08:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 18:45 UTC	2	$161	109	107	+2	Up	+$53	03-05 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$155	263	263	+0	Down	-$45	10-05 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$155	222	222	+0	Down	-$45	10-02 17:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 11:30 UTC	2	$153	109	104	+4	Up	+$58	04-13 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$152	102	102	+0	Up	+$52	05-05 15:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 17:10 UTC	2	$151	136	133	+2	Up	+$13	02-15 17:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 15:00 UTC	2	$150	111	106	+5	Up	+$64	04-21 15:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 13:00 UTC	2	$149	104	100	+4	Up	+$53	04-15 13:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 16:30 UTC	2	$148	100	99	+2	Down	+$50	02-18 16:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 08:45 UTC	2	$131	93	92	+1	Up	+$52	03-08 09:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x1d179f…
10-31 15:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	29	28¢	$8	0x87390e…
10-31 15:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xf20ff5…
10-31 09:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x1862ad…
10-31 07:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	35	11¢	$4	0x901e24…
10-31 07:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xa28675…
10-31 05:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	29	30¢	$9	0x544526…
10-31 05:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x34f779…
10-31 04:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	36	14¢	$5	0xc4a995…
10-31 04:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xeb7495…
10-31 02:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	32	31¢	$10	0x4294a7…
10-31 02:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x10cc45…
10-31 01:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xb55d8c…
10-31 01:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x8b36e9…
10-31 01:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x17fe05…
10-31 01:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x5a3696…
10-31 00:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	35	30¢	$11	0xe7363b…
10-31 00:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x7a82cd…
10-30 23:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	26	47¢	$12	0x7dd697…
10-30 23:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xa28b5b…
10-30 21:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xe494ac…
10-30 19:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xecae46…
10-30 19:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	29	38¢	$11	0x017aba…
10-30 19:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x4724bb…
10-30 17:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	26	36¢	$9	0x38857e…
10-30 17:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x0384b6…
10-30 15:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x859780…
10-30 15:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x6459f7…
10-30 14:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	33	28¢	$9	0x2e8784…
10-30 14:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x0d82b3…
10-30 09:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	31	30¢	$9	0x4d0f73…
10-30 09:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xf9c2a4…
10-30 08:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x879ec1…
10-30 06:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0xd1e7b5…
10-30 06:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x33ccfe…
10-30 06:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xef4269…
10-30 06:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xf97068…
10-30 06:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	27	34¢	$9	0xa06ff7…
10-30 06:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x7e350c…
10-30 04:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x68519c…
10-30 01:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x03e143…
10-30 00:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xa6a221…
10-29 22:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xb4310f…
10-29 20:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	27	33¢	$9	0x95a60b…
10-29 20:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x6da07a…
10-29 19:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xef636c…
10-29 19:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	36	14¢	$5	0x0f1b34…
10-29 19:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x0e0bc1…
10-29 17:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xabcad9…
10-29 14:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x7ff470…
10-29 13:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x6df6c1…
10-29 12:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	34	8¢	$3	0x03edde…
10-29 12:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xe65463…
10-29 11:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	34	29¢	$10	0x7db617…
10-29 11:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x7a67f9…
10-29 11:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x2bad48…
10-29 09:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xef7ff3…
10-29 09:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	29	26¢	$7	0xcb9a66…
10-29 09:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x9bc58c…
10-29 08:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0x2dcc43…
10-29 08:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x201ba7…
10-29 07:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x19f2bd…
10-29 07:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x6c93d3…
10-29 07:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x54aac5…
10-29 07:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x0e4d36…
10-29 07:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x08afbf…
10-29 06:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x3318da…
10-29 06:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x4bb158…
10-29 05:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x9af62c…
10-29 03:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xfd2abf…
10-29 03:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x058e73…
10-29 02:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	23	40¢	$9	0x02f878…
10-29 02:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x6627ad…
10-29 01:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xc58384…
10-29 00:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x45641a…
10-29 00:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	23	55¢	$12	0xa3d8c6…
10-29 00:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xf7d622…
10-29 00:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0x10eed8…
10-29 00:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xb64641…
10-28 23:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xfa932c…
10-28 23:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x05cbe2…
10-28 23:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x56cef9…
10-28 23:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0x53ce83…
10-28 23:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x3e5256…
10-28 23:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xc965ae…
10-28 22:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x69851d…
10-28 21:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0xa73c88…
10-28 21:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xd5386f…
10-28 19:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0xeb3195…
10-28 19:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xe0f797…
10-28 16:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xe070da…
10-28 16:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x15540d…
10-28 16:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0x39a568…
10-28 16:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x0b0ff8…
10-28 15:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x3cd213…
10-28 14:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x83980a…
10-28 13:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	24	28¢	$7	0x27ede2…
10-28 13:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x4ec9ad…
10-28 11:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	32	28¢	$9	0xef374e…
10-28 11:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x160b55…