Pastel-Corporation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

Trades

597

lifetime

Volume

$5.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 07-08 02:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$3

Sports

17% 0% $-0

Other

14% 50% +$0

Politics

9% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No		+7	$5	78¢	$5	+$1	06-04 21:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	33	$230	157	157	+0	open	—	03-19 09:00
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	24	$155	96	102	-7	open	—	03-20 03:00
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	18	$140	74	74	+0	open	—	03-14 23:23
GTA VI released before June 2026?	10	$70	36	36	+0	open	—	03-06 12:16
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	10	$70	36	36	+0	open	—	02-28 07:51
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	6	$54	32	26	+6	open	—	02-01 13:45
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	5	$49	30	47	-16	open	—	02-17 09:00
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$49	51	0	+51	open	—	03-14 21:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$48	41	41	+0	Yes	+$0	02-19 14:42
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	03-11 18:04
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	6	$42	23	23	+0	No	$-0	03-01 05:02
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	6	$38	25	25	+0	open	—	02-01 13:46
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$38	33	33	+0	open	—	02-23 16:54
bitcoin up or down march 9 10am et	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	03-09 15:00
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	6	$36	25	25	+0	open	—	02-15 01:28
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	02-10 02:02
bitcoin up or down march 9 9pm et	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	03-10 02:05
bitcoin up or down march 6 4pm et	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	03-06 21:58
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	03-19 21:14
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	02-04 10:22
bitcoin up or down march 5 10am et	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	03-05 15:53
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	4	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	03-16 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	2	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	06-02 19:51
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$22	12	12	+0	No	$-0	03-15 03:33
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	03-05 16:47
spl kho nsr 2026 01 30 kho	3	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	01-30 16:03
bitcoin up or down march 3 5pm et	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 23:02
bitcoin up or down march 4 11pm et	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-05 04:50
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-23 20:08
bitcoin up or down march 6 7am et	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-06 12:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 02:31:23	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	74	6¢	$4	0x777b78…
07-08 01:36:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0xb1847a…
07-06 22:25:37	atp sinner struff 2026 07 07	Jannik Sinner	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x840266…
07-06 12:08:56	atp minaur cobolli 2026 07 06	Alex de Minaur	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x21d7a5…
07-05 20:51:38	mlb sd lad 2026 07 05 spread home 1pt5	San Diego Padres	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x6ff0ad…
07-04 19:05:53	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x015749…
07-01 00:44:25	mlb cin mil 2026 06 30	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x54f5fc…
06-30 22:53:10	mlb pit phi 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xf4ebb8…
06-30 02:54:10	mlb mia col 2026 06 29 spread away 2pt5	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x7e2cda…
06-29 02:23:47	mlb nyy bos 2026 06 28	New York Yankees	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xead75f…
06-25 23:04:16	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 25	Washington Nationals	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0xcc0d0a…
06-24 23:29:22	mlb kc tb 2026 06 24	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa5215f…
06-24 01:09:58	mlb tex mia 2026 06 23 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x3260fa…
06-23 23:49:14	mlb chc nym 2026 06 23	Chicago Cubs	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x100869…
06-18 20:25:02	mlb bal sea 2026 06 18 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb1b132…
06-17 18:06:55	mlb sf atl 2026 06 16	San Francisco Giants	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd36430…
06-17 13:35:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x2af623…
06-16 23:54:56	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x4a0a01…
06-16 18:23:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x248f1d…
06-14 22:02:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0xbcfc7f…
06-14 07:33:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf16a35…
06-13 20:16:55	mlb nyy tor 2026 06 13	New York Yankees	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1bb5dd…
06-13 19:54:00	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0xb7f8db…
06-13 17:23:34	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x73a790…
06-11 03:03:42	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 212pt5	Over	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xe9cc11…
06-11 02:15:37	mlb phi tor 2026 06 10 total 11pt5	Over	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xe2c1b9…
06-11 01:35:06	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x5862d4…
06-11 01:01:00	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 216pt5	Over	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6288ac…
06-11 00:48:15	mlb min det 2026 06 10	Detroit Tigers	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1844d8…
06-11 00:47:48	mlb min det 2026 06 10	Minnesota Twins	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xa5d942…
06-11 00:47:46	mlb min det 2026 06 10	Minnesota Twins	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xa883f1…
06-10 22:23:40	mlb wsh sf 2026 06 10 spread away 1pt5	Washington Nationals	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x69b5ee…
06-10 00:32:13	mlb min det 2026 06 09 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x855049…
06-09 22:50:24	mlb bos tb 2026 06 09 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xd2af42…
06-09 21:46:30	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x654e13…
06-09 02:24:04	mlb mil oak 2026 06 08 spread away 1pt5	Athletics	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb7058b…
06-08 03:26:28	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x391e98…
06-08 01:30:12	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x6a41d5…
06-07 20:57:49	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07 spread home 3pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	19	61¢	$11	0x6c5282…
06-07 19:49:34	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8fba60…
06-07 04:10:09	mlb nym sd 2026 06 06 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x88bacd…
06-06 02:20:36	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 1pt5	Knicks	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xad152c…
06-04 21:37:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe2057f…
06-04 00:35:21	mlb sd phi 2026 06 03 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x162196…
06-02 19:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	17	50¢	$8	0x807008…
06-02 19:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xeb8fcf…
06-01 21:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x03fcee…
06-01 12:00:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x31e2b7…
06-01 07:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8d589f…
06-01 02:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb3b318…
05-31 21:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb5c364…
05-31 20:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x93a781…
05-31 19:08:33	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8aebec…
05-30 22:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a3c6a…
05-29 21:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xce6e6b…
05-29 17:00:09	Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xd90ef2…
05-29 15:43:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0xd8e917…
05-29 11:19:41	Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb28558…
05-29 07:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x83aa88…
05-29 03:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xb9dd9e…
05-29 01:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x94f2ae…
05-28 19:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x30fafa…
05-28 07:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x672508…
05-27 16:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xc05e80…
05-27 01:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x84d436…
05-26 08:47:30	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x5dbe3f…
05-25 22:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0be5a5…
05-25 19:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xca0cb2…
05-24 21:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb2f9bb…
05-24 07:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf7457b…
05-21 02:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x364e19…
05-20 02:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf326dd…
05-19 22:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe28a21…
05-19 20:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x66e435…
05-19 10:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x2d6f94…
05-19 07:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc5da59…
05-19 01:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48a67d…
05-18 11:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7b801…
05-18 07:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x2e9c81…
05-18 01:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x04df21…
05-17 21:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x86b49c…
05-17 10:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x75ace3…
05-17 01:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54ffd0…
05-16 07:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x77c7bc…
05-15 22:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x47ae9c…
05-15 18:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2bb895…
05-15 14:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x52bcd2…
05-15 10:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x44938d…
05-15 07:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x02dc67…
05-15 06:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x189be8…
05-15 03:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2fcab3…
05-15 01:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa5fc8b…
05-15 00:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdeaaec…
05-14 19:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0xed53eb…
05-14 15:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x70b8e7…
05-14 09:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39ed7f…
05-14 00:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7725f…
05-13 18:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x1e4d1b…
05-13 18:03:33	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xba06c5…
05-13 15:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x207243…