Livid-Teletype — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.56K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

945

Trades

3,919

lifetime

Volume

$85.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-19 07:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 170 days

Categories

Other

72% 55% -$1,797

Politics

23% 61% -$628

Crypto

4% 51% -$5

Sports

1% 20% -$31

Pop-Culture

1% 60% -$22

Tech

0% 50% -$73

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	17	$4.3K	2,400	2,400	+0	Yes	+$60	01-24 15:06
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	12	$2.4K	1,269	1,679	-410	No	-$87	01-24 01:38
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$1.7K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$28	01-28 14:11
Will the US strike Somalia next?	5	$1.6K	897	897	+0	Yes	+$9	01-27 03:34
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 65 89	29	$1.5K	1,048	1,048	+0	Yes	+$3	01-28 14:54
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	10	$1.5K	1,578	1,578	+0	Yes	-$13	01-28 12:56
will the us strike somalia next 656	19	$1.4K	735	735	+0	Yes	+$53	01-24 07:40
minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	10	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$13	01-27 10:12
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	8	$1.2K	900	900	+0	Yes	+$22	01-25 13:52
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	5	$1.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	-$33	01-28 07:33
us strike on somalia by january 31 563	13	$1.2K	667	667	+0	Yes	-$4	01-28 15:55
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	6	$1.2K	983	983	+0	Yes	+$16	01-25 22:02
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	4	$1.1K	782	782	+0	Yes	+$32	01-23 17:28
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$1.1K	700	700	+0	No	+$15	01-25 23:05
internet access restored in iran by friday 263	12	$1.0K	968	568	+400	No	-$177	01-26 02:28
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	8	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$482	01-25 13:21
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$1.0K	802	802	+0	No	+$5	01-15 04:30
will there be 1416 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	16	$813	514	514	+0	No	+$16	02-23 09:42
will iran strike cyprus in march	11	$759	618	618	+0	No	+$12	03-02 13:33
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	10	$753	550	550	+0	Yes	+$11	02-04 20:20
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$728	400	400	+0	No	+$0	01-26 02:30
will spyglass pharma incs market cap be between 550m and 600m at market close on ipo day	4	$713	412	412	+0	No	+$3	02-06 18:55
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	13	$700	805	805	+0	Yes	+$11	07-13 14:16
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	2	$680	356	356	+0	No	+$2	01-25 09:52
will there be 12 14 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	23	$639	412	412	+0	No	+$4	01-25 05:42
highest temperature in london on april 11 2026 15c	14	$579	300	299	+1	No	+$16	04-11 15:23
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	8	$548	519	519	+0	Yes	+$135	10-13 05:02
will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$522	300	300	+0	No	-$6	01-29 14:52
will forgent power solutions market cap be less than 8pt00b at market close on ipo day	3	$511	297	297	+0	No	+$6	02-05 19:18
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$503	294	294	+0	No	+$3	02-05 10:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 07:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x24a105…
10-19 02:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x7be88e…
10-14 13:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xd694db…
10-14 13:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x10849d…
10-14 07:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x917f4c…
10-14 07:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	45	15¢	$7	0x9ad9c9…
10-14 06:52:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0x3c7694…
10-14 06:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0x2682a9…
10-14 03:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on October 14?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xceef75…
10-14 03:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc7a4b6…
10-14 03:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	103	13¢	$13	0xb8e98f…
10-14 03:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 14?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1816e7…
10-14 03:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 14?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3d3db0…
10-14 03:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 14?	No	SELL	197	99¢	$195	0xabdac7…
10-14 02:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x969b8b…
10-14 02:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 14?	No	BUY	208	85¢	$176	0x0d0c34…
10-14 01:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xf7fc66…
10-14 01:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on October 14?	Yes	BUY	110	2¢	$2	0xa8cc50…
10-14 00:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0x905e75…
10-14 00:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	115	23¢	$26	0xfd6d44…
10-14 00:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0x3483c6…
10-14 00:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x146176…
10-14 00:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	96	31¢	$30	0x2e2e41…
10-13 11:03:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 13?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x019efa…
10-13 09:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	79	15¢	$12	0xc81c9c…
10-13 09:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xf18cd9…
10-13 09:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x3ac6a8…
10-13 09:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xd851ab…
10-13 06:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	287	0¢	$0	0xca6f11…
10-13 05:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x3be524…
10-13 04:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	115	4¢	$5	0x8223ff…
10-13 04:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 13?	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x543f79…
10-13 04:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x06334f…
10-13 03:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x444b1e…
10-13 03:38:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x7ba028…
10-13 03:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xe51b48…
10-13 03:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xcb05cf…
10-13 03:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x860125…
10-13 03:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$1	0xbd6844…
10-13 03:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0xcdae52…
10-13 03:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0xb08283…
10-13 03:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x4f7019…
10-13 03:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x07fbeb…
10-13 03:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0x0a299f…
10-13 03:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	38	49¢	$18	0xa6abc8…
10-13 02:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	230	46¢	$106	0x707b9c…
10-13 02:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xee7d1e…
10-13 00:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	519	40¢	$206	0xa25c45…
10-13 00:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x8d79b8…
10-12 16:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd92b1b…
10-12 14:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	97	3¢	$3	0x9268a1…
10-12 13:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x28a33f…
10-12 12:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xadf418…
10-12 12:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0xc1d49d…
10-12 11:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 12?	No	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x8cf458…
10-12 11:38:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$2	0xe6aedd…
10-12 11:29:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	349	1¢	$4	0x8ccdc4…
10-12 11:28:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb3d0dc…
10-12 11:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	58	1¢	$1	0xd375db…
10-12 11:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x280db6…
10-12 10:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x30cf3d…
10-12 10:38:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xacf304…
10-12 10:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 12?	No	BUY	57	40¢	$23	0x73c95c…
10-12 09:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xa5610b…
10-12 09:49:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 12?	No	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0xad089a…
10-12 09:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xacfb00…
10-12 09:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xc8205c…
10-12 09:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x4c2c88…
10-12 09:44:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xda3dc2…
10-12 09:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 12?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x6185c1…
10-12 09:34:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x4e8897…
10-12 09:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6aef87…
10-12 09:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x119df2…
10-12 08:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x2acfb9…
10-12 08:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0xeb413c…
10-12 04:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0xe7bcad…
10-12 03:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	87	5¢	$4	0x5197b9…
10-12 03:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xbc2f5f…
10-12 03:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xd6f48e…
10-12 03:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa2ed0d…
10-12 03:07:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x6e2eed…
10-12 01:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x94a0c1…
10-12 00:26:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	205	55¢	$113	0x73386b…
10-11 16:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0x76cd6a…
10-11 16:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0xc9a295…
10-11 14:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x80c26e…
10-11 13:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	94	13¢	$12	0xb7d66d…
10-11 13:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0x38844e…
10-11 13:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x90d1fb…
10-11 13:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0x8ab013…
10-11 13:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x69382b…
10-11 13:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x5e4a67…
10-11 12:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 11?	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x11c7e4…
10-11 03:49:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 11?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xeb4f98…
10-11 02:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x538449…
10-11 01:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x395fa4…
10-11 01:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x48bccd…
10-10 18:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x820806…
10-10 18:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xd298ae…
10-10 16:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x67d1c4…