Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$98

Unrealized P&L

+$88

Hit rate

48.5%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$3.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$320

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 11-12 01:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

49% 33% -$181

Other

36% 25% -$31

Sports

15% 67% +$113

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No		+300	$203	95¢	$285	+$82	11-05 02:05
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes		+73	$30	48¢	$35	+$5	11-08 02:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	2	$613	448	448	+0	open	—	10-09 04:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	6	$514	469	469	+0	open	—	10-29 17:52
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	4	$430	430	430	+0	Yes	+$129	07-06 21:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	8	$259	343	43	+300	open	—	11-05 02:05
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	2	$184	200	200	+0	No	+$0	10-30 12:40
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	3	$135	110	110	+0	open	—	11-12 01:06
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	3	$120	105	105	+0	No	$0	11-03 18:04
will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	3	$116	112	112	+0	Yes	-$2	07-24 21:27
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	1	$81	100	0	+100	Yes	+$19	10-31 06:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	4	$76	45	45	+0	Yes	-$1	11-03 01:03
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$67	1,000	812	+188	Yes	+$5	06-04 00:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	3	$63	80	80	+0	No	-$52	11-03 01:02
will trump say million or billion or trillion 25 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201992	2	$60	294	0	+294	Yes	-$60	06-05 21:53
will trump say gulf of america during his midterm rally in alabama october 2	1	$59	115	0	+115	Yes	-$59	10-02 07:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$51	70	0	+70	No	+$19	05-26 03:08
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	1	$51	100	0	+100	Yes	+$49	10-31 05:37
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	6	$44	55	55	+0	Yes	+$2	11-03 23:17
will trump say lake america during his midterm rally in alabama october 2	1	$41	74	0	+74	No	+$33	10-02 07:12
will trump say drone during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255813	1	$40	57	0	+57	Yes	-$40	07-24 23:34
will trump say greenland during events with rutte	4	$40	115	0	+115	No	-$40	04-08 13:43
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	2	$37	38	38	+0	open	—	11-11 19:42
Will Trump say "Shakespeare" during King Charles visit?	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$5	04-30 23:05
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	2	$30	68	68	+0	No	-$30	11-04 22:13
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	1	$30	73	0	+73	open	—	11-08 02:40
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	1	$29	0	49	-49	Yes	-$21	07-04 05:20
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$28	36	0	+36	No	+$8	11-04 00:14
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	2	$26	45	45	+0	No	-$4	11-04 00:20
Will Trump say "Midterm" or "Election" 3+ times during WHCA Dinner events?	3	$25	15	15	+0	No	+$4	04-26 01:42
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	2	$24	44	0	+44	Yes	+$19	11-04 02:17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$24	55	0	+55	No	+$31	05-25 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 01:06:03	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	110	59¢	$65	0x19b0d1…
11-12 00:42:25	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0xe9001d…
11-12 00:16:49	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	55	63¢	$35	0xa7878c…
11-11 19:42:28	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	Yes	SELL	38	54¢	$21	0x7c331c…
11-09 02:29:04	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	Yes	BUY	38	42¢	$16	0xc83e5a…
11-08 02:40:48	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xac934c…
11-05 02:05:01	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	114	66¢	$75	0xa7eedf…
11-05 02:03:06	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xd0b615…
11-05 02:03:04	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x96b70d…
11-05 00:28:37	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xbd9441…
11-05 00:26:03	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	49	66¢	$32	0x2ad4c0…
11-05 00:24:18	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	75	66¢	$50	0x8636a0…
11-04 22:13:36	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	68	0¢	$0	0xa7e745…
11-04 22:13:19	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	SELL	43	66¢	$28	0x31ce0c…
11-04 02:17:34	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xe79b56…
11-04 00:20:24	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	45	25¢	$11	0x0da627…
11-04 00:14:12	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x12bb64…
11-03 23:41:57	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x281575…
11-03 23:21:07	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x34f7c4…
11-03 23:17:42	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	18	42¢	$8	0xe3426f…
11-03 23:17:42	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xc285c2…
11-03 23:17:42	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0xb14c34…
11-03 23:17:40	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xd2fcac…
11-03 23:17:30	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x64d965…
11-03 23:16:54	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	55	38¢	$21	0x5b03c6…
11-03 19:32:30	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xe10fe1…
11-03 18:04:00	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xb1e17a…
11-03 13:54:37	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	SELL	105	57¢	$60	0x4086e2…
11-03 02:22:43	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	105	57¢	$60	0x8fb6ba…
11-03 01:03:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	SELL	45	84¢	$38	0xf9132c…
11-03 01:02:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	80	7¢	$6	0x0c63b8…
11-02 22:37:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	45	72¢	$32	0x2c2236…
11-02 22:33:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0xffa9c6…
11-02 22:04:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x75a1a9…
11-02 22:03:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x9b8afa…
11-02 21:52:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x80db18…
11-01 00:36:54	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0x24cd48…
10-31 06:05:51	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x0dc829…
10-31 05:37:04	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x35a40a…
10-31 04:19:24	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x33c2aa…
10-30 12:40:37	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0x479d0b…
10-30 02:55:48	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x6e0a72…
10-29 17:52:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	130	50¢	$65	0xfcb8e5…
10-29 03:25:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	130	46¢	$60	0xa494f4…
10-28 23:10:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	339	51¢	$173	0xcbbb16…
10-27 22:14:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	105	63¢	$66	0x05e5c6…
10-27 21:23:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	34	64¢	$22	0xdf4fb9…
10-27 21:22:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xa09d97…
10-09 04:49:49	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	No	SELL	448	71¢	$318	0xcfcb1d…
10-02 07:12:05	will trump say lake america during his midterm rally in alabama october 2	No	BUY	74	56¢	$41	0xa2a6af…
10-02 07:11:57	will trump say gulf of america during his midterm rally in alabama october 2	No	BUY	115	51¢	$59	0x3aea73…
10-02 05:23:12	any of the cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime	No	BUY	448	66¢	$296	0x1fd392…
07-24 23:34:57	will trump say biden 5 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255808	No	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x8dbbab…
07-24 23:34:31	will trump say drone during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255813	No	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x822165…
07-24 21:27:42	will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	Yes	SELL	112	51¢	$57	0xc12fa2…
07-24 01:18:33	will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	Yes	BUY	93	53¢	$49	0xbfd1d5…
07-24 01:17:19	will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	Yes	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x8f9368…
07-06 21:14:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	21	65¢	$14	0x710ce5…
07-06 21:14:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	409	65¢	$266	0x0b8e6a…
07-06 20:25:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x7bc3f2…
07-06 20:11:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	400	35¢	$140	0x3d7615…
07-05 01:32:37	will trump say mount rushmore during tribute to america rally 20260630160620566	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xbb2351…
07-05 01:32:13	will trump say beautiful 7 times during tribute to america rally 20260630160620558	No	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x1de5df…
07-05 01:09:08	will trump say beautiful 7 times during tribute to america rally 20260630160620558	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0305e9…
07-05 00:03:32	will trump say beautiful 7 times during tribute to america rally 20260630160620558	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xd6fb85…
07-04 05:27:55	will trumps remarks not air 20260630160620582 476	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x05e1b6…
07-04 05:27:28	will trumps remarks not air 20260630160620582 476	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xbfb76e…
07-04 05:20:53	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	49	58¢	$29	0x1462da…
06-08 03:01:30	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x5f1085…
06-08 02:53:55	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x9a5e24…
06-08 02:53:54	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x96cecb…
06-08 02:53:54	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x88e899…
06-08 02:53:54	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x5e9afb…
06-08 02:53:54	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x494a96…
06-05 21:53:57	will trump say million or billion or trillion 25 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201992	No	BUY	202	5¢	$10	0xb85e40…
06-05 20:51:54	will trump say mit or massachusetts institute of technology during wisconsin events 20260602174202006	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xff6948…
06-04 05:15:06	will trump say million or billion or trillion 25 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201992	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x4ace37…
06-04 00:09:15	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	60	4¢	$2	0x922495…
06-04 00:09:07	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	57	4¢	$2	0x672226…
06-04 00:08:16	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	413	5¢	$19	0xaba5de…
06-04 00:07:48	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	225	5¢	$10	0x8741d8…
06-03 02:48:50	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	57	4¢	$2	0x8c421c…
06-02 02:41:44	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	1,000	3¢	$31	0x3611e4…
05-26 03:08:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	73¢	$51	0xdc7cfa…
05-25 19:53:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	24	44¢	$11	0x5334a4…
05-25 19:52:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	31	44¢	$14	0x79d698…
04-30 23:05:10	Will Trump say "Shakespeare" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x0485fc…
04-26 21:21:34	Will Trump say "Shakespeare" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x32a8b0…
04-26 01:42:28	Will Trump say "Midterm" or "Election" 3+ times during WHCA Dinner events?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xcaf894…
04-26 01:18:34	Will Trump say "Midterm" or "Election" 3+ times during WHCA Dinner events?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xc67a01…
04-26 01:18:22	Will Trump say "Midterm" or "Election" 3+ times during WHCA Dinner events?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbd9eb1…
04-26 01:15:26	Will Trump say "First Amendment" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x645f4a…
04-26 01:11:28	Will Trump say "First Amendment" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x522858…
04-26 00:31:56	Will Trump say "Pope" or "Christian" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x55f2e5…
04-26 00:21:42	Will Trump say "Pope" or "Christian" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x7bf24f…
04-26 00:18:34	Will Trump say "Epstein" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x3d60ea…
04-26 00:16:50	Will Trump say "Pope" or "Christian" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4e023a…
04-26 00:15:12	Will Trump say "Pope" or "Christian" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe94365…
04-26 00:14:38	Will Trump say "Pope" or "Christian" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1d5677…
04-09 04:47:09	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xce6061…