Plump-Wholesale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

28.0%

Resolved

Trades

729

lifetime

Volume

$5.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-30 10:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

57% 0% $-15

Politics

41% — —

Crypto

1% 75% +$0

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes		+90	$14	1¢	$1	$-13	06-24 12:56
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?	Yes		+346	$4	0¢	$0	$-4	06-14 11:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	6	$681	652	652	+0	open	—	02-28 21:03
will iran strike cyprus in march	18	$309	455	433	+22	open	—	03-02 13:46
will nvda close between 180 and 185 week march 13 2026	9	$150	121	121	+0	open	—	03-13 21:26
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 27 2026 29c	4	$128	94	94	+0	open	—	02-27 21:12
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$109	72	72	+0	open	—	03-03 12:56
another us government shutdown by february 14	8	$108	288	165	+123	open	—	02-14 12:42
will iran strike israel on march 10	27	$106	8,226	37	+8,188	open	—	03-17 10:05
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	6	$93	132	132	+0	open	—	06-07 19:43
highest temperature in london on march 11 2026 13c	4	$88	63	63	+0	open	—	03-11 17:01
iran closes its airspace by june 8	5	$77	119	119	+0	open	—	06-07 19:43
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$73	82	42	+39	open	—	03-04 15:53
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 4 2026 33corbelow	2	$71	49	49	+0	open	—	03-04 15:56
highest temperature in london on march 5 2026 18c	3	$66	44	44	+0	open	—	03-05 15:57
highest temperature in london on march 11 2026 12c	3	$65	92	92	+0	open	—	03-11 04:54
highest temperature in london on march 12 2026 12c	3	$60	43	43	+0	open	—	03-12 21:00
msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	2	$57	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 11:23
highest temperature in london on march 6 2026 13corbelow	4	$56	37	37	+0	open	—	03-06 14:22
iran strike on us military by february 28	3	$54	31	31	+0	open	—	02-28 21:08
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	4	$52	84	0	+84	open	—	03-03 16:25
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	3	$50	44	44	+0	open	—	05-21 11:37
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	6	$50	80	80	+0	open	—	03-26 17:49
highest temperature in london on march 10 2026 12c	7	$46	144	67	+77	open	—	03-10 11:39
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	10	$46	145	26	+118	open	—	04-24 10:00
will the us next strike iran during the week of march 1 7 2026 et	13	$41	5,068	0	+5,068	open	—	02-28 10:51
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 18 be between 2000000 and 2200000	5	$41	48	24	+24	open	—	02-18 05:57
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 16 be greater than 2800000	4	$40	100	25	+75	open	—	02-16 17:44
highest temperature in london on march 5 2026 17c	6	$40	105	0	+105	open	—	03-05 06:18
ed quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 0pt86	2	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	02-15 18:24
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	4	$40	68	68	+0	open	—	03-14 12:22
tgt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 2pt16	8	$37	231	0	+231	open	—	03-03 10:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 10:43:59	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc0dd6b…
06-30 10:08:16	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	83	5¢	$4	0xf2e28f…
06-24 12:56:23	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xef0c68…
06-24 12:56:20	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x20c9ec…
06-19 10:10:40	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xabcccc…
06-19 10:04:52	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x864da2…
06-14 13:50:52	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x13e230…
06-14 13:49:21	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x708b21…
06-14 11:05:25	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?	Yes	BUY	113	1¢	$1	0x5148ca…
06-10 17:16:04	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xd30b76…
06-10 17:16:00	israel closes its airspace by june 11	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x66c119…
06-10 17:15:24	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x24e69d…
06-10 17:15:01	israel closes its airspace by june 11	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x0e5bdc…
06-10 17:15:00	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x409857…
06-09 10:53:15	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x55aaad…
06-09 07:21:19	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x9ff187…
06-09 07:20:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x239774…
06-09 07:19:28	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xaca28e…
06-08 16:42:19	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xc9584d…
06-08 16:36:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x604fcf…
06-08 16:30:30	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x4ca77e…
06-08 16:28:54	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xea87d1…
06-08 08:26:18	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xea7d03…
06-07 19:43:46	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	132	58¢	$77	0x521788…
06-07 19:43:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	119	60¢	$71	0x8c200f…
06-07 16:53:19	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0xc11d29…
06-07 16:44:01	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x964bfe…
06-07 15:00:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x633a7f…
06-07 14:54:46	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x6ae48f…
06-07 14:52:09	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x0c5996…
06-07 14:35:13	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb3e9ec…
06-07 14:10:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x74485f…
06-07 12:47:40	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x238073…
06-07 12:43:36	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xee12f7…
06-06 17:45:57	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x39adb6…
06-06 17:34:21	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xeb60fe…
06-04 10:40:01	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x47d5c9…
06-04 08:46:36	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x22ddcc…
06-03 13:40:06	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?	Yes	BUY	233	1¢	$3	0x6084eb…
06-03 13:38:14	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x02a766…
06-03 10:36:35	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x05a297…
05-29 15:07:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0xe622b4…
05-29 15:06:08	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x57ddb6…
05-28 08:48:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x128a9c…
05-28 08:45:58	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0xb4167d…
05-28 08:44:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x780523…
05-27 16:49:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xab440a…
05-27 16:47:00	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xc10fde…
05-27 16:44:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xb90c22…
05-27 16:40:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0xd6ffb3…
05-26 08:50:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xd99b7b…
05-23 20:05:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf1ee1f…
05-23 19:08:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	222	3¢	$6	0x2d1b8d…
05-23 19:04:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x18bd6e…
05-23 07:09:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	22	97¢	$22	0x7eebc3…
05-22 09:56:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xf18fef…
05-21 11:37:43	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	93¢	$41	0xd4b9e9…
05-21 11:34:13	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x7096c9…
05-21 11:28:58	Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by May 31?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x28f641…
05-21 11:27:02	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xe5ffea…
05-15 10:54:48	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x2b3d59…
05-14 12:19:46	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xbe1b6d…
05-14 12:14:12	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x0ad4d8…
05-14 12:13:37	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	7¢	$4	0xa80ec3…
05-12 08:56:23	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x3ee151…
05-12 08:53:37	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x57915d…
05-12 08:47:35	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xa0cfad…
05-11 09:37:28	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xff7138…
05-09 09:14:50	Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0xb0fb22…
05-09 09:13:35	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x113a99…
05-07 11:32:15	Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3b0d0e…
05-07 08:40:17	Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xa8b703…
05-07 08:39:45	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xd3c4f9…
05-07 08:38:21	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x8b435e…
05-07 08:36:40	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x23577b…
05-07 08:35:05	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x934a9a…
05-07 08:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x371793…
05-07 08:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x75563b…
05-07 08:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xae86c7…
05-05 08:36:08	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x91ec1e…
05-04 09:48:38	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x403871…
05-04 06:44:44	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2a4c0e…
05-03 18:40:02	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0xb10a22…
05-02 08:17:48	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x196a77…
05-02 08:15:08	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x14e22f…
05-01 13:20:34	megaeth fdv above 1b one day after launch	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x0bbfb2…
05-01 12:52:40	Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	0¢	$1	0x8ef8c0…
05-01 12:46:52	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	2¢	$2	0x2bee38…
04-29 13:45:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x708dc0…
04-29 11:50:14	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x3106ac…
04-28 09:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdece2b…
04-28 09:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x3675cd…
04-28 09:38:16	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xcccd9b…
04-28 09:34:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe0d093…
04-28 09:30:42	U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?	Yes	SELL	119	1¢	$1	0x7a71f0…
04-24 10:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xf53a21…
04-24 10:00:14	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xcb7e96…
04-24 05:58:38	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	24¢	$7	0xdacdd5…
04-23 11:28:00	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xf274b0…
04-23 10:37:26	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0xe2bd90…