(anonymous) 0x1acd7d…abf535 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$23
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
59.8%
Resolved
81
Trades
830
lifetime
Volume
$754
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$39
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-25
last 11-03 05:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Politics
43% 65% +$35
Other
31% 33% -$22
Sports
26% 41% -$36
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +31 $6 38¢ $12 +$6 10-15 15:32
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +24 $8 28¢ $7 -$1 10-31 04:56
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +24 $10 26¢ $6 -$4 09-17 04:15
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +19 $6 30¢ $6 $0 07-07 09:26
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +180 $9 2¢ $3 -$6 07-11 03:50
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +8 -$2 39¢ $3 +$5 10-29 17:47
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +9 $2 14¢ $1 -$1 08-21 04:11
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +10 $1 5¢ $0 $0 09-16 03:11
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +10 -$2 3¢ $0 +$2 09-07 10:48
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? Yes +6 $2 5¢ $0 -$2 08-02 21:10
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $2 16¢ $0 -$2 07-20 04:49
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? No +0 -$5 10¢ $0 +$5 07-17 05:00
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? Yes +1 -$2 2¢ $0 +$2 07-29 07:03
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +0 -$2 6¢ $0 +$2 09-03 19:41
Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +0 -$2 3¢ $0 +$2 09-02 04:57
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +0 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 08-11 04:44
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1 -$2 1¢ $0 +$2 08-14 00:52
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1 $9 0¢ $0 -$9 06-09 23:51