Failing-Imbalance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$65

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved

1,853

Trades

3,477

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 09-05 10:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 65% -$63

Other

1% 33% -$8

Sports

1% 44% +$6

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 11:10 UTC	4	$29	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	04-15 11:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 09:05 UTC	4	$29	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	04-15 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 09:20 UTC	4	$29	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	04-15 09:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 08:15 UTC	4	$29	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	04-15 08:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 09:10 UTC	4	$29	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	04-15 09:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 08:40 UTC	4	$28	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	04-15 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	11	$26	25	20	+5	Up	-$2	05-04 02:08
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka	13	$24	37	39	-3	Aryna Sabalenka	+$1	04-27 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$24	19	19	+0	Up	+$3	05-25 14:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 08:00 UTC	12	$23	54	0	+54	Up	+$1	06-16 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 10:35 UTC	2	$23	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	08-11 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 01:00 UTC	2	$23	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	08-13 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$23	17	17	+0	Up	+$3	05-25 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 00:50 UTC	2	$23	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	08-13 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:30 UTC	2	$23	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	08-13 03:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:55 UTC	2	$23	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	08-12 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$23	17	17	+0	Up	+$5	05-25 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:35 UTC	2	$23	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	08-13 02:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:30 UTC	2	$23	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	08-13 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 01:05 UTC	2	$23	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	08-13 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$23	17	17	+0	Up	+$2	05-25 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 23:45 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	08-12 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:25 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	08-12 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:35 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	08-13 03:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 00:00 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$3	08-13 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$22	18	18	+0	Up	+$3	05-25 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 14:45 UTC	2	$21	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	08-07 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$21	17	17	+0	Up	+$4	05-25 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	7	$21	18	17	+1	Up	-$4	05-04 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	9	$21	22	22	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 16:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 10:03:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x785ec7…
09-05 06:19:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa77ad9…
09-05 05:59:03	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x26e73f…
09-05 05:08:34	XRP Up or Down - September 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x2d64dc…
09-04 23:49:04	XRP Up or Down - September 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9ebf1d…
09-04 17:24:03	XRP Up or Down - September 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc9e8d4…
09-04 16:18:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x8b6ad8…
09-04 11:48:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbe3831…
09-04 10:03:33	BNB Up or Down - September 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x827cbb…
09-04 08:33:33	XRP Up or Down - September 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x556988…
09-04 05:03:33	BNB Up or Down - September 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x4343c7…
09-03 23:58:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xf6c5b0…
09-03 23:08:33	XRP Up or Down - September 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x72d567…
09-03 16:33:33	XRP Up or Down - September 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xbca785…
09-03 10:33:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x56401f…
09-03 03:33:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xa53670…
09-03 03:33:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x3ec6ce…
09-02 21:53:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x83359a…
09-02 21:53:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x29ec43…
09-02 21:14:03	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x726ca7…
09-02 21:03:33	BNB Up or Down - September 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x642f41…
09-02 20:13:55	XRP Up or Down - September 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x12852d…
09-02 20:13:33	XRP Up or Down - September 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x15e1a3…
09-02 18:13:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xb7e97b…
09-02 18:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x45703f…
09-02 15:54:01	XRP Up or Down - September 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x895f66…
09-02 15:54:01	XRP Up or Down - September 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x4c1353…
09-02 15:53:33	XRP Up or Down - September 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x19aec9…
09-02 14:58:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x146cda…
09-02 14:58:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x974696…
09-02 11:53:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xe9fcb4…
09-02 11:53:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x55debe…
09-02 10:53:49	XRP Up or Down - September 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x36be04…
09-02 10:53:33	XRP Up or Down - September 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xec6d19…
09-02 10:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3202a8…
09-02 09:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7de324…
09-02 08:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x90a8f8…
09-02 08:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x723afd…
09-02 06:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5b204e…
09-02 05:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4210dd…
09-02 05:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x771ca6…
09-02 01:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xf9649e…
09-02 01:19:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xf6923c…
09-02 01:18:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa9cf65…
09-02 00:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x61e9c6…
09-02 00:08:54	XRP Up or Down - September 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x4568c2…
09-02 00:08:33	XRP Up or Down - September 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x11cf38…
09-01 21:39:04	XRP Up or Down - September 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0xcdb47f…
09-01 21:38:34	XRP Up or Down - September 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x6a164d…
09-01 20:18:33	BNB Up or Down - September 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdd4f6b…
09-01 18:33:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0xc2d8f6…
09-01 18:33:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xba00e7…
09-01 17:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xbe9321…
09-01 17:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x69192a…
09-01 10:04:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xf13524…
09-01 10:04:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x7e7a00…
09-01 09:44:03	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x4fe772…
09-01 07:53:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xc6aa25…
09-01 04:28:33	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x6ad4a9…
09-01 02:54:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf9ba59…
08-31 18:34:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa07457…
08-31 17:59:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5e79de…
08-31 16:19:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe1ca1e…
08-31 15:09:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5a3504…
08-31 14:09:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf07b0f…
08-31 12:34:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5e46ea…
08-31 12:19:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x5fe914…
08-31 11:19:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x364fcc…
08-29 00:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc16198…
08-29 00:43:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1a8184…
08-29 00:24:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe62d73…
08-28 22:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x77eff7…
08-28 22:33:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x08b890…
08-28 22:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x553760…
08-28 20:03:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x178801…
08-28 19:39:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x340973…
08-28 19:18:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc9d090…
08-28 18:44:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x86c6dc…
08-28 18:19:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x403c6d…
08-28 18:04:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x0f5641…
08-28 17:34:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7315d6…
08-28 17:03:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x244adb…
08-28 14:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xccf64a…
08-28 13:04:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6d9a4e…
08-26 15:13:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 15:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x8330f3…
08-26 14:39:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xeecb92…
08-26 12:49:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x7e04f1…
08-26 12:49:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x8a6e52…
08-26 10:44:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x3e36e2…
08-26 02:03:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x198ac5…
08-26 02:03:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x626981…
08-26 00:42:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x25ad8a…
08-26 00:42:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 00:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x07853d…
08-26 00:14:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x8cab1e…
08-26 00:14:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 00:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x8a0ecf…
08-26 00:14:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 00:10 UTC	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x2e7216…
08-25 17:39:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 17:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x6d438a…
08-25 17:39:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 17:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xa9a42b…
08-25 17:39:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 17:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x79a273…
08-25 06:14:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x33b842…