Flawed-Tower — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$1.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 07-30 12:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 100% +$0

Politics

24% — —

Other

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	11	$269	7,269	7,269	+0	open	—	02-19 12:53
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	3	$62	32	32	+0	open	—	04-15 09:12
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$59	500	500	+0	open	—	03-08 17:16
bitcoin above 64k on march 19	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	03-19 03:22
us strikes iraq by march 7	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	03-11 11:34
bitcoin above 68k on march 14	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	03-14 13:52
bitcoin above 64k on march 29	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	03-29 13:37
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 17	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	03-17 14:42
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	03-13 05:12
bitcoin above 64k on march 22	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	03-22 06:17
will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 15	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	03-15 13:10
ethereum above 1900 on march 16	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	03-16 09:54
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	03-27 12:34
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	03-05 05:50
bitcoin above 68k on april 14	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-14 02:02
bitcoin above 72k on march 26	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	03-26 13:39
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	03-04 13:18
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	02-28 03:35
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	11	$38	500	500	+0	open	—	02-11 15:58
bitcoin above 76k on march 21	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-21 04:08
bitcoin above 64k on march 24	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	03-24 02:11
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	1	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	02-18 16:03
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-17 03:49
bitcoin above 80k on april 16	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-16 03:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 17?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-16 16:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-18 15:24
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 14?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-14 15:05
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 31?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-31 03:03
bitcoin above 68k on june 7 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	06-07 09:18
ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	07-23 08:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 12:38:56	bitcoin above 58k on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x932740…
07-28 03:58:36	bitcoin above 58k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x497126…
07-24 07:23:52	bitcoin above 60k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc469ca…
07-23 08:34:07	ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9351fe…
07-22 09:49:28	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe58a98…
07-17 09:15:12	bitcoin above 66k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4b0945…
07-16 08:51:20	bitcoin above 70k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x51593a…
07-07 09:47:16	bitcoin above 58k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x342aab…
07-03 09:09:34	bitcoin above 68k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x29cb42…
06-18 14:52:01	bitcoin above 62k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xef5194…
06-17 05:30:16	bitcoin above 60k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xcee14e…
06-14 13:27:31	ethereum above 1800 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7f49fb…
06-10 05:32:10	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf04d69…
06-08 05:56:19	ethereum above 1900 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc2f0cf…
06-07 09:18:40	bitcoin above 68k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6db2e7…
06-01 12:13:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfd7abc…
05-31 03:03:08	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x049d61…
05-25 03:28:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa7427d…
05-22 15:05:13	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbee9b2…
05-20 19:09:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xcf54c6…
05-18 15:24:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x36cdac…
05-16 16:46:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2804b5…
05-14 15:05:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf5e652…
05-13 10:26:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeb3b8c…
05-12 13:34:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2b9997…
05-10 20:30:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb86bb2…
04-27 07:46:16	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x60037b…
04-25 04:37:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xac3029…
04-22 21:50:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe97475…
04-22 12:18:28	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 115 139	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x488e48…
04-19 09:25:02	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 165 189	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x87ba10…
04-18 07:59:40	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x125f2f…
04-17 03:49:04	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8b85a8…
04-16 03:17:24	bitcoin above 80k on april 16	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6cfd69…
04-15 09:12:12	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xe4c4e6…
04-15 09:12:12	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	No	SELL	20	96¢	$20	0x1cd602…
04-15 05:47:08	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x410888…
04-15 02:36:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa54669…
04-14 02:02:09	bitcoin above 68k on april 14	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb448b4…
04-13 15:27:03	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbb4cd5…
04-13 02:43:19	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	819	0¢	$2	0x48b1eb…
04-12 18:40:55	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	161	0¢	$1	0xb8ba79…
04-12 18:40:49	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	659	0¢	$3	0x2512e1…
04-12 11:35:13	bitcoin above 68k on april 12	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x840076…
04-11 18:58:23	bitcoin above 70k on april 11	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x2cda3d…
04-09 14:25:41	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xafbcde…
04-08 09:47:11	highest temperature in beijing on april 9 2026 7corbelow	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x38650b…
04-06 07:36:31	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 140 164	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6109ca…
03-31 06:05:37	highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 14corbelow	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9e687a…
03-29 13:37:40	bitcoin above 64k on march 29	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xece915…
03-27 12:34:17	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x185d2f…
03-26 13:39:27	bitcoin above 72k on march 26	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x100fa8…
03-25 09:48:59	xrp above 1pt6 on march 25	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf560d5…
03-24 02:11:27	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xce02ec…
03-22 06:17:41	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xfaa793…
03-21 04:08:35	bitcoin above 76k on march 21	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x41408b…
03-19 03:22:17	bitcoin above 64k on march 19	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc27495…
03-17 14:42:17	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 17	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x6cc029…
03-16 09:54:01	ethereum above 1900 on march 16	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xee3b31…
03-15 13:10:43	will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 15	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x16866e…
03-14 13:52:13	bitcoin above 68k on march 14	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x9fe03c…
03-13 05:12:01	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x6f15de…
03-12 15:26:15	solana above 80 on march 12	No	BUY	613	0¢	$1	0x0db8d3…
03-12 15:25:51	solana above 80 on march 12	No	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x605414…
03-12 15:25:21	solana above 80 on march 12	No	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0xe21c6d…
03-12 15:22:41	solana above 80 on march 12	No	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x0ae982…
03-12 15:18:37	solana above 80 on march 12	No	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x729b2e…
03-12 15:18:17	solana above 80 on march 12	No	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x307dd4…
03-12 15:18:07	solana above 80 on march 12	No	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0xb7cbcb…
03-12 15:16:57	solana above 80 on march 12	No	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x576388…
03-11 11:34:27	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xf7e099…
03-08 17:16:45	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0x060e69…
03-08 16:55:29	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x42260d…
03-06 13:19:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x82e811…
03-05 05:50:23	will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x11f8f7…
03-04 13:18:01	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x8e077f…
03-03 12:32:39	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	446	0¢	$0	0x3d49d5…
03-03 12:31:29	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	2,111	0¢	$2	0x47c54e…
03-03 12:30:55	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	443	0¢	$0	0x9b72f1…
03-03 07:52:11	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x1796e3…
02-28 03:35:39	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xbc0fa3…
02-19 12:53:50	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	SELL	2,140	2¢	$41	0xa6de58…
02-19 12:46:56	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x0c832c…
02-19 12:46:46	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xd60451…
02-19 12:46:16	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	2,200	2¢	$44	0x2d55d8…
02-19 12:38:58	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	SELL	569	2¢	$11	0x3a0418…
02-19 12:38:10	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	569	2¢	$11	0x262ed3…
02-19 12:28:34	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	SELL	2,500	2¢	$45	0xc74f56…
02-19 12:27:58	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	2,500	2¢	$45	0x2e5000…
02-19 12:26:08	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	SELL	90	2¢	$2	0xc4c2c0…
02-19 12:25:52	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	SELL	1,910	2¢	$34	0x0d35ec…
02-19 12:24:24	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$36	0x3872e6…
02-18 16:03:22	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0xef14a6…
02-11 15:58:59	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x744c21…
02-11 15:58:25	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x97148d…
02-11 15:58:13	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x3465d2…
02-11 15:57:33	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x492f80…
02-11 15:57:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x1f14bf…
02-11 15:56:43	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xe74c98…
02-11 15:56:31	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xb7c8aa…