Cautious-Haven — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$295

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

3,642

Trades

10,222

lifetime

Volume

$36.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 06-15 23:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% +$295

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	18	$51	45	45	+0	Down	-$5	06-03 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	15	$47	40	35	+5	Down	-$1	05-04 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	14	$47	35	35	+0	Up	-$4	05-14 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	10	$46	25	25	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	10	$45	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	05-21 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	12	$43	30	30	+0	Up	-$3	05-14 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	14	$41	35	35	+0	Up	-$5	06-03 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	10	$41	25	25	+0	Up	$0	05-17 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	10	$39	25	25	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	11	$39	25	25	+0	Up	$0	05-17 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	14	$38	30	30	+0	Down	-$3	06-03 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	12	$37	30	30	+0	Up	-$3	05-15 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	9	$37	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	05-24 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	8	$37	20	20	+0	Up	$0	05-16 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	8	$37	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	05-15 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	12	$37	25	25	+0	Down	+$1	05-16 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	12	$37	30	30	+0	Down	-$5	05-29 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	14	$37	35	35	+0	Up	-$3	05-04 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	8	$36	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	05-22 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	12	$36	30	30	+0	Up	-$3	05-14 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	8	$36	20	20	+0	Up	$0	05-22 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	8	$35	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	05-15 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	8	$35	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	05-26 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	8	$35	20	20	+0	Up	$0	05-14 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	8	$35	20	20	+0	Down	-$1	05-25 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	8	$35	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	05-17 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	12	$35	29	29	-0	Down	-$1	06-03 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	12	$35	30	30	+0	Up	-$3	05-18 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	10	$34	25	25	+0	Up	-$2	05-07 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	8	$34	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	05-15 17:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 23:34:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfc9593…
06-15 10:53:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x62933e…
06-15 04:46:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x32c649…
06-14 20:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x00cd6f…
06-14 18:42:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7487d0…
06-14 16:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd48ab1…
06-14 14:02:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5eed84…
06-14 13:41:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf3d2ea…
06-14 13:22:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xdedd31…
06-14 13:13:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9e7bd1…
06-14 12:12:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x243a70…
06-14 12:00:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x67ec51…
06-14 11:49:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x248edf…
06-14 09:37:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x66163c…
06-14 08:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x78efea…
06-14 08:49:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb46964…
06-14 07:37:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc59a5f…
06-14 06:44:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3ca7cb…
06-14 05:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x1e8eee…
06-14 05:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfa8fae…
06-14 05:22:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xe08163…
06-14 05:09:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb3cfab…
06-14 02:19:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x376e20…
06-14 01:40:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x19379d…
06-14 00:12:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb96c79…
06-13 23:14:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9fed2d…
06-13 23:04:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2862a6…
06-13 21:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb67d9d…
06-13 20:58:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xaed627…
06-13 20:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xbffdf7…
06-13 20:47:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x381d22…
06-13 20:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe549d4…
06-13 20:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3863e1…
06-13 20:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9c2b11…
06-13 19:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x7c58e1…
06-13 19:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x0d7c59…
06-13 15:31:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd60d1b…
06-13 15:28:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x83ca3c…
06-13 11:53:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x93eda0…
06-13 11:47:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4b4da6…
06-13 11:38:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x82f0db…
06-13 11:29:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd75916…
06-13 11:22:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x82d843…
06-13 11:22:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3c9f8a…
06-13 11:11:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xccec3d…
06-13 11:06:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe29c32…
06-13 10:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x850db9…
06-13 10:39:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x33f924…
06-13 10:10:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x08e425…
06-13 06:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf92a9a…
06-13 05:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x955f8b…
06-13 05:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x6659cc…
06-13 02:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1e5f14…
06-13 01:59:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x84e400…
06-13 00:14:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x377804…
06-13 00:14:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x09f137…
06-12 23:00:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf0aee2…
06-12 04:56:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xac7055…
06-12 04:40:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2ea54c…
06-12 01:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9d7b8a…
06-12 01:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x081968…
06-11 10:27:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd65b80…
06-11 09:43:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9de604…
06-11 09:39:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf9924c…
06-11 09:19:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xa20658…
06-11 09:19:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x5d9d34…
06-11 08:21:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc191a3…
06-11 08:19:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x29b318…
06-09 04:15:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x067fb8…
06-09 03:49:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x37a2c0…
06-09 03:11:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6171e3…
06-08 12:41:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xcd1158…
06-08 09:27:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfb5867…
06-07 05:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7f5a81…
06-03 16:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x4a6376…
06-03 16:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xce756f…
06-03 16:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x69f4c7…
06-03 16:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x702c3d…
06-03 16:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xb0dcf3…
06-03 16:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd51da0…
06-03 16:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x8e0308…
06-03 16:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x71acce…
06-03 16:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x2bf9d4…
06-03 16:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x987315…
06-03 16:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x9777ef…
06-03 16:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcc64e3…
06-03 16:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x09125f…
06-03 16:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x4f2895…
06-03 16:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3584f2…
06-03 16:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x593a27…
06-03 16:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9d7deb…
06-03 15:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd110f5…
06-03 15:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe6e9b4…
06-03 15:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xc3e08e…
06-03 15:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa33557…
06-03 15:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2bb19b…
06-03 15:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8237f1…
06-03 15:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x72f857…
06-03 15:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3209ef…
06-03 15:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x256901…