Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.29K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$325

Open exposure

$76

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 10-26 00:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

64% 75% +$5,331

Sports

28% 67% +$807

Politics

8% 83% +$155

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+40	$27	66¢	$27	-$1	10-22 13:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	+29	$25	86¢	$25	$0	09-25 00:49
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-600	-$25	4¢	$-25	+$1	07-06 13:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	6	$4.8K	7,578	0	+7,578	Yes	+$2,728	10-20 17:27
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	2	$3.8K	6,395	0	+6,395	No	+$2,622	10-21 18:48
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	4	$2.5K	4,841	0	+4,841	Tampa Bay Rays	+$2,372	10-17 00:01
nba tor cle 2026 04 20 spread home 8pt5	10	$1.6K	3,393	0	+3,393	Cavaliers	-$1,566	04-20 20:28
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$620	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$380	10-25 22:56
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	4	$368	304	304	+0	open	—	10-24 16:20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$270	5,050	0	+5,050	No	-$270	10-26 00:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$81	116	0	+116	No	+$35	03-10 13:41
will seguro win all of portugals districts	1	$66	81	0	+81	Yes	+$15	02-04 16:01
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	1	$35	44	0	+44	Yes	-$35	06-30 12:48
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	1	$30	32	0	+32	No	+$2	10-16 22:50
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	1	$28	35	0	+35	Yes	+$7	05-25 23:44
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$27	40	0	+40	open	—	10-22 13:30
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	1	$26	28	0	+28	Yes	+$1	05-18 14:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	1	$25	29	0	+29	open	—	09-25 00:49
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$25	0	600	-600	open	—	07-06 13:45
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$24	25	0	+25	No	+$1	07-06 13:45
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	2	$20	200	0	+200	open	—	10-23 22:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 00:01:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,748	0¢	$9	0x6d9144…
10-26 00:01:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,302	0¢	$12	0x83df5c…
10-25 22:56:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	559	20¢	$112	0x5716df…
10-25 22:56:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,441	20¢	$288	0xf226fc…
10-25 22:23:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	25¢	$250	0xfe6524…
10-25 18:40:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0xf92d3e…
10-24 16:20:20	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	304	94¢	$286	0xe91271…
10-23 22:19:33	Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	172	10¢	$17	0x6ae51e…
10-23 20:28:02	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x845b4b…
10-23 20:25:51	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	210	31¢	$64	0xeb7ff5…
10-23 20:25:33	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0x12856e…
10-22 15:53:50	Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x9c067f…
10-22 13:30:50	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xf143d8…
10-21 18:48:00	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	6,390	59¢	$3,770	0xc60891…
10-21 15:42:38	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x083a97…
10-20 17:27:00	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	164	64¢	$105	0x2fde10…
10-20 17:26:59	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	1,057	64¢	$676	0xa6a2b7…
10-20 17:26:59	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	421	64¢	$269	0xa4c8b1…
10-20 17:26:59	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	853	64¢	$546	0x169672…
10-20 17:26:53	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	3,315	64¢	$2,122	0x40e95d…
10-17 00:01:45	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	142	51¢	$73	0x4a5667…
10-17 00:00:44	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0x3d92db…
10-17 00:00:30	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0x5704ee…
10-16 22:50:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x598cc2…
09-25 00:49:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x1c6882…
07-06 13:45:47	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xd61c63…
07-06 13:45:22	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	600	4¢	$25	0xc91b3f…
06-30 12:48:56	Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	No	BUY	44	80¢	$35	0x541e9f…
05-25 23:44:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0xda5f66…
05-18 14:58:08	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	28	95¢	$26	0x970007…
04-20 20:28:38	nba tor cle 2026 04 20 spread home 8pt5	Raptors	BUY	2,853	46¢	$1,312	0xba248c…
04-20 14:52:46	nba tor cle 2026 04 20 spread home 8pt5	Raptors	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xbe495f…
04-20 14:52:44	nba tor cle 2026 04 20 spread home 8pt5	Raptors	BUY	94	47¢	$44	0x58c6aa…
04-20 14:51:18	nba tor cle 2026 04 20 spread home 8pt5	Raptors	BUY	94	47¢	$44	0x9fbd8a…
04-20 14:49:12	nba tor cle 2026 04 20 spread home 8pt5	Raptors	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0x4c1a46…
04-20 14:49:10	nba tor cle 2026 04 20 spread home 8pt5	Raptors	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xbd61b4…
04-20 14:49:10	nba tor cle 2026 04 20 spread home 8pt5	Raptors	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x44c0ed…
04-20 14:49:08	nba tor cle 2026 04 20 spread home 8pt5	Raptors	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x60a084…
04-20 14:49:04	nba tor cle 2026 04 20 spread home 8pt5	Raptors	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xfe5350…
04-20 14:47:04	nba tor cle 2026 04 20 spread home 8pt5	Raptors	BUY	225	47¢	$106	0x4d7eaa…
03-10 13:41:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	116	70¢	$81	0x98ae40…
02-04 16:01:41	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	81	81¢	$66	0x555eef…