Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.15K

Unrealized P&L

-$968

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

341

Trades

723

lifetime

Volume

$35.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$729

7 positions

First seen

2026-09-27

last 10-26 16:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 40% +$2,736

Politics

8% 11% -$752

Other

8% 16% -$833

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	+4,697	$551	4¢	$211	-$340	10-26 06:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+577	$150	29¢	$164	+$14	10-26 07:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	+5,005	$395	3¢	$150	-$245	10-26 08:33
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,771	$200	4¢	$125	-$75	10-25 16:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	+4,414	$354	1¢	$44	-$310	10-23 22:01
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+9,250	$37	0¢	$32	-$5	10-26 07:06
Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	+346	$10	1¢	$2	-$8	10-22 15:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	10	$1.6K	1,742	1,742	+0	No	+$1,383	10-24 15:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	7	$1.4K	1,090	1,090	+0	Yes	+$683	10-09 14:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	7	$903	1,291	1,291	+0	No	+$736	10-22 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET	8	$647	680	680	+0	Up	+$28	10-25 16:55
bitcoin up or down october 17 2026 7am et	3	$612	464	464	+0	Down	+$294	10-17 11:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	4	$551	4,697	0	+4,697	open	—	10-26 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3PM ET	3	$449	323	323	+0	Up	+$161	10-08 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET	4	$437	304	304	+0	Down	+$150	10-15 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4PM ET	3	$434	300	300	+0	Down	+$152	10-10 21:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	13	$405	5,876	1,825	+4,052	Yes	-$272	10-23 22:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	4	$395	5,005	0	+5,005	open	—	10-26 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET	3	$378	294	294	+0	Down	+$178	10-22 18:10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	5	$354	4,414	0	+4,414	open	—	10-23 22:01
bitcoin up or down october 17 2026 8am et	3	$354	254	254	+0	Down	+$150	10-17 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10AM ET	2	$348	250	250	+0	Down	+$148	10-24 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9AM ET	2	$343	243	243	+0	Down	+$143	10-15 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	3	$340	256	256	+0	Down	+$140	10-26 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7AM ET	3	$335	246	246	+0	Up	+$135	10-09 11:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	6	$315	8,602	0	+8,602	Yes	-$315	10-12 14:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?	4	$313	1,485	1,485	+0	Yes	-$183	10-13 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5PM ET	3	$308	222	222	+0	Up	+$108	10-02 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	2	$302	202	202	+0	Up	+$102	10-24 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	5	$292	229	229	+0	Down	+$59	10-02 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2PM ET	3	$292	197	197	+0	Up	+$102	10-08 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2PM ET	6	$288	197	197	+0	Down	+$92	10-02 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$283	220	220	+0	Up	+$99	10-25 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$283	238	238	+0	Up	+$163	10-25 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	2	$276	196	196	+0	Down	+$115	10-25 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3PM ET	5	$262	407	193	+214	Up	-$126	10-02 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$261	203	203	+0	Down	+$141	10-26 06:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 16:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	109	42¢	$46	0x814cb4…
10-26 16:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0xeab797…
10-26 16:43:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	486	8¢	$41	0x5e59f7…
10-26 16:42:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	540	3¢	$17	0xe6034c…
10-26 16:40:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	122	8¢	$10	0xff9dd9…
10-26 11:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xef97f1…
10-26 11:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x520421…
10-26 11:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	140	42¢	$59	0x6ba2b6…
10-26 11:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	74	84¢	$62	0x2324ba…
10-26 11:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	74	58¢	$43	0xe34966…
10-26 11:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	568	9¢	$50	0xc87504…
10-26 09:04:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	295	32¢	$95	0x77c720…
10-26 08:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	261	37¢	$96	0xbe63a9…
10-26 08:33:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	1,307	4¢	$55	0xd1483a…
10-26 08:11:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	674	6¢	$40	0x46ce75…
10-26 08:09:06	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	292	12¢	$35	0x3dea78…
10-26 07:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	128	97¢	$125	0x62f5a0…
10-26 07:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	128	90¢	$115	0xaca7c3…
10-26 07:25:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	577	26¢	$150	0x200a5d…
10-26 07:08:59	Counter-Strike: Off Chops vs Alter Ego - Map 1 Winner	Alter Ego	SELL	204	96¢	$196	0x2e087e…
10-26 07:06:39	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,250	0¢	$37	0x412c71…
10-26 07:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x9c08ba…
10-26 06:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	141	6¢	$9	0x8a8ec5…
10-26 06:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	233	41¢	$96	0xc558cb…
10-26 06:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	141	22¢	$31	0x38e0f0…
10-26 06:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	271	12¢	$33	0xe5d279…
10-26 06:48:44	Counter-Strike: Off Chops vs Alter Ego - Map 1 Winner	Alter Ego	BUY	204	20¢	$40	0x790771…
10-26 06:47:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	677	7¢	$50	0xb59d5f…
10-26 06:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	271	37¢	$100	0xfbf5d6…
10-26 06:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	106	34¢	$36	0x81d836…
10-26 06:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	203	99¢	$201	0x696e51…
10-26 06:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	203	30¢	$60	0x957e4c…
10-26 06:09:18	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	533	12¢	$64	0xc9b580…
10-26 06:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0x597146…
10-26 05:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	148	31¢	$46	0x4cd454…
10-26 05:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	252	40¢	$100	0xe98f0c…
10-26 05:09:57	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	691	7¢	$50	0x79ac8f…
10-26 05:09:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	1,026	5¢	$50	0x9c96f8…
10-26 05:04:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	820	5¢	$40	0x801c93…
10-26 05:03:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	1,156	9¢	$100	0x6a703b…
10-26 04:57:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	790	5¢	$43	0xf00316…
10-26 04:57:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	980	5¢	$50	0xdf672c…
10-25 16:59:35	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Astra Invicta	BUY	196	22¢	$43	0xb2f446…
10-25 16:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	371	33¢	$122	0xfeb0a4…
10-25 16:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x991792…
10-25 16:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	116	93¢	$108	0xf52eeb…
10-25 16:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	161	46¢	$75	0xdc5865…
10-25 16:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0x40b013…
10-25 16:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	79	43¢	$34	0xd12c55…
10-25 16:44:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	368	19¢	$70	0x30e281…
10-25 16:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	116	5¢	$6	0x023720…
10-25 16:39:41	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	538	8¢	$42	0xa47f6b…
10-25 16:39:11	Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?	Yes	BUY	97	5¢	$5	0xcdb5b2…
10-25 16:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	116	87¢	$101	0xdbc300…
10-25 16:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	232	28¢	$64	0x8826fb…
10-25 16:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	140	34¢	$48	0x2e7f53…
10-25 16:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	211	47¢	$100	0xa23e71…
10-25 16:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	119	97¢	$116	0xfd292c…
10-25 16:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	119	90¢	$107	0x167a16…
10-25 16:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	238	25¢	$60	0x5d1cb6…
10-25 16:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	308	22¢	$67	0xcd1966…
10-25 16:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	78	44¢	$34	0x7d4d1c…
10-25 16:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	230	44¢	$100	0x01ed14…
10-25 16:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	110	94¢	$103	0x9910dc…
10-25 16:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	110	80¢	$88	0x53cbee…
10-25 16:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	220	42¢	$92	0xe7b23b…
10-25 16:04:30	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,639	6¢	$100	0xd10d36…
10-25 16:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	196	100¢	$196	0x35df7a…
10-25 15:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	196	41¢	$80	0x69b24b…
10-25 05:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x547659…
10-25 00:05:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	371	13¢	$50	0x606f41…
10-24 23:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	167	24¢	$40	0xcc0b67…
10-24 23:50:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	472	11¢	$50	0x766c79…
10-24 23:50:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	926	11¢	$100	0x584122…
10-24 22:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0xbbed38…
10-24 22:12:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	811	6¢	$50	0x4bcf00…
10-24 22:12:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1,088	3¢	$30	0x01e197…
10-24 22:12:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	1,257	2¢	$30	0x31895a…
10-24 22:12:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	1,167	3¢	$30	0xf593ca…
10-24 22:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	248	40¢	$100	0x0b276a…
10-24 20:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	458	22¢	$100	0xaa4054…
10-24 20:19:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	1,275	8¢	$100	0x999489…
10-24 18:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	250	30¢	$75	0xa15304…
10-24 18:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	129	35¢	$45	0x4e58b7…
10-24 17:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	55	38¢	$21	0xa68b20…
10-24 17:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	106	48¢	$51	0x684fea…
10-24 17:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x28c85e…
10-24 16:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	202	50¢	$100	0x9effe7…
10-24 16:04:59	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,132	9¢	$100	0xd3fc07…
10-24 16:03:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	1,071	14¢	$150	0x2feaf3…
10-24 16:01:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	1,603	12¢	$200	0xb0c059…
10-24 16:00:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	1,793	14¢	$251	0xbb35c0…
10-24 15:42:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	4,357	2¢	$100	0x08eeec…
10-24 15:20:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	218	92¢	$201	0x2aed85…
10-24 15:19:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	530	2¢	$10	0x0efc8e…
10-24 15:17:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	218	86¢	$188	0xe6200e…
10-24 15:16:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	39	92¢	$36	0xe816eb…
10-24 15:16:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	397	92¢	$365	0x95a469…
10-24 15:10:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	786	82¢	$645	0xa37aaa…
10-24 15:10:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	45	82¢	$37	0x727958…