Realized P&L
+$64
Unrealized P&L
-$30
Hit rate
91.5%
Resolved
442
Trades
684
lifetime
Volume
$15.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$508
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-29 17:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Politics
55% 85% +$27
Other
43% 79% -$39
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$9
Tech
0% 33% +$23
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Sports
0% 100% +$42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +114 $100 94¢ $107 +$7 08-15 07:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +105 $100 98¢ $103 +$3 10-29 08:10
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +95 $65 80¢ $76 +$11 10-17 07:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +57 $50 100¢ $57 +$7 10-24 11:22
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +71 $50 72¢ $51 +$1 10-29 17:27
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +113 $60 44¢ $49 -$11 10-24 13:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +31 $20 72¢ $22 +$2 10-24 11:22
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +92 $60 20¢ $18 -$42 06-18 18:14
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +15 $10 70¢ $11 +$1 10-18 08:34
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +36 $20 29¢ $10 -$10 08-04 20:10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -4 -$2 56¢ $-2 +$0 05-18 06:10
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 05-23 09:49