Vapid-Penguin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

276

Trades

277

lifetime

Volume

$3.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-28 07:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 14:26
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-13 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 12?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-12 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 11?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-11 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 10?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-10 09:39
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 9?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-09 09:27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:45
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-04 15:54
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:13
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:32
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-08 10:27
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-07 07:05
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 12c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 09:14
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 14:10
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 07:37
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:31
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 03:31
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 15c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-01 15:14
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 10:22
highest temperature in san francisco on march 30 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:52
highest temperature in chongqing on march 30 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 09:42
highest temperature in los angeles on march 29 2026 84forhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb0e38…
10-27 08:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbcde4d…
10-26 09:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69e3fe…
10-24 11:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe576e…
10-22 10:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4984df…
10-20 07:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05fa94…
10-19 09:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee2c73…
10-18 09:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e76db…
10-17 14:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89684a…
10-16 08:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70b3c4…
10-15 09:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd1cfd…
10-14 09:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1894e…
10-13 09:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27f25a…
10-12 08:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88df9b…
10-11 08:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9d116…
10-08 08:23:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97a1d1…
10-07 14:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5910c…
10-06 07:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1efaec…
10-04 15:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc75f4…
10-03 07:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e0586…
10-02 07:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9fa13…
10-01 08:17:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13ac0d…
09-30 12:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ad0fe…
09-29 14:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x713284…
09-28 09:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49ccad…
09-27 08:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0010a…
09-25 12:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38a37a…
09-24 08:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67e8bc…
09-23 06:49:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84ef8f…
09-22 07:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x976d61…
09-21 09:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13bb8a…
09-20 05:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa71dc7…
09-19 08:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91456a…
09-18 06:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdd22a…
09-17 04:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x169c09…
09-16 08:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x875336…
09-15 09:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97536a…
09-14 08:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9432eb…
09-12 16:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a9502…
09-11 07:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcac852…
09-10 06:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe3e6a…
09-09 02:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc72919…
09-08 02:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdac060…
09-07 08:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfbed0…
09-06 17:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80bf97…
09-06 09:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59aead…
09-05 09:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc361c7…
09-04 17:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27b8cf…
09-03 09:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8225e7…
09-02 07:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf60acf…
08-30 08:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa59d7b…
08-29 07:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51df1d…
08-28 07:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b2832…
08-27 08:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfdebe5…
08-26 08:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x258e1b…
08-25 09:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88b75e…
08-24 09:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86ae2f…
08-23 14:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56c5ad…
08-22 08:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28398f…
08-21 07:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3447fe…
08-20 08:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9595da…
08-19 11:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30fc38…
08-18 08:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd6ebc…
08-17 07:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91ad51…
08-16 11:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5928ea…
08-15 09:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x811824…
08-14 06:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10c380…
08-13 07:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81056d…
08-12 07:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f84bb…
08-11 06:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31be06…
08-10 06:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf93cbf…
08-09 01:21:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x337ba0…
08-08 07:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25bcc7…
08-07 01:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcccfe0…
08-06 06:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f66b8…
08-05 07:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97f938…
08-04 08:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f00a1…
08-03 07:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb16f42…
08-02 01:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x884f2c…
08-01 06:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f6a0b…
07-31 08:23:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x938cd4…
07-30 06:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd2dc2…
07-29 06:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa83b11…
07-28 06:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf37e8…
07-27 08:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x899664…
07-26 06:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1df3bc…
07-25 07:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59321c…
07-24 09:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x011fc5…
07-23 07:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36dd51…
07-22 01:50:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41f78c…
07-20 23:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9d288…
07-20 07:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb20f0a…
07-18 23:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x458217…
07-18 00:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb1908…
07-17 06:33:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee4757…
07-15 22:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8291fb…
07-15 07:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9434ed…
07-14 07:26:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea3d16…
07-13 07:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xe19581…
07-12 02:14:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xef02ae…