Imperfect-Cub — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.4%

Resolved

175

Trades

898

lifetime

Volume

$1.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 05-12 02:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	5	$32	35	30	+5	Down	+$6	05-08 01:57
btc updown 5m 1775865600	2	$24	16	15	+0	open	—	04-11 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	4	$24	156	156	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 17:36
btc updown 5m 1775862600	2	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	04-10 23:12
btc updown 5m 1775863500	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-10 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	4	$20	17	17	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 23:00
btc updown 5m 1775865900	2	$19	22	21	+1	open	—	04-11 00:09
btc updown 5m 1775866800	4	$15	17	16	+1	open	—	04-11 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	4	$15	14	14	+0	Up	+$5	05-08 01:38
btc updown 5m 1775871300	5	$14	17	16	+1	open	—	04-11 01:39
btc updown 5m 1775862900	4	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	04-10 23:20
btc updown 5m 1774494000	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	03-26 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$14	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$13	14	11	+3	Down	+$1	05-04 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-08 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	7	$13	41	35	+6	Up	$-3	05-08 02:40
btc updown 5m 1775865300	3	$13	20	8	+12	open	—	04-10 23:58
btc updown 5m 1775865000	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	04-10 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$12	22	22	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	4	$12	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	5	$12	14	11	+3	Down	+$0	05-05 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	4	$12	19	19	+0	Down	$-0	05-04 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	6	$12	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-04 23:19
btc updown 5m 1775864700	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-10 23:48
btc updown 5m 1775751600	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-09 16:24
btc updown 5m 1775706300	4	$11	14	13	+1	open	—	04-09 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$11	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 15:12
btc updown 5m 1775952900	3	$11	15	6	+9	open	—	04-12 00:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 02:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd855e2…
05-12 01:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdcee23…
05-12 01:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf025cb…
05-12 01:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x9de0b2…
05-12 01:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcf412f…
05-12 01:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x62ed1c…
05-12 01:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x763dbb…
05-12 01:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0x46f10a…
05-12 01:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdcd364…
05-12 01:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf0bff1…
05-11 19:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xf9b0ea…
05-11 18:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xf51716…
05-11 18:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2c5cf6…
05-11 18:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xd37012…
05-11 18:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcba401…
05-11 18:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x4b7133…
05-11 18:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x81660c…
05-11 18:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x258d29…
05-11 11:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0x697167…
05-11 11:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x266760…
05-11 01:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x53d7a3…
05-11 01:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x36768a…
05-11 01:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x395555…
05-11 01:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf1bfbf…
05-11 01:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0x686af9…
05-11 01:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd89cf6…
05-11 01:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x4ab0ad…
05-11 01:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa41ae4…
05-11 01:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x85da69…
05-11 01:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x67b5ca…
05-11 01:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x9cf5d0…
05-11 01:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb53b9f…
05-11 01:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x32e5d4…
05-11 01:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x711fac…
05-11 00:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2580c2…
05-11 00:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa4766a…
05-11 00:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6002a5…
05-11 00:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x18e347…
05-11 00:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x1c02a6…
05-11 00:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd6b245…
05-11 00:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x1751fd…
05-11 00:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x76b7f8…
05-11 00:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xe52bc6…
05-11 00:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdeb6c0…
05-11 00:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x66b339…
05-11 00:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0xe8e7bc…
05-11 00:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2e5f8a…
05-10 23:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfdc552…
05-10 23:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x107127…
05-10 23:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x461c6b…
05-10 23:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x39843b…
05-10 23:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1b406e…
05-10 23:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x69c1e1…
05-10 22:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x252596…
05-10 22:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9bb586…
05-10 22:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xb0e2eb…
05-10 22:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x600d2a…
05-10 22:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xbaba07…
05-10 22:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x8b6e63…
05-10 22:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xda8500…
05-10 18:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xb3d225…
05-10 18:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0xb7f559…
05-10 17:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	37¢	$2	0x7426bc…
05-10 17:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x7c8ef1…
05-10 17:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x12c25a…
05-10 17:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0118fe…
05-10 16:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0x5a930f…
05-10 16:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb2ab3b…
05-10 16:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	61¢	$6	0x551d32…
05-10 16:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x93c690…
05-10 16:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe99a21…
05-10 16:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe2f5a6…
05-10 16:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2f1070…
05-10 15:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x794502…
05-10 15:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe5d332…
05-10 15:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe63ec1…
05-10 15:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb2f513…
05-10 15:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0xc8f0d5…
05-10 15:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xecb0c3…
05-10 14:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xf8ea9b…
05-10 14:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x93c0e6…
05-10 14:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x59eceb…
05-10 14:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x91db18…
05-10 14:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x92ac32…
05-10 14:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xd3a8d6…
05-10 13:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0x9be725…
05-10 13:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xd1cd2d…
05-10 13:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x37ecc8…
05-10 13:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x09b4ec…
05-10 12:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x0010fd…
05-10 12:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe02225…
05-10 12:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x76e915…
05-10 12:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd82b1b…
05-10 12:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9ac343…
05-10 12:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x72e7c0…
05-10 12:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x607081…
05-10 12:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa40010…
05-10 12:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0x7546d6…
05-10 12:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1dc6f1…
05-10 11:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x5d881b…