Puny-Pest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$130

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 11-08 14:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

97% 60% +$141

Crypto

2% 40% -$10

Tech

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	6	$1.2K	856	856	+0	open	—	11-08 14:34
Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	3	$567	337	337	+0	Yes	+$89	10-19 15:10
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026?	2	$398	230	230	+0	No	+$54	09-16 15:00
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	3	$268	251	251	+0	open	—	09-12 18:35
Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	2	$115	81	81	+0	Yes	-$3	10-14 14:13
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$32	18	18	+0	Yes	$0	04-26 14:57
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 28?	1	$18	23	0	+23	No	+$5	04-27 06:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 26?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	$0	04-25 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 27?	1	$15	18	0	+18	No	+$3	04-26 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3AM ET	2	$10	12	12	+0	Up	-$6	04-26 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11PM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	04-26 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10AM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	04-25 14:58
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 24	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	04-24 12:59
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 5?	2	$3	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-06 09:22
highest temperature in manila on april 24 2026 36c	2	$3	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	04-23 16:51
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$2	27	27	+0	No	-$1	05-21 13:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	05-06 09:29
bitcoin up or down on april 24 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	-$1	04-24 11:28
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 5?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-05 01:54
highest temperature in manila on april 24 2026 37c	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	04-23 16:52
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 4?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-04 05:03
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	-$1	05-15 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on May 3?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-03 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	-$1	04-28 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Down	-$1	04-26 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$1	5	0	+5	Up	-$1	04-26 07:56
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on April 25?	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	-$1	04-23 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	04-28 13:57
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	04-26 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-11 15:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 14:34:33	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	Yes	SELL	460	66¢	$302	0xefedc2…
10-19 15:11:05	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	Yes	BUY	460	70¢	$322	0x3b9659…
10-19 15:10:20	Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	Yes	SELL	337	97¢	$328	0xe7f8c0…
10-16 01:48:16	will champi peak as a violent typhoon	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc3f4fa…
10-16 01:47:45	will champi peak as a violent typhoon	Yes	BUY	332	71¢	$235	0x915b8c…
10-16 01:45:58	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	Yes	SELL	315	78¢	$245	0x9dc404…
10-14 14:14:59	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	Yes	BUY	69	79¢	$55	0xcc6c47…
10-14 14:13:51	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	No	SELL	81	69¢	$56	0x2871f3…
10-14 05:53:05	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	No	BUY	81	72¢	$59	0x72f98d…
10-14 05:52:17	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	Yes	SELL	82	73¢	$60	0x2ff071…
09-16 15:18:12	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	Yes	BUY	328	68¢	$222	0x6169a6…
09-16 15:00:00	Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026?	No	SELL	230	98¢	$226	0x916c27…
09-12 18:39:10	Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026?	No	BUY	230	75¢	$172	0xd69e75…
09-12 18:35:45	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	251	71¢	$177	0xbc989f…
05-21 13:24:56	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0x31321b…
05-18 15:29:18	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0xec15a5…
05-15 07:29:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x02cc16…
05-11 15:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x953291…
05-11 14:50:19	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	33	38¢	$13	0xcb96d9…
05-06 09:29:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x6048ab…
05-06 09:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 5?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd87f57…
05-05 14:37:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 5?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0cb754…
05-05 01:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 5?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe51db0…
05-04 05:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 4?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x855e83…
05-03 13:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on May 3?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x280f26…
05-02 15:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 3?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0712c7…
05-02 06:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x02c8f6…
05-02 06:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x664c4d…
05-01 11:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 2?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4d286d…
05-01 11:01:36	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	218	36¢	$78	0x4fd134…
04-28 14:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xab8dc3…
04-28 13:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x20f0e2…
04-27 06:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 28?	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x0160b7…
04-26 14:58:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 27?	No	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0xaa680d…
04-26 14:57:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0x1b556c…
04-26 13:17:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x63c7a9…
04-26 13:00:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x119e13…
04-26 08:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf3166f…
04-26 07:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x42548e…
04-26 07:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x00500d…
04-26 07:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x05281a…
04-26 07:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xed780f…
04-26 03:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x3400a8…
04-25 14:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xf5fc2c…
04-25 14:43:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 26?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x5afbce…
04-25 14:35:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xf8a337…
04-24 12:59:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 24	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x60d591…
04-24 11:28:30	bitcoin up or down on april 24 2026	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x980200…
04-23 16:52:52	highest temperature in manila on april 24 2026 37c	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0f9837…
04-23 16:51:58	highest temperature in manila on april 24 2026 36c	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x32e4c3…
04-23 15:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8dcf6d…
04-23 07:23:50	highest temperature in manila on april 24 2026 36c	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x52bbc6…