Reckless-Fir — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.5%

Resolved

Trades

278

lifetime

Volume

$1.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 05-30 19:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	05-30 19:04
btc updown 5m 1775833200	3	$42	34	32	+2	open	—	04-10 15:05
btc updown 5m 1776017100	2	$31	22	21	+1	open	—	04-12 18:10
btc updown 5m 1776472800	3	$25	20	19	+1	open	—	04-18 00:46
btc updown 5m 1776017400	2	$25	50	0	+50	open	—	04-12 18:14
btc updown 5m 1776905400	3	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	04-23 00:56
btc updown 5m 1776489600	2	$22	18	17	+1	open	—	04-18 05:25
btc updown 5m 1776021000	1	$20	47	0	+47	open	—	04-12 19:14
btc updown 5m 1775865900	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	04-11 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	05-16 23:04
btc updown 5m 1776308700	2	$16	13	12	+1	open	—	04-16 03:10
btc updown 5m 1776817500	2	$16	12	11	+0	open	—	04-22 00:30
btc updown 5m 1776362700	3	$16	12	6	+6	open	—	04-16 18:10
btc updown 5m 1776298500	1	$15	36	0	+36	open	—	04-16 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	05-01 18:29
btc updown 5m 1776387300	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-17 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 09:24
btc updown 5m 1776387000	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-17 00:55
btc updown 5m 1776271500	2	$14	16	15	+1	open	—	04-15 16:47
btc updown 5m 1776560100	1	$13	28	0	+28	open	—	04-19 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	6	$11	12	4	+8	open	—	05-30 19:14
btc updown 5m 1776843300	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-22 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	04-30 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 05:27
btc updown 5m 1775899500	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-11 09:29
btc updown 5m 1776029100	1	$10	62	0	+62	open	—	04-12 21:28
btc updown 5m 1775919600	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-11 15:05
btc updown 15m 1776024000	1	$10	67	0	+67	open	—	04-12 20:11
btc updown 5m 1775862000	1	$10	36	0	+36	open	—	04-10 23:02
btc updown 5m 1775865300	1	$10	77	0	+77	open	—	04-10 23:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 19:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8df510…
05-30 19:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9d2b1f…
05-30 19:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8f7e43…
05-30 19:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x320a1e…
05-30 19:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0xf54b18…
05-30 19:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x190f12…
05-30 19:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x10e11a…
05-30 18:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xede6c3…
05-30 18:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x92d1ce…
05-30 18:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x480baf…
05-30 18:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x420f30…
05-30 18:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x27cb27…
05-30 18:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf226d7…
05-30 14:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xaf6596…
05-30 09:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa21e4c…
05-30 09:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x093267…
05-26 04:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc828e9…
05-26 04:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6689b6…
05-25 20:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x021c00…
05-25 19:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x3da8cf…
05-25 15:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc0157d…
05-25 15:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x1bb743…
05-25 15:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x94ac37…
05-25 14:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xdb7608…
05-25 14:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x03cfe1…
05-23 05:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xdf4ca3…
05-23 05:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x75d5aa…
05-23 05:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb00e56…
05-23 05:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xfea1c5…
05-23 05:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x7843f3…
05-23 04:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x27bcd3…
05-23 04:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8c3064…
05-23 04:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3142ac…
05-23 04:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xd6b7c1…
05-23 04:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe4f752…
05-23 03:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe45127…
05-23 03:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2704e0…
05-23 03:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9eb530…
05-23 03:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x523f88…
05-17 02:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0xc1bb53…
05-17 02:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x39c3a6…
05-17 01:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2111b5…
05-17 00:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x935112…
05-17 00:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x707413…
05-16 23:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x880f7d…
05-16 23:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfb6f29…
05-16 23:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x00a3fd…
05-16 23:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0xf7930a…
05-16 23:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4a17cf…
05-16 23:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcdd2cc…
05-16 21:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x29e310…
05-16 21:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xff2411…
05-16 21:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5e8ca4…
05-16 21:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x7c5a43…
05-16 21:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe03168…
05-16 20:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd41fe1…
05-16 18:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xd1d411…
05-16 03:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xd193b0…
05-16 02:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb71a99…
05-16 01:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x94d6ba…
05-16 01:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x925a75…
05-15 23:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfd8fb7…
05-15 23:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x5e12c2…
05-15 23:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf3ad5c…
05-15 23:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xc671de…
05-15 22:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5f26eb…
05-15 22:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc915ad…
05-15 22:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x494e0a…
05-15 21:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe107ab…
05-15 21:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4288e7…
05-15 21:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xcf40f0…
05-15 21:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x56b6a3…
05-15 21:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x0de94b…
05-15 21:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x278428…
05-15 04:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x29e260…
05-15 04:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5c90f5…
05-15 04:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd73624…
05-15 04:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc81317…
05-15 04:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x880a3d…
05-15 04:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd2ada7…
05-15 04:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xea9e2f…
05-15 03:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7c5107…
05-15 03:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xb960a1…
05-15 03:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xff60ec…
05-15 03:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xfbd2cf…
05-14 05:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9f8edb…
05-14 05:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x127cfb…
05-13 04:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x759457…
05-12 03:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$4	0x672a64…
05-12 03:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd9d5bd…
05-12 03:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x1e47d2…
05-12 03:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x146a90…
05-01 18:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xd3d655…
05-01 17:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb08280…
05-01 17:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6b328d…
05-01 17:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8b0582…
05-01 07:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x521eb0…
04-30 17:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x52761e…
04-30 17:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xce41e9…
04-30 17:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x11a7cf…