Original-Buck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$245

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.1%

Resolved

173

Trades

473

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 07-18 16:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

76% 47% -$194

Crypto

21% 78% -$14

Politics

2% 42% -$43

Sports

1% 67% +$1

Tech

0% 67% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ITF Estepona: Alice Gillan vs Mariam Bolkvadze	6	$392	396	396	+0	cancelled	-$4	05-20 10:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 17:15 UTC	4	$360	190	190	+0	Up	-$2	02-06 17:28
Counter-Strike: Melilla Titans vs HAVENs (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage	8	$343	235	235	+0	Melilla Titans	+$70	05-19 19:54
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	10	$306	180	180	+0	FULL SENSE	+$54	05-15 12:40
dota2 vpp re 2026 02 02	13	$272	168	168	+0	VP.Prodigy	+$13	02-02 12:57
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?	3	$258	177	177	+0	Under	+$95	05-15 10:06
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 4 Winner	4	$255	230	230	+0	cancelled	-$25	05-17 18:36
dota2 flc tundra 2026 02 05	4	$205	117	117	+0	Team Falcons	-$3	02-05 21:00
dota2 vpp npcsir 2026 02 03 game2	4	$201	105	105	+0	VP.Prodigy	+$8	02-03 12:05
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 13:45 UTC	3	$187	200	0	+200	Up	+$13	02-07 13:58
dota2 strong ill 2026 02 02 game2	5	$182	209	119	+90	strongboys	+$9	02-02 15:18
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 13:30 UTC	2	$176	180	0	+180	Down	+$4	02-07 13:41
dota2 heroic rnx 2026 02 06 game1	2	$175	88	88	+0	Heroic	+$1	02-06 15:17
Map Handicap: VSC (-1.5) vs Players (+1.5)	4	$174	172	172	+0	cancelled	-$2	05-14 21:36
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 13:00 UTC	2	$172	180	0	+180	Down	+$8	02-07 13:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 12:15 UTC	10	$166	110	109	+1	Down	+$16	02-06 12:30
dota2 mouz xtreme 2026 02 03	5	$155	82	82	+0	Xtreme Gaming	+$8	02-03 12:54
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 Winner	4	$151	120	120	+0	Nemiga	+$1	05-19 09:21
dota2 mouz gl 2026 02 05	10	$150	76	76	+0	GamerLegion	-$1	02-05 17:36
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner	3	$146	357	0	+357	GenOne	-$146	05-20 11:49
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 16:30 UTC	4	$146	171	115	+57	Up	+$3	02-06 16:44
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs	6	$140	135	135	+0	cancelled	-$7	05-19 13:32
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner	3	$136	90	90	+0	Alliance	+$44	05-28 11:27
dota2 vpp npcsir 2026 02 03	8	$128	182	182	+0	VP.Prodigy	-$88	02-03 13:07
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:15 UTC	3	$127	150	0	+150	Down	-$127	02-07 14:29
dota2 flc ty 2026 02 05	3	$126	73	73	+0	Team Yandex	+$20	02-05 17:26
dota2 pi aur1 2026 01 28 game1	5	$126	73	73	+0	Pipsqueak+4	+$19	01-28 18:35
dota2 pr1 1win 2026 01 28 game2	4	$121	75	75	+0	Power Rangers	-$9	01-28 15:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 17:30 UTC	5	$119	106	25	+80	Up	+$12	02-06 17:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 07:45 UTC	1	$118	120	0	+120	Down	+$2	02-07 07:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 16:12:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x9fb32d…
07-18 16:10:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xf2f5e6…
07-16 10:27:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	105	2¢	$3	0xdd2b68…
07-14 18:03:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x79900e…
07-14 10:38:40	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	17¢	$5	0x526285…
07-14 09:59:56	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xe360cb…
07-13 18:01:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x253848…
07-13 18:00:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	80	19¢	$15	0x637c49…
07-13 16:30:47	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x16e4e2…
07-13 11:15:34	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0xc029b1…
07-12 10:02:04	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x7caeb2…
07-11 09:16:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	21	13¢	$3	0xb11b21…
07-08 20:39:56	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	6¢	$5	0x9751e5…
07-08 14:10:49	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xa33bec…
07-08 13:35:19	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x00bbcf…
07-08 12:24:34	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x667475…
07-08 08:27:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x79c883…
07-07 15:54:31	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	55	57¢	$31	0x28f669…
07-05 21:45:02	will neymar score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108554	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x01b093…
07-05 09:21:22	SBF released from custody in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	4¢	$10	0x99f1d0…
07-04 19:00:40	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x34aa8d…
07-03 23:38:19	will cape verde reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120766	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xa9f615…
07-03 23:37:35	will cape verde reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120766	Yes	SELL	22	17¢	$4	0xcbee0c…
07-03 23:36:23	will cape verde reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120766	Yes	SELL	37	17¢	$7	0x0d0927…
07-03 14:29:04	SBF released from custody in 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0x474dc9…
07-03 14:27:14	SBF released from custody in 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0x6c14ec…
07-02 17:29:38	mar1 old ocs 2026 07 02 spread away 2pt5	OC Safi	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x0048a4…
07-02 17:08:04	mar1 old ocs 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Olympic Dcheira	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x645203…
07-02 17:07:59	mar1 old ocs 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Olympic Dcheira	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x6972f9…
07-01 12:50:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xcff74f…
06-30 11:05:01	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	49¢	$25	0x54abea…
06-29 11:58:25	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x06810f…
06-29 11:50:08	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x14d2dd…
06-29 11:45:05	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x16ad03…
06-29 11:32:56	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0xeee057…
06-27 08:16:16	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x0891de…
06-26 21:07:59	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x22972c…
06-26 16:00:28	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xae0840…
06-26 12:46:25	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xf49860…
06-23 16:25:07	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x495c42…
06-23 16:18:11	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x064fe1…
06-22 11:59:20	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x4f99ee…
06-22 10:21:08	will cape verde reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120766	Yes	BUY	65	17¢	$11	0x784bfb…
06-21 17:11:16	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xcdc5e9…
06-21 14:36:04	will starmer say russia or ukraine during the next pmq 20260610160650650 952 899	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf6839b…
06-21 14:35:22	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0xe5b0be…
06-21 14:30:07	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x304d84…
06-21 13:46:37	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x9b907b…
06-21 13:39:41	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xa13002…
06-20 13:50:16	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x7205cb…
06-20 13:29:53	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x969891…
06-20 13:22:23	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x967c39…
06-20 13:20:10	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x494c4c…
06-20 12:32:44	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x3b200b…
06-20 12:26:25	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x40323c…
06-20 12:24:02	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x89eed6…
06-17 21:33:40	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xe5ab9a…
06-17 10:19:16	lol nsea t1a 2026 06 17 game1	Nongshim Esports Academy	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xec4d8e…
06-16 12:25:33	cs2 ill ruby1 2026 06 16 total games 2pt5	Over	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x710211…
06-16 11:25:04	cs2 ill ruby1 2026 06 16 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf847a3…
06-16 10:53:51	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xffdb5d…
06-16 10:53:12	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x898cdb…
06-16 10:52:46	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x490914…
06-14 21:52:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0x532807…
06-14 21:52:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0x6b6926…
06-14 21:31:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	49	31¢	$15	0xfe386f…
06-14 13:58:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xe907f1…
06-13 11:02:24	cs2 navi mglz 2026 06 13 total games 2pt5	Under	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0x278ff3…
06-13 11:00:00	cs2 navi mglz 2026 06 13 game2	TheMongolz	SELL	60	25¢	$15	0x749059…
06-13 10:58:57	cs2 navi mglz 2026 06 13 game2	TheMongolz	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x5f568b…
06-13 10:58:43	cs2 navi mglz 2026 06 13 game2	TheMongolz	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x134fea…
06-13 10:57:58	cs2 navi mglz 2026 06 13 game2	TheMongolz	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x07356a…
06-13 10:57:40	cs2 navi mglz 2026 06 13 game2	TheMongolz	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xf19644…
06-13 10:57:24	cs2 navi mglz 2026 06 13 game2	TheMongolz	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x5abc10…
06-13 10:56:55	cs2 navi mglz 2026 06 13 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x57991d…
06-13 10:56:37	cs2 navi mglz 2026 06 13 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x40f8e0…
06-13 10:42:57	cs2 eac noirve 2026 06 13	Noir Verse	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x0329ec…
06-13 10:34:30	cs2 eac noirve 2026 06 13	Noir Verse	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xdf5d8b…
06-13 10:33:57	cs2 eac noirve 2026 06 13	Noir Verse	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2ddcf7…
06-13 10:19:37	lol we blg 2026 06 13 total games 3pt5	Over	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xbe41c5…
06-13 09:53:54	lol we blg 2026 06 13 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf14948…
06-13 09:53:54	lol we blg 2026 06 13 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6146c8…
06-13 09:53:54	lol we blg 2026 06 13 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4d3b36…
06-13 09:53:54	lol we blg 2026 06 13 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x41c4a6…
06-13 09:50:45	lol we blg 2026 06 13 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x021dd6…
06-11 16:07:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xd1e88f…
06-11 13:18:58	val oas boom 2026 06 11 game1	Oasis Gaming	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa20a5c…
06-11 13:18:58	val oas boom 2026 06 11 game1	Oasis Gaming	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x860162…
06-11 13:18:58	val oas boom 2026 06 11 game1	Oasis Gaming	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x670a72…
06-11 12:53:45	cs2 mouz lgc 2026 06 11 game2 round handicap mouz 3pt5	MOUZ	BUY	36	39¢	$14	0x7e5c74…
06-11 11:50:30	cs2 mglz bb3 2026 06 11	TheMongolz	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x198be0…
06-11 10:01:31	cs2 prv 9z 2026 06 11 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x75ae7a…
06-11 08:36:45	cs2 gz1 dingcu 2026 06 11 map handicap away 1pt5	Ding Cuts	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x65239c…
06-10 17:38:15	cs2 ill g2a 2026 06 10 map handicap away 1pt5	G2 Ares	SELL	24	53¢	$13	0x123e03…
06-10 17:37:27	cs2 ill g2a 2026 06 10 map handicap away 1pt5	G2 Ares	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0xfffbd7…
06-10 17:36:48	cs2 ill g2a 2026 06 10 map handicap away 1pt5	G2 Ares	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x4d92e3…
06-10 15:58:34	dota2 l1ga z10 2026 06 10	Zero Tenacity	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0x02fcbd…
06-10 15:54:03	itf ristic lukas 2026 06 10 set totals 2pt5	Under 2.5	SELL	29	49¢	$14	0x492bf9…
06-10 15:48:09	cs2 kol leo2 2026 06 10 game1	Leo Team	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x2595a5…
06-10 15:34:18	itf ristic lukas 2026 06 10 set totals 2pt5	Under 2.5	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x292569…