Muffled-Founding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$127

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$171

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-31 14:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 88% +$3

Other

43% 95% -$14

Sports

3% 50% -$115

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$1.3K	662	662	+0	No	-$1	03-16 18:40
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	No	+$1	03-29 14:47
cbb tx pur 2026 03 26	2	$814	1,662	1,662	+0	Purdue Boilermakers	-$17	03-26 00:18
highest temperature in seoul on april 16 2026 14corbelow	1	$547	548	0	+548	No	+$1	04-15 03:16
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$370	371	0	+371	No	+$1	05-19 07:27
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$304	305	0	+305	No	+$1	04-08 09:00
highest temperature in atlanta on april 8 2026 56 57f	1	$176	176	0	+176	No	+$0	04-07 07:10
highest temperature in houston on april 9 2026 57forbelow	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	04-08 08:04
nba cha orl 2026 04 17	1	$140	233	0	+233	Magic	-$140	04-17 08:37
highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 15corhigher	1	$131	131	0	+131	No	+$0	03-24 07:36
highest temperature in london on april 10 2026 25c	1	$126	126	0	+126	No	+$0	04-09 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 30?	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	06-28 17:34
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 106°F or higher on June 24?	1	$98	98	0	+98	No	+$0	06-23 08:32
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or higher on September 2?	1	$88	88	0	+88	No	+$0	08-31 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 94°F or higher on May 23?	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	05-22 02:54
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on June 10?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	06-09 08:40
nba mia phi 2026 02 26	1	$30	55	0	+55	76ers	+$25	02-26 07:09
highest temperature in atlanta on january 8 60 61f	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	01-08 04:43
highest temperature in atlanta on january 4 50 51f	2	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	01-04 08:00
highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 21c	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-10 03:47
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 1?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	08-31 14:41
bitcoin up or down on january 19	1	$24	24	0	+24	Down	+$0	01-19 15:55
highest temperature in atlanta on february 3 2026 48 49f	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	02-03 04:05
will solana reach 190 in february 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	02-24 22:20
will hyperliquid reach 56 in february	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	02-24 23:16
highest temperature in london on january 4 0c	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	01-04 08:53
highest temperature in dallas on march 7 2026 49forbelow	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	03-06 04:09
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	02-24 17:34
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-20 18:07
highest temperature in london on january 8 2corbelow	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-07 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 14:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 1?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xebbaf4…
08-31 05:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x667516…
06-28 17:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 30?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x47210e…
06-23 08:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 106°F or higher on June 24?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xfad8a4…
06-09 08:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on June 10?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xd2a832…
05-22 02:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 94°F or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xf4ab91…
05-19 07:27:01	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	371	100¢	$370	0xfcbf2c…
04-17 08:37:54	nba cha orl 2026 04 17	Hornets	BUY	233	60¢	$140	0x98d57f…
04-15 03:16:22	highest temperature in seoul on april 16 2026 14corbelow	No	BUY	548	100¢	$547	0x5b417b…
04-10 03:47:33	highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 21c	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4d9de1…
04-09 08:18:49	highest temperature in london on april 10 2026 25c	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x7822ab…
04-08 09:00:37	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	305	100¢	$304	0x62d7ff…
04-08 08:04:47	highest temperature in houston on april 9 2026 57forbelow	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x3caef6…
04-07 07:10:25	highest temperature in atlanta on april 8 2026 56 57f	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0xcc7124…
03-29 14:47:24	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	1,015	100¢	$1,014	0x44ac25…
03-26 00:18:49	cbb tx pur 2026 03 26	Texas Longhorns	SELL	1,662	24¢	$399	0x702ef4…
03-25 22:36:27	cbb tx pur 2026 03 26	Texas Longhorns	BUY	1,662	25¢	$415	0xa5c46f…
03-24 07:36:13	highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 15corhigher	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xb99ed2…
03-16 18:40:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	662	100¢	$659	0xb61bdc…
03-15 14:02:53	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	662	100¢	$659	0xa9aeef…
03-11 05:00:37	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x74c37d…
03-06 04:09:51	highest temperature in dallas on march 7 2026 49forbelow	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5c2d98…
02-26 07:09:48	nba mia phi 2026 02 26	76ers	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x66195a…
02-24 23:16:50	will hyperliquid reach 56 in february	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xee9ec2…
02-24 22:20:12	will solana reach 190 in february 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9b8ea1…
02-24 17:34:54	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6e3319…
02-03 04:05:00	highest temperature in atlanta on february 3 2026 48 49f	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x092765…
01-20 18:07:48	will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd540cf…
01-19 15:55:06	bitcoin up or down on january 19	Down	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd4a5cc…
01-08 04:43:49	highest temperature in atlanta on january 8 60 61f	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3cb739…
01-07 06:33:07	highest temperature in london on january 8 2corbelow	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa5dbce…
01-04 08:53:03	highest temperature in london on january 4 0c	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x77bd5a…
01-04 08:00:43	highest temperature in atlanta on january 4 50 51f	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x79b4a8…
01-04 08:00:37	highest temperature in atlanta on january 4 50 51f	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe1b3d8…