Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.42K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

8,618

Trades

9,635

lifetime

Volume

$49.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-26 23:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 77% -$845

Other

7% 74% -$179

Politics

2% 37% -$269

Tech

1% 17% -$39

Sports

1% 25% -$88

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No		+0	$4	2¢	$0	-$4	06-26 23:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?	35	$304	579	579	+0	Yes	+$1	06-19 14:14
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City?	9	$172	166	166	+0	No	+$3	06-19 13:17
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	11	$130	363	363	+0	No	+$7	06-18 02:14
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?	9	$128	125	125	+0	Yes	+$3	06-18 17:52
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	51	$122	148	148	+0	Yes	-$5	06-21 01:59
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	14	$96	114	114	+0	open	—	06-26 23:03
will axiom launch a token by december 31 2027	9	$86	82	82	+0	open	—	06-25 10:53
Will GPT-5.6 not be released before August 2026?	14	$86	562	562	-0	No	-$4	06-24 19:03
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	5	$68	141	141	+0	open	—	06-29 00:13
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	9	$65	62	62	+0	Yes	-$3	06-19 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	7	$63	64	0	+64	Up	-$63	10-13 04:18
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?	7	$63	57	57	+0	Yes	-$6	06-19 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 10:25 UTC	45	$59	107	0	+107	Up	-$59	02-18 10:28
will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	6	$58	61	61	+0	open	—	06-24 12:04
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	6	$57	75	75	+0	open	—	06-21 12:47
will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	5	$53	88	88	+0	No	-$7	06-24 11:20
will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	4	$53	36	36	+0	Yes	+$0	06-21 10:33
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	2	$53	36	36	+0	Yes	+$1	06-18 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	6	$52	55	0	+55	Up	+$2	10-13 02:04
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	3	$52	31	31	+0	Yes	+$0	06-18 23:34
Will Laura Evans win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	9	$50	128	128	+0	No	-$47	06-19 19:34
Will Kate Green win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	8	$50	128	128	+0	No	-$47	06-19 19:34
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	6	$50	61	61	+0	No	-$1	06-08 08:34
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	10	$50	41	41	+0	Yes	-$1	07-05 04:57
Will Hannah Spencer win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	5	$49	122	122	+0	No	-$49	07-31 22:09
Will Nick Buckley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	4	$49	122	0	+122	No	-$49	06-19 16:39
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872	2	$49	108	108	+0	Yes	+$1	06-23 07:26
will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	2	$47	30	30	+0	Yes	-$3	06-23 08:08
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	2	$46	30	30	+0	No	-$4	06-23 10:26
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	3	$46	40	40	+0	open	—	06-23 22:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:54:24	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x01468a…
10-26 22:59:17	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x56a53e…
10-26 22:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xa9eca7…
10-26 22:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x2d6b2d…
10-26 22:49:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xcebc4d…
10-26 22:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xd4ee9f…
10-26 22:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x9639e0…
10-26 22:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x2c3f4c…
10-26 20:24:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x9d9688…
10-26 19:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x213834…
10-26 19:34:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbe69c6…
10-26 19:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6c5ea4…
10-26 18:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xe81964…
10-26 18:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x218a15…
10-26 17:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x836bf8…
10-26 17:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x13c352…
10-26 16:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x705fa3…
10-26 16:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x0f9e62…
10-26 16:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x4735c4…
10-26 15:44:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x25f64b…
10-26 15:14:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xecd22a…
10-26 15:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xb375ee…
10-26 14:04:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$11	0x6d88ed…
10-26 14:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xd74917…
10-26 13:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x08aca3…
10-26 11:59:24	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x971d23…
10-26 11:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x992a9d…
10-26 11:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x523737…
10-26 11:29:24	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	87¢	$11	0x2e332d…
10-26 11:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x5ccf6d…
10-26 11:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$11	0xdea76e…
10-26 10:19:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$12	0x1a4e91…
10-26 10:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x93d754…
10-26 09:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x670c66…
10-26 07:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x597eda…
10-26 07:14:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x8ded85…
10-26 06:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0xfab233…
10-26 05:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x21027d…
10-26 05:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0xc70498…
10-26 05:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x54fc46…
10-26 05:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xffc5c2…
10-26 04:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x8f074a…
10-26 04:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x781baa…
10-26 04:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xd98812…
10-26 03:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xc9713d…
10-26 02:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x753ad9…
10-26 02:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x033e63…
10-26 01:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x09707c…
10-26 00:54:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x7c7f3a…
10-26 00:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xbadd4a…
10-26 00:14:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x8172b5…
10-25 23:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xeb1022…
10-25 23:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x522558…
10-25 21:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x0ddc0b…
10-25 21:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xc248e4…
10-25 20:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x486dee…
10-25 20:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x8b97d4…
10-25 20:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x0abaf1…
10-25 19:59:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x24ddba…
10-25 19:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xae00a4…
10-25 19:19:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xa4cec2…
10-25 19:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x57d917…
10-25 18:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x7a9200…
10-25 18:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x0ad2c5…
10-25 17:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xe101f8…
10-25 17:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x6d8c5c…
10-25 17:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xba52a5…
10-25 17:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x695cc2…
10-25 17:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x38d358…
10-25 15:49:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xec11d2…
10-25 15:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x61b6ef…
10-25 14:29:39	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$11	0xb08955…
10-25 14:24:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x13b6be…
10-25 14:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x57be46…
10-25 12:59:36	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xfc2880…
10-25 12:34:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x9d22a4…
10-25 11:59:26	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x366635…
10-25 11:59:26	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x26329d…
10-25 10:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x819261…
10-25 10:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xb44ed6…
10-25 10:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x468423…
10-25 10:04:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8f480f…
10-25 09:59:27	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xab668d…
10-25 09:39:33	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xb9a369…
10-25 09:39:26	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf2f5dc…
10-25 09:29:29	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xc57d9e…
10-25 09:29:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb9b68b…
10-25 07:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xa32e58…
10-25 07:49:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf19830…
10-25 07:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x66a9d7…
10-25 06:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x31e4fa…
10-25 06:34:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x03456b…
10-25 06:24:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x073cfd…
10-25 06:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x7a5830…
10-25 05:14:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x46132b…
10-25 04:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8b7af4…
10-25 04:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xaa5592…
10-25 04:29:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x887afb…
10-25 04:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x1acc32…
10-25 03:59:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x0656c4…