Windy-Shootdown — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

591

Trades

1,485

lifetime

Volume

$2.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-29 17:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 44% -$37

Other

17% 60% -$9

Sports

1% 60% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:45 UTC	7	$46	39	38	+0	Down	+$24	01-29 14:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 00:30 UTC	3	$31	24	24	+0	Down	+$17	01-29 00:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:15 UTC	5	$27	21	21	+0	Down	+$15	01-29 14:31
bitcoin up or down january 16 3pm et	11	$25	25	15	+10	Up	+$5	01-16 21:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 01:45 UTC	3	$21	24	15	+9	Down	+$9	01-29 01:53
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 26?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-26 20:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 23:15 UTC	4	$20	17	15	+2	Down	+$10	01-28 23:31
Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on October 27?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-27 11:32
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	$0	10-26 17:14
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	4	$19	14	14	+0	Yes	+$3	06-19 21:08
bitcoin up or down january 16 4pm et	11	$19	27	9	+17	Down	-$1	01-16 22:02
bitcoin up or down january 16 12pm et	9	$19	19	11	+7	Up	+$3	01-16 18:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 23:30 UTC	2	$19	14	14	+0	Up	+$9	01-28 23:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 01:15 UTC	4	$18	24	9	+15	Down	+$1	01-29 01:27
bitcoin up or down january 16 6pm et	9	$18	18	10	+8	Up	+$2	01-17 00:03
bitcoin up or down january 16 5pm et	11	$17	35	7	+28	Down	-$3	01-16 23:46
bitcoin up or down january 13 2pm et	3	$16	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	01-13 19:50
bitcoin up or down january 13 4pm et	3	$16	14	9	+5	Down	+$2	01-13 22:03
ethereum up or down january 14 8am et	5	$15	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	01-14 14:05
bitcoin up or down january 17 4pm et	4	$15	11	9	+2	Down	+$3	01-17 21:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 15:15 UTC	4	$15	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	01-15 15:28
bitcoin up or down january 16 10am et	7	$15	13	13	+0	Down	+$5	01-16 15:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 23:45 UTC	4	$15	24	9	+16	Down	+$3	01-29 00:01
bitcoin up or down january 16 1pm et	7	$14	14	8	+6	Down	+$2	01-16 19:00
bitcoin up or down january 16 2pm et	7	$14	14	8	+6	Up	+$2	01-16 20:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 14:30 UTC	7	$14	14	8	+6	Down	+$2	01-17 14:46
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	2	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	06-20 00:03
bitcoin up or down january 16 11am et	5	$13	15	7	+8	Up	$0	01-16 16:54
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	10-29 17:53
bitcoin up or down january 14 7am et	3	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	01-14 12:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xaa753e…
10-29 17:53:02	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6f7fc9…
10-29 17:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x092401…
10-29 17:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x5bbd4b…
10-29 16:30:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x133e4e…
10-29 04:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xff3af7…
10-29 04:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc4ecc6…
10-29 04:01:31	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd3d6b8…
10-29 03:52:41	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7cd2ba…
10-28 21:57:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 28?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe2e8bf…
10-28 21:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x85550b…
10-28 21:34:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 28?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x8d088d…
10-28 19:51:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x93b6be…
10-28 18:59:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x939b83…
10-28 18:52:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd79975…
10-28 18:16:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1cf24d…
10-28 17:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xc278ed…
10-28 17:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x0e1d1f…
10-28 17:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8a60a1…
10-28 12:59:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 28?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfb7f57…
10-28 12:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf24251…
10-28 06:54:23	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 27?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb8a316…
10-28 06:36:41	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9a00ce…
10-28 04:25:17	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe305d5…
10-28 04:14:44	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa5817d…
10-27 22:58:39	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x54f8b2…
10-27 19:58:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbd5c2e…
10-27 18:52:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa9356c…
10-27 15:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x6aa2d5…
10-27 15:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf15311…
10-27 14:55:18	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 27?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3717bb…
10-27 14:48:14	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x468682…
10-27 11:32:14	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on October 27?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc27860…
10-27 05:07:48	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on October 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0c7a32…
10-26 20:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 26?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1ad8e8…
10-26 19:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0fae62…
10-26 17:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x664982…
10-26 16:31:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x16a58a…
10-26 15:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x133c75…
10-26 14:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdb1d4a…
10-26 12:57:33	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4a90d9…
06-26 11:19:20	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Jelena Ostapenko	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc46fb0…
06-25 18:35:26	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Jelena Ostapenko	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x015dd1…
06-22 17:51:08	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xba78ca…
06-22 16:54:37	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb0454f…
06-21 21:16:19	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Uruguay	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xd3a2df…
06-21 20:22:55	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf0e349…
06-21 18:08:52	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half total 1pt5	Over	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xde7103…
06-21 18:07:35	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x0ff72a…
06-21 17:30:46	mlb sd tex 2026 06 21	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe0fbf7…
06-21 15:43:58	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x553b53…
06-21 15:13:43	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x236636…
06-21 14:59:35	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	FURIA	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8afed9…
06-21 14:40:01	Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x20efef…
06-21 14:34:16	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game1	FURIA	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x12b07c…
06-21 14:34:14	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 map handicap home 1pt5	FURIA	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x162228…
06-21 13:01:55	Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x738fa9…
06-21 13:01:40	Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x99460c…
06-21 10:26:52	atp fritz tiafoe 2026 06 21	Taylor Fritz	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd387d4…
06-21 03:52:52	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x99f583…
06-21 03:48:07	Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xa8353e…
06-21 02:01:10	mlb bos sea 2026 06 20	Boston Red Sox	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x030ecc…
06-20 22:19:04	mlb min ari 2026 06 20	Minnesota Twins	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa70ab4…
06-20 22:19:01	Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1bbcb9…
06-20 19:46:58	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe000f3…
06-20 19:00:49	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xd23265…
06-20 17:30:43	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 first half total 1pt5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdb7121…
06-20 16:08:35	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x18de8b…
06-20 15:50:49	val edg1 lev1 2026 06 20	Leviatán Esports	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe870d6…
06-20 15:50:40	cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20	FURIA	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9e1143…
06-20 15:50:28	val edg1 lev1 2026 06 20 map handicap home 1pt5	Leviatán Esports	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x710e18…
06-20 14:55:13	cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20 game1	FURIA	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4a7e33…
06-20 14:45:28	wta navarro golubic 2026 06 20	Emma Navarro	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0d24d0…
06-20 13:47:28	cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20 game1	FURIA	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x038dae…
06-20 11:42:56	wta navarro golubic 2026 06 20	Emma Navarro	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa5e5f8…
06-20 11:42:52	val edg1 lev1 2026 06 20 map handicap home 1pt5	Leviatán Esports	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5daf6e…
06-20 11:42:50	cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20	FURIA	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x777dac…
06-20 11:42:49	val edg1 lev1 2026 06 20	Leviatán Esports	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd6520c…
06-20 11:42:38	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb2eb29…
06-20 00:03:26	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xef83e4…
06-19 21:08:43	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x99974e…
06-19 21:08:13	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x28fccd…
06-19 20:33:56	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	No	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x1ed902…
06-19 18:59:47	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xbd5222…
06-19 12:08:47	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$5	0x092ea6…
06-19 12:08:01	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x4dbf4b…
06-19 09:54:41	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2adc99…
05-28 13:45:13	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x6dc273…
05-28 13:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x044a99…
05-28 13:45:09	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x1aab63…
05-28 13:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x03d271…
05-28 13:40:12	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x436f90…
05-28 13:40:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9fb13a…
05-28 13:40:10	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x50a245…
05-28 13:35:11	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xceba61…
05-28 13:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x70e06d…
05-28 13:30:13	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3c9f0b…
05-28 13:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6e1920…
05-28 13:29:56	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7855c7…
05-28 13:29:56	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4741f7…