Fake-Musicbox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$912

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

1,766

Trades

8,715

lifetime

Volume

$39.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-02

last 10-17 08:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 70% +$934

Other

1% 54% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 313 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 02:00 UTC	5	$358	752	752	+0	Down	+$179	08-16 02:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 21:40 UTC	37	$352	1,231	1,231	+0	Down	+$72	08-16 21:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 12:30 UTC	66	$263	904	904	+0	Up	+$54	08-13 12:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 21:40 UTC	49	$232	663	663	+0	Up	+$73	08-09 21:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:30 UTC	38	$210	1,108	1,108	+0	Up	-$46	08-17 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 11:00 UTC	43	$200	667	667	+0	Up	+$40	08-11 11:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:00 UTC	36	$200	667	667	+0	Up	+$40	08-10 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:30 UTC	49	$194	402	402	+0	Up	+$22	08-19 17:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 05:40 UTC	19	$194	264	264	+0	Down	+$134	08-15 05:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:40 UTC	28	$193	667	667	+0	Down	+$33	08-09 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	42	$171	439	439	+0	Up	+$75	09-03 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	90	$166	884	884	+0	Up	-$3	09-09 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	43	$165	958	958	+0	Up	-$15	09-08 10:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:30 UTC	2	$158	293	293	+0	Up	+$88	08-09 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 05:50 UTC	16	$149	610	610	+0	Down	-$15	08-12 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	38	$147	596	596	+0	Up	+$23	09-09 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	19	$139	539	539	+0	Up	+$27	09-02 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	24	$137	439	439	+0	Up	+$41	09-08 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 12:35 UTC	44	$127	1,045	1,045	+0	Down	-$65	09-14 12:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:00 UTC	22	$127	475	475	+0	Down	+$8	08-12 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	48	$127	817	816	+0	Up	-$33	09-10 11:16
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 21:40 UTC	25	$126	483	483	+0	Down	+$16	08-16 21:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:25 UTC	4	$126	554	554	+0	Down	-$12	08-17 05:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 21:25 UTC	6	$125	417	417	+0	Down	+$25	08-08 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 17:25 UTC	9	$125	417	417	+0	Up	+$25	08-08 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 20:45 UTC	13	$125	417	417	+0	Up	+$25	08-08 20:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 17:25 UTC	23	$122	554	554	+0	Down	-$16	08-17 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:30 UTC	43	$120	816	816	+0	Up	-$40	09-14 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	17	$118	439	439	+0	Down	+$22	09-04 05:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:30 UTC	51	$115	259	259	+0	Down	+$15	08-20 05:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 08:50:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0x077b9e…
10-17 08:48:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x93d56d…
10-17 08:33:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xe7751d…
10-17 08:22:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	33	39¢	$13	0xa4557d…
10-17 08:18:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x334dca…
10-17 08:03:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	39	44¢	$17	0xa99b1d…
10-17 08:03:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0xd807ea…
10-17 06:52:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC	Down	SELL	65	35¢	$22	0x668464…
10-17 06:49:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	65	66¢	$43	0xf3c5d0…
10-17 06:44:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	52	14¢	$7	0x8e6030…
10-17 06:33:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xe3fa1e…
10-17 05:57:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	28	47¢	$13	0x672ebe…
10-17 05:48:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x41e218…
10-17 05:03:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x63d367…
10-17 04:48:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0xb42097…
10-17 04:18:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	62	73¢	$46	0x3f4a7b…
10-17 04:12:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	51	44¢	$22	0x4ff952…
10-17 04:03:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xd11f0a…
10-17 03:34:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 03:30 UTC	Up	SELL	52	38¢	$19	0x9eadfa…
10-17 03:33:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xee56ce…
10-16 22:03:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xf0dc0c…
10-16 17:33:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0x88cc7b…
10-16 17:18:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xd87cd2…
10-16 12:48:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0xe6e40a…
10-16 06:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xca3eac…
10-16 05:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	79¢	$20	0x921ce1…
10-16 04:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0x753eea…
10-16 03:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x04d2c1…
10-16 03:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	44	92¢	$41	0x94a352…
10-15 21:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	70	35¢	$25	0xbd448c…
10-15 21:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x72abd5…
10-15 20:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x360cd6…
10-15 17:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x04b23a…
10-15 08:48:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x5ec130…
10-15 04:33:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x6dcefc…
10-14 21:50:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	49	48¢	$23	0x756b76…
10-14 21:48:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x5319e8…
10-14 21:40:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	47	44¢	$21	0x5edbe8…
10-14 21:33:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xba2875…
10-14 21:18:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0xd09534…
10-14 05:19:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	28	45¢	$13	0x7173de…
10-14 05:18:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x70d8bd…
10-14 05:03:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x2849ae…
10-14 04:40:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC	Up	SELL	49	41¢	$20	0x714938…
10-14 04:33:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0x193421…
10-14 04:22:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	52	45¢	$23	0x905f3b…
10-14 04:18:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x923371…
10-14 03:33:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0x468db7…
10-14 03:03:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	56	72¢	$41	0xbc9a64…
10-13 22:35:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	48	49¢	$24	0x2f02b7…
10-13 22:33:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0xaeb2ba…
10-13 22:20:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	58	41¢	$23	0xd7eae5…
10-13 22:19:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	58	72¢	$42	0x1d675f…
10-13 22:03:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x83bf2e…
10-13 21:33:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x6f903b…
10-13 17:18:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x2c3d97…
10-13 17:03:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0xcebe32…
10-13 16:08:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	47	48¢	$23	0x503292…
10-13 16:03:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xc9cbf5…
10-13 15:50:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	54	46¢	$25	0x8273f6…
10-13 15:48:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	54	77¢	$42	0x187ff6…
10-13 15:22:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	27	46¢	$12	0x5555d1…
10-13 15:18:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	27	76¢	$21	0xe746b5…
10-13 14:18:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	27	50¢	$13	0x297e0c…
10-13 14:18:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	27	76¢	$20	0x1e4be8…
10-13 12:24:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	27	44¢	$12	0xd33622…
10-13 12:18:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xf1fb4c…
10-13 12:03:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xdbe81f…
10-13 11:48:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0xbfd5ae…
10-13 11:03:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xd2c0ce…
10-13 10:33:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	51	81¢	$41	0xd547c5…
10-13 09:51:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 09:45 UTC	Down	SELL	47	38¢	$18	0x93b020…
10-13 09:48:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xc84ec4…
10-13 09:03:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x8bce07…
10-13 08:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0x49fd38…
10-13 08:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x0b7959…
10-13 08:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x52b7bf…
10-13 07:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0xb1bbdb…
10-13 07:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x47274d…
10-13 06:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0xe5a287…
10-13 00:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	52	49¢	$25	0xce9cd8…
10-13 00:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	78¢	$41	0x3eb502…
10-13 00:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	52	49¢	$25	0xc3ca1d…
10-13 00:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xdc3b32…
10-12 22:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	51	47¢	$24	0xf1e287…
10-12 22:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	51	80¢	$41	0x5e8da1…
10-12 22:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x4296f9…
10-12 20:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xb4af72…
10-12 20:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	77¢	$44	0xd4e0fb…
10-12 19:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	47	38¢	$18	0x466f38…
10-12 19:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xe5dfdc…
10-12 18:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x32821f…
10-12 16:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	51	82¢	$42	0x45c233…
10-12 11:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	56	49¢	$28	0xfa6ba9…
10-12 11:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	56	72¢	$41	0x7af3cf…
10-12 10:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	48	47¢	$22	0x087f00…
10-12 10:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0x8e5db7…
10-12 10:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	51	41¢	$21	0x6f10d8…
10-12 10:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	51	79¢	$41	0x0aa3cd…
10-12 07:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xcc7343…