Productive-Meringue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$258

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$243

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-15 05:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

96% 74% +$242

Politics

4% 100% +$16

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	6	$4.7K	2,363	2,362	+1	No	-$1	03-11 09:34
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	9	$2.6K	4,137	4,137	+0	No	+$2	03-11 11:23
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	3	$2.3K	1,138	1,137	+1	No	+$0	03-11 10:07
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	2	$447	2,658	2,658	+0	No	+$16	03-11 08:18
open up or down on march 10 2026	3	$164	348	0	+348	Down	+$184	03-10 16:11
googl close above 310 on march 10 2026	2	$161	233	0	+233	No	+$72	03-10 15:30
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	4	$122	864	863	+1	No	-$4	03-11 12:11
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$116	796	796	+0	No	-$2	03-11 10:53
fif phi mya 2026 06 09 total 5pt5	1	$18	19	0	+19	Over	-$18	06-09 10:12
Will OC Safi win on 2026-05-07?	1	$17	18	0	+18	No	+$1	05-07 11:10
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?	1	$16	18	0	+18	No	+$2	07-07 11:16
Will Philippines vs. Guam end in a draw?	1	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	06-03 02:26
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?	1	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	07-05 04:55
es2 alm cas 2026 06 09 total 5pt5	1	$13	14	0	+14	Under	+$1	06-09 06:44
bra mir san 2026 03 10 spread away 1pt5	1	$13	14	0	+14	Mirassol FC	+$1	03-10 15:54
CA Grau vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 4.5	1	$11	12	0	+12	Under	+$1	05-29 10:47
Will Club Libertad win on 2026-05-19?	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	05-19 07:08
Will UnionTouargaSports win on 2026-06-28?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	06-28 06:13
Exact Score: FC Malisheva 1 - 0 KF Vllaznia Shkodër?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	07-15 05:37
will february 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record	2	$6	872	872	+0	No	-$3	03-11 13:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 05:37:23	Exact Score: FC Malisheva 1 - 0 KF Vllaznia Shkodër?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x95e934…
07-07 11:16:41	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xdcd644…
07-05 04:55:16	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x49e1ba…
06-28 06:13:08	Will UnionTouargaSports win on 2026-06-28?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x39dc94…
06-09 10:12:27	fif phi mya 2026 06 09 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x5f985b…
06-09 06:44:10	es2 alm cas 2026 06 09 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xdc5f2c…
06-03 02:26:05	Will Philippines vs. Guam end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x970985…
05-29 10:47:45	CA Grau vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x4bb755…
05-19 07:08:48	Will Club Libertad win on 2026-05-19?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x419fa8…
05-07 11:10:55	Will OC Safi win on 2026-05-07?	No	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0xc47d27…
03-11 13:14:47	will february 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record	Yes	SELL	872	0¢	$2	0x34c4aa…
03-11 13:06:41	will february 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record	Yes	BUY	872	0¢	$4	0x40bb48…
03-11 12:11:41	Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	276	7¢	$19	0x5564c7…
03-11 12:11:39	Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	495	7¢	$34	0xdf7003…
03-11 12:11:39	Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	7¢	$6	0x9c58f8…
03-11 12:02:55	Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	864	7¢	$63	0xf40d99…
03-11 11:23:17	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	SELL	856	4¢	$35	0xe87199…
03-11 11:23:17	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	SELL	1,314	4¢	$54	0x34d780…
03-11 11:15:55	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	2,170	4¢	$87	0x651a29…
03-11 11:10:07	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	SELL	1,215	96¢	$1,169	0x664eaa…
03-11 10:59:53	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	BUY	254	96¢	$244	0xd02c15…
03-11 10:59:53	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	BUY	961	96¢	$923	0x6695fe…
03-11 10:53:35	Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	SELL	796	7¢	$57	0xdc13a7…
03-11 10:43:35	Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	796	7¢	$59	0xb601a5…
03-11 10:21:23	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	SELL	203	4¢	$8	0x71b72b…
03-11 10:21:23	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	SELL	549	4¢	$20	0x6fb419…
03-11 10:14:41	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	752	4¢	$30	0xe84739…
03-11 10:07:05	Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	SELL	1,137	99¢	$1,128	0x1300e0…
03-11 09:59:51	Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	BUY	465	99¢	$461	0xcd44fb…
03-11 09:59:51	Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	BUY	673	99¢	$668	0x102b33…
03-11 09:34:19	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	No	SELL	1,123	99¢	$1,116	0xee9644…
03-11 09:28:29	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	No	BUY	1,123	99¢	$1,115	0x0921f6…
03-11 09:06:21	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	No	SELL	226	99¢	$224	0x3d1030…
03-11 09:06:21	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	No	SELL	1,013	99¢	$1,005	0x0a1aad…
03-11 08:29:53	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	No	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0xab5b27…
03-11 08:29:53	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	No	BUY	1,095	99¢	$1,088	0x320720…
03-11 08:18:11	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	SELL	2,658	9¢	$231	0xcae6a3…
03-11 08:11:47	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	BUY	2,658	8¢	$215	0x0dd9d4…
03-10 16:11:11	open up or down on march 10 2026	Down	BUY	75	47¢	$35	0xfe44d4…
03-10 16:11:11	open up or down on march 10 2026	Down	BUY	120	47¢	$56	0xd70e56…
03-10 16:11:11	open up or down on march 10 2026	Down	BUY	153	47¢	$72	0x99a4aa…
03-10 15:54:21	bra mir san 2026 03 10 spread away 1pt5	Mirassol FC	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xd146d5…
03-10 15:30:19	googl close above 310 on march 10 2026	No	BUY	166	69¢	$115	0xf944d2…
03-10 15:30:19	googl close above 310 on march 10 2026	No	BUY	67	69¢	$46	0xae52d5…