Complicated-Chassis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$756

Hit rate

47.7%

Resolved

1,223

Trades

7,584

lifetime

Volume

$1.16M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$153

Open exposure

$2.27K

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 10-29 01:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 154 days

Categories

Other

59% 39% -$980

Sports

41% 39% -$9,113

Politics

0% 50% -$225

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes		+25,460	$789	6¢	$1.6K	+$802	08-01 02:18
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes		+151,335	$727	0¢	$681	-$46	10-02 01:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	16	$8.0K	7,000	7,000	+0	Yes	+$2,941	06-07 21:27
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	13	$7.7K	6,500	6,500	+0	Boston Red Sox	+$1,417	07-17 19:20
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik	10	$7.3K	5,194	5,194	+0	Learner Tien	+$3,044	05-22 15:54
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	4	$5.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	Belgium	+$1,987	07-07 01:35
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul	36	$5.7K	14,400	3,185	+11,215	Tommy Paul	+$3,988	05-22 18:15
mlb bos sea 2026 06 20	3	$5.3K	4,000	4,000	+0	Boston Red Sox	+$2,240	06-21 04:03
UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	15	$5.3K	4,800	3,800	+1,000	Angela Hill	+$2,318	05-30 10:11
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	3	$4.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	Cincinnati Reds	+$1,860	05-25 21:20
atp halys kwon 2026 08 11	4	$4.9K	3,305	3,305	+0	Quentin Halys	+$1,673	08-12 00:33
atp berrett fils 2026 07 02	21	$4.5K	5,000	3,000	+2,000	Matteo Berrettini	+$980	07-02 17:07
mlb mia oak 2026 07 05	18	$4.4K	3,000	3,000	+0	Miami Marlins	+$1,563	07-05 22:56
fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	2	$4.4K	5,000	2,500	+2,500	Tunisia	-$425	06-25 23:15
mlb tor sf 2026 07 07	2	$4.4K	3,000	3,000	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$1,410	07-08 03:32
Spread: KC (-5.5)	14	$4.3K	5,483	2,200	+3,283	IND	+$2,004	09-21 03:49
mlb mil stl 2026 07 08	2	$4.2K	3,000	3,000	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	+$1,693	07-09 02:02
mlb wsh bos 2026 06 30	2	$4.2K	3,000	3,000	+0	Washington Nationals	+$1,558	07-01 01:40
wta pegula eala 2026 08 02	3	$4.1K	3,031	3,031	+0	Alexandra Eala	+$1,687	08-03 16:52
New York Yankees vs. Athletics	52	$4.0K	13,093	2,510	+10,583	New York Yankees	+$970	05-31 23:05
Spread: Bills (-5.5)	5	$4.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	Bills	-$4,000	09-17 23:46
mlb sea tb 2026 07 12	5	$4.0K	2,873	2,873	+0	Seattle Mariners	+$1,709	07-12 20:06
atp lajal blanc 2026 07 20	4	$3.9K	2,660	2,660	+0	Mark Lajal	+$1,370	07-21 23:07
atp gea zheng 2026 07 29	2	$3.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	Arthur Gea	+$2,163	07-30 04:56
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	18	$3.6K	2,476	2,476	+0	DR Congo	+$1,150	07-01 17:58
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils	19	$3.6K	2,500	2,500	+0	Hugo Gaston	+$1,350	05-25 21:54
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 3pt5	2	$3.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	Over	+$1,500	07-07 01:03
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	2	$3.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	-$30	06-13 21:46
Spread: Heat (-1.5)	3	$3.5K	2,400	2,400	+0	Timberwolves	+$1,157	10-22 01:49
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	9	$3.5K	6,533	3,332	+3,201	Buccaneers	+$5,146	10-09 02:19
wnba gsv dal 2026 09 30 total 157pt5	2	$3.3K	2,200	2,200	+0	Over	+$1,098	10-01 02:49
Pistons vs. Knicks	3	$3.2K	2,200	2,200	+0	Knicks	+$1,131	10-28 02:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 01:36:01	Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	BUY	79	44¢	$35	0xa34211…
10-29 01:36:01	Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	BUY	166	44¢	$73	0x2acb58…
10-29 01:36:01	Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	BUY	1,754	44¢	$772	0x1e0f79…
10-29 01:17:19	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Mavericks	BUY	967	52¢	$503	0x5c694e…
10-29 01:15:46	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Mavericks	BUY	436	52¢	$227	0xf910c9…
10-29 01:15:46	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Mavericks	BUY	680	52¢	$354	0x8b4448…
10-29 01:07:11	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5	Under	BUY	670	52¢	$348	0xa7d613…
10-29 00:51:47	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xc8f244…
10-29 00:51:47	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	500	34¢	$170	0xa97c8f…
10-29 00:51:47	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x494d9b…
10-29 00:51:47	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x17c8ca…
10-29 00:51:47	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x14c42c…
10-29 00:51:47	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x051098…
10-29 00:48:02	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x46a10a…
10-29 00:48:02	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	290	9¢	$26	0x04bb80…
10-29 00:47:59	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0xba03a0…
10-29 00:47:58	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	1,599	9¢	$144	0x80528d…
10-29 00:47:31	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	93	9¢	$8	0x82b154…
10-29 00:03:50	Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)	Warriors	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0x98e6e5…
10-28 18:49:28	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	1,200	51¢	$612	0xeb20b7…
10-28 18:49:11	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	3,500	51¢	$1,785	0x894d85…
10-28 02:28:24	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	1,000	49¢	$490	0xa48ed8…
10-28 02:27:30	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	2,000	49¢	$980	0xbf94f1…
10-28 02:24:29	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	2,200	99¢	$2,185	0xd0cae9…
10-28 00:56:09	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	2,200	51¢	$1,122	0x53d2f2…
10-28 00:39:47	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	1,500	46¢	$690	0xcfb84b…
10-28 00:36:56	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	700	52¢	$364	0xc74e2e…
10-28 00:33:54	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	97	49¢	$47	0x1d7683…
10-28 00:33:41	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	500	49¢	$245	0xd5636f…
10-28 00:33:38	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	98	49¢	$48	0x3a2a67…
10-28 00:33:35	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd2a029…
10-28 00:33:33	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xbc1c6f…
10-28 00:33:32	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	500	49¢	$245	0x529919…
10-28 00:33:20	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	500	49¢	$245	0x75cdf9…
10-28 00:33:08	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	500	49¢	$245	0x1dce6c…
10-28 00:33:06	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	296	49¢	$145	0x68c661…
10-27 23:20:53	Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5	Over	BUY	4,000	50¢	$2,000	0x9806b7…
10-27 05:56:14	Ningbo: Fajing Sun vs Hayato Matsuoka	Hayato Matsuoka	BUY	1,000	55¢	$550	0x3d6870…
10-27 05:55:50	Ningbo: Fajing Sun vs Hayato Matsuoka	Hayato Matsuoka	BUY	1,000	54¢	$540	0x985ec5…
10-27 05:07:29	Seoul: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Timofey Skatov	Timofey Skatov	BUY	309	42¢	$130	0xa84ec8…
10-27 02:04:35	Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)	Warriors	BUY	950	53¢	$504	0x6ba709…
10-27 02:04:18	Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)	Warriors	BUY	900	53¢	$477	0xb634e3…
10-27 02:03:41	Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)	Warriors	BUY	85	53¢	$45	0xd3049f…
10-27 00:01:51	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Suns	BUY	2,000	52¢	$1,040	0x806a53…
10-26 23:16:20	Spread: Celtics (-14.5)	Bulls	BUY	2,600	51¢	$1,326	0x10021e…
10-26 22:58:48	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5	Under	BUY	1,643	52¢	$855	0xeb4708…
10-26 22:57:47	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5	Under	BUY	492	52¢	$256	0x2ba12d…
10-26 22:56:00	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5	Under	BUY	65	52¢	$34	0x7a5178…
10-26 22:45:09	Spread: Hornets (-3.5)	Wizards	BUY	1,200	52¢	$624	0xee85e7…
10-26 22:43:12	Spread: Hornets (-3.5)	Wizards	BUY	2,000	52¢	$1,040	0x54c30b…
10-26 19:23:09	Curitiba: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucia Bronzetti	Lucia Bronzetti	BUY	115	57¢	$66	0x5f74ce…
10-26 19:13:27	Curitiba: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucia Bronzetti	Lucia Bronzetti	BUY	116	57¢	$66	0x27f25d…
10-26 17:46:09	Curitiba: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucia Bronzetti	Lucia Bronzetti	BUY	305	57¢	$174	0x22101e…
10-26 17:46:03	Curitiba: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucia Bronzetti	Lucia Bronzetti	BUY	375	57¢	$214	0x995538…
10-26 16:46:08	Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley	Arthur Fery	BUY	432	50¢	$216	0x44946c…
10-26 16:46:06	Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley	Arthur Fery	BUY	568	50¢	$284	0x2119cd…
10-26 16:41:12	Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley	Arthur Fery	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x3e3588…
10-26 16:32:45	Swiss Indoors Basel: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0x0ad18f…
10-26 16:26:54	Swiss Indoors Basel: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	184	50¢	$92	0xe9ce61…
10-26 16:26:50	Swiss Indoors Basel: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x6bfb1c…
10-26 16:26:30	Swiss Indoors Basel: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	59	50¢	$29	0xbcfc75…
10-26 16:26:26	Swiss Indoors Basel: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	1,414	50¢	$707	0x264b39…
10-26 16:24:03	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	Quentin Halys	BUY	1,500	37¢	$555	0xd7d96d…
10-26 00:45:54	Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	2,600	51¢	$1,326	0x7ead3b…
10-25 23:45:36	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	76ers	BUY	1,453	49¢	$712	0x71f378…
10-25 23:45:35	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	76ers	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7d1b5c…
10-25 23:45:33	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	76ers	BUY	97	49¢	$47	0xc5556b…
10-25 23:45:33	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	76ers	BUY	97	49¢	$47	0x9a9113…
10-25 23:45:33	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	76ers	BUY	206	49¢	$101	0x9319aa…
10-25 23:45:32	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	76ers	BUY	97	49¢	$47	0x2d4f4d…
10-25 23:45:20	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	76ers	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x156ebe…
10-25 23:44:50	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	76ers	BUY	1,500	49¢	$735	0x5f3df8…
10-25 17:03:15	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	881	5¢	$44	0x78d091…
10-25 15:51:17	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2,000	36¢	$720	0x51fca6…
10-25 15:40:20	Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan	Alex Molcan	BUY	2,000	27¢	$540	0xc63946…
10-25 01:55:03	Spread: Suns (-9.5)	Suns	BUY	2,500	52¢	$1,300	0x136e5e…
10-25 01:54:36	Spread: Bulls (-1.5)	Wizards	SELL	2,200	91¢	$1,992	0x645131…
10-25 01:16:24	Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5	Under	BUY	390	51¢	$199	0x637412…
10-25 01:16:24	Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5	Under	BUY	91	51¢	$46	0x1dd5b7…
10-25 01:16:23	Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5	Under	BUY	119	51¢	$61	0xcedd7a…
10-25 01:16:23	Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5	Under	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xbb81db…
10-25 01:16:23	Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5	Under	BUY	652	51¢	$332	0x9f33c7…
10-25 01:16:23	Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5	Under	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x99fab0…
10-25 01:16:23	Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5	Under	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x5e5515…
10-25 01:16:23	Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5	Under	BUY	574	51¢	$293	0x0b81cc…
10-24 23:58:08	Wizards vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5	Under	BUY	1,100	50¢	$550	0x4ceb3f…
10-24 23:55:41	Wizards vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5	Under	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x0f2e28…
10-24 23:54:27	Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5	Under	BUY	2,200	52¢	$1,144	0xd02944…
10-24 23:51:17	Spread: Bulls (-1.5)	Wizards	BUY	2,200	49¢	$1,078	0x047a4a…
10-24 17:00:39	UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Nikita Krylov	BUY	1,228	18¢	$221	0xf5f2b5…
10-24 17:00:39	UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Nikita Krylov	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x726cd2…
10-24 17:00:39	UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Nikita Krylov	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0x45a600…
10-24 17:00:39	UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Nikita Krylov	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x36c99b…
10-24 16:09:42	Spread: LSU (-7.5)	Auburn	BUY	257	52¢	$134	0xbe110a…
10-24 16:09:39	Spread: LSU (-7.5)	Auburn	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x5cf679…
10-24 16:09:36	Spread: LSU (-7.5)	Auburn	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbafbbd…
10-24 16:09:33	Spread: LSU (-7.5)	Auburn	BUY	1,255	52¢	$653	0x9b7b00…
10-24 16:09:05	Spread: LSU (-7.5)	Auburn	BUY	1,042	52¢	$542	0x8e836e…
10-24 16:09:03	Spread: LSU (-7.5)	Auburn	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0x712c9c…
10-24 15:48:26	Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musetti	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	44	44¢	$19	0xff00ad…