Normal-Leeway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.56K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.2%

Resolved

1,358

Trades

4,112

lifetime

Volume

$198.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 10-28 00:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 160 days

Categories

Other

100% 66% +$1,556

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 23?	2	$1.4K	803	803	+0	No	+$237	06-23 15:38
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 20?	11	$1.0K	717	717	+0	No	-$140	06-20 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 28?	2	$867	511	511	+0	No	+$154	06-28 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?	13	$851	872	872	+0	Yes	-$309	06-22 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 31?	2	$794	505	505	+0	No	+$215	07-31 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 29?	8	$762	472	472	+0	No	+$182	07-29 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 19?	22	$759	644	644	+0	No	-$195	06-19 21:02
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 23?	4	$753	472	472	+0	No	+$188	07-24 02:01
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 26?	15	$740	457	457	+0	No	+$166	07-26 19:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 27?	5	$726	437	437	+0	No	+$147	07-27 16:03
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on August 5?	21	$720	440	440	+0	No	+$143	08-05 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on July 26?	2	$716	428	428	+0	No	+$140	07-26 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 28?	5	$688	401	401	+0	No	+$111	07-28 06:02
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 31?	10	$687	420	420	+0	No	+$152	07-31 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 14?	6	$676	386	386	-0	No	+$95	07-14 17:01
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on July 25?	5	$671	386	386	+0	No	+$100	07-24 22:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 19?	2	$670	394	394	+0	No	+$117	07-19 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 13?	25	$669	386	386	+0	No	+$100	07-13 04:01
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 12?	6	$661	374	374	+0	No	+$86	07-12 19:02
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 23?	5	$658	373	373	+0	No	+$87	07-23 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 24?	9	$657	371	371	+0	No	+$84	07-24 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 19?	6	$654	367	367	+0	No	+$77	07-19 06:01
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5?	3	$650	379	379	+0	No	+$77	08-04 19:17
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 11?	9	$650	365	365	+0	No	+$79	07-11 10:02
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on July 26?	3	$649	365	365	+0	No	+$80	07-26 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on July 31?	3	$646	362	362	+0	No	+$77	07-31 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 2?	3	$643	393	393	+0	No	+$142	08-03 02:01
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on July 24?	10	$640	356	356	+0	No	+$71	07-24 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 17?	3	$639	540	540	+0	Yes	+$440	07-17 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5?	5	$633	366	366	+0	No	+$95	08-04 23:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:58:08	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x0444c8…
10-28 01:58:06	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	54	14¢	$8	0xae76f8…
10-28 01:58:06	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x9d2167…
10-28 01:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on October 29?	No	BUY	78	62¢	$48	0xc3c3ca…
10-28 00:51:50	lowest temperature in los angeles on october 29 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x3c4ca2…
10-28 00:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	124	78¢	$97	0x01267b…
10-27 23:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 27?	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0xe3a7c0…
10-27 23:28:29	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x0f5699…
10-27 23:14:21	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	49	49¢	$24	0x546f7e…
10-27 23:10:42	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	53	21¢	$11	0xf2f599…
10-27 23:10:42	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x5c2179…
10-27 23:10:42	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x0cc52d…
10-27 23:04:26	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xbab8e9…
10-27 23:04:26	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x27a315…
10-27 22:39:29	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x05d925…
10-27 22:35:21	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x4f820b…
10-27 22:27:15	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x2884bb…
10-27 22:21:20	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	156	15¢	$23	0xca951e…
10-27 22:21:18	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x12ce13…
10-27 22:21:17	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xfe38f0…
10-27 22:21:17	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xe63440…
10-27 22:21:17	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xe1825d…
10-27 22:21:17	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0xdaa9f8…
10-27 22:21:17	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x88c99e…
10-27 22:21:17	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	65	37¢	$24	0x35e277…
10-27 22:21:15	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	138	18¢	$25	0xa939fa…
10-27 22:21:15	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0x627649…
10-27 22:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	SELL	113	98¢	$111	0x261601…
10-27 20:05:27	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 29?	No	BUY	26	74¢	$19	0x73596c…
10-27 20:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 29?	No	BUY	16	78¢	$12	0xc08bea…
10-27 19:48:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	123	76¢	$93	0x946bbb…
10-27 19:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 29?	No	BUY	61	77¢	$47	0x0b56f3…
10-27 17:10:57	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 29?	No	BUY	44	82¢	$36	0xd7eae3…
10-27 17:08:50	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 29?	No	BUY	135	81¢	$109	0x51c4c2…
10-27 16:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9bc0e0…
10-27 16:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1b3c6f…
10-27 14:19:21	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 29?	No	BUY	185	78¢	$145	0xd22318…
10-27 14:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 27?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x21f87f…
10-27 13:35:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 27?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0xc750bd…
10-27 13:35:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 27?	No	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0x397cd4…
10-27 06:35:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 27?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x6daffc…
10-27 06:35:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 27?	No	SELL	88	98¢	$87	0xadb52a…
10-27 06:35:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 27?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x1c60ae…
10-27 03:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xa8ceed…
10-27 00:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x3a1f66…
10-27 00:32:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 26?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x405813…
10-26 20:17:02	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 26?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x8f1899…
10-26 20:16:56	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 26?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xa9f94e…
10-26 20:07:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 26?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x1e8731…
10-26 20:04:15	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 26?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x27d0fc…
10-26 20:03:33	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 26?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x3bf4df…
10-26 20:03:33	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 26?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x167a61…
10-26 18:17:00	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 27?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xffeb91…
10-26 18:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x3e3715…
10-26 17:06:57	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 26?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x77ad61…
10-26 17:04:03	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 26?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x935b54…
10-26 17:03:24	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xdb9818…
10-26 17:03:24	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 26?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x15de7f…
10-26 17:03:18	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 26?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xee40a5…
10-26 17:03:14	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 26?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xf456f7…
10-26 17:03:14	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 26?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x579312…
10-26 17:03:14	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 26?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x29add6…
10-26 17:03:14	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x18e192…
10-26 17:03:14	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x060530…
10-26 16:33:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x32da86…
10-26 16:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xd9c27c…
10-26 15:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 27?	No	BUY	125	78¢	$98	0xe0c39f…
10-26 14:59:54	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 28?	No	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x4b2b4c…
10-26 14:33:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 26?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0xdd074f…
10-26 13:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 27?	No	BUY	62	75¢	$46	0x6dee79…
10-26 13:30:57	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x3b5e65…
10-26 12:24:26	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	45	68¢	$31	0xa8e7a6…
10-26 10:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	42	83¢	$35	0x21d531…
10-26 07:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	113	78¢	$88	0xa34eee…
10-26 06:33:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 26?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0xbd6ca2…
10-26 05:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 26?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x0edf36…
10-25 22:33:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 25?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xd06433…
10-25 22:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x23c388…
10-25 22:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 25?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x1b07dc…
10-25 20:52:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	No	BUY	55	52¢	$29	0x44e597…
10-25 20:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 25?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$121	0xca5acd…
10-25 19:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on October 25?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$102	0xe750ba…
10-25 17:13:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	108	82¢	$89	0x3a09de…
10-25 17:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 25?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x494b1b…
10-25 14:33:32	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 26?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0xb09cb7…
10-25 13:30:08	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	BUY	124	62¢	$77	0x84f6f0…
10-25 13:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 27?	No	BUY	123	67¢	$82	0xbdf025…
10-25 12:03:59	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 25?	No	SELL	87	97¢	$84	0x480679…
10-25 12:03:59	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 25?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$36	0x1aa81f…
10-25 09:46:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	107	78¢	$83	0x6c5059…
10-25 09:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x587a0a…
10-25 09:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 26?	No	BUY	42	67¢	$28	0x475b81…
10-25 09:05:47	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 25?	No	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0xc46f3b…
10-25 09:05:41	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 25?	No	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0xc9f976…
10-25 09:05:41	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 25?	No	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x51c035…
10-25 09:05:39	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 25?	No	SELL	54	65¢	$35	0xd5a404…
10-25 09:05:39	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 25?	No	SELL	58	65¢	$38	0x7447ba…
10-25 07:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 26?	No	BUY	42	67¢	$28	0x832b42…
10-25 03:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 25?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xed3089…
10-24 23:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 26?	No	BUY	38	70¢	$27	0x40243d…