Capital-Representation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved (90d)

230

Trades (90d)

401

2,557 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$823

$23.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-30 09:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 154 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 76% -$87

Other

7% 53% +$17

Politics

3% 27% -$24

Tech

0% 50% $0

Sports

0% 58% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+10	$7	70¢	$7	+$0	10-30 09:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:05 UTC	3	$586	418	214	+203	Up	+$1	03-30 20:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	11	$461	845	845	+0	No	-$16	05-24 07:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 19:45 UTC	3	$387	334	187	+148	Up	+$4	01-31 19:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 04:30 UTC	1	$372	380	0	+380	Down	-$372	04-03 04:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 04:00 UTC	1	$369	372	0	+372	Up	+$4	04-03 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 03:25 UTC	1	$344	370	0	+370	Down	+$26	04-03 03:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 18:45 UTC	2	$321	212	210	+1	Up	-$21	01-31 18:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 03:20 UTC	1	$307	347	0	+347	Up	+$40	04-03 03:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 02:40 UTC	2	$300	306	0	+306	Up	+$6	04-03 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 08:25 UTC	3	$298	241	126	+114	Down	+$24	03-31 08:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 01:15 UTC	1	$291	302	0	+302	Down	+$11	04-03 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 00:25 UTC	1	$278	292	0	+292	Down	+$15	04-03 00:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 00:15 UTC	1	$264	272	0	+272	Down	+$8	04-03 00:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 14:45 UTC	3	$250	280	29	+252	Down	+$8	04-02 14:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 14:25 UTC	1	$250	253	0	+253	Down	+$3	04-02 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 15:10 UTC	1	$244	274	0	+274	Up	+$30	04-02 15:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 18:05 UTC	1	$234	242	0	+242	Down	+$7	03-30 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 14:00 UTC	1	$232	247	0	+247	Down	+$15	04-02 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 08:15 UTC	4	$229	222	112	+110	Up	+$2	03-31 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:05 UTC	1	$228	238	0	+238	Up	+$10	04-02 13:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 12:55 UTC	1	$224	229	0	+229	Down	+$5	04-02 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 12:45 UTC	1	$220	224	0	+224	Down	+$4	04-02 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 03:20 UTC	2	$215	220	0	+220	Up	+$5	04-02 03:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 19:15 UTC	1	$213	215	0	+215	Up	+$2	04-01 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 03:05 UTC	1	$211	217	0	+217	Up	+$6	04-02 03:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 22:40 UTC	1	$210	212	0	+212	Up	+$2	04-01 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 23:55 UTC	1	$209	213	0	+213	Down	+$4	04-01 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 18:30 UTC	1	$206	210	0	+210	Up	+$4	04-01 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 14:10 UTC	1	$206	241	0	+241	Up	+$35	03-30 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 23:45 UTC	1	$203	210	0	+210	Up	+$6	04-01 23:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:34:01	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xb73712…
10-29 17:12:43	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x7a1afa…
10-29 17:12:14	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x058d5d…
10-29 16:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xa6786b…
10-29 16:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x705734…
10-29 16:55:20	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x986ec4…
10-29 16:29:41	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x025d40…
10-29 15:41:22	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x7f618c…
10-29 13:23:13	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x87f27e…
10-21 11:45:41	UAE Tri-Nations ODIs: Afghanistan vs Bangladesh	Afghanistan	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3fa0d0…
10-21 06:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xb6820e…
10-21 06:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd82213…
10-19 10:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x32fc1f…
10-19 10:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x185199…
10-19 10:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x34ea4b…
10-19 09:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x267ec4…
10-19 07:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0x735b33…
10-19 07:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x6c8af5…
10-19 07:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x161884…
10-19 07:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x14d6df…
10-19 07:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfe0447…
10-19 07:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xbf1874…
10-19 07:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf0cb5f…
10-19 07:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6c7711…
10-19 07:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x1d7f5f…
10-19 07:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6066bb…
10-19 07:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xddc2aa…
10-19 07:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x4c2db8…
10-19 07:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x990ed4…
10-19 07:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0xffc95d…
10-19 07:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x37d7d0…
10-18 15:54:29	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0xa3184f…
10-18 15:45:41	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x445b3e…
10-18 15:45:03	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x266c45…
10-18 15:43:59	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x87a043…
10-18 15:31:54	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	SELL	14	62¢	$9	0xe8631d…
10-18 15:30:45	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x227f1e…
10-18 15:30:23	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x052ee0…
10-18 15:25:00	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x74b3ec…
10-18 14:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7b7891…
10-17 18:28:15	West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	West Indies	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0xb038aa…
10-17 17:22:20	UAE Tri-Nations ODIs: Bangladesh vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x19cd0d…
10-17 17:21:38	UAE Tri-Nations ODIs: Bangladesh vs Zimbabwe	Bangladesh	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x68a370…
10-17 16:03:39	West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	West Indies	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0c1de2…
10-17 14:27:14	UAE Tri-Nations ODIs: Bangladesh vs Zimbabwe	Bangladesh	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3201da…
10-17 06:23:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7c3738…
10-17 06:23:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x316575…
10-17 06:22:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4c35b2…
10-17 06:19:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa7eaff…
10-17 06:17:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4641c0…
10-16 09:32:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x0313a7…
10-16 09:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x6fee86…
10-16 07:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x6031d5…
10-16 07:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xce8a00…
10-16 07:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xc44d8f…
10-16 07:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x2856d8…
10-16 07:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x7d6dec…
10-16 07:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xee5efd…
10-16 07:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe64cf5…
10-16 07:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1715f6…
10-16 07:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	17	71¢	$12	0xdf81b8…
10-16 07:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x654b58…
10-16 07:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xdfb046…
10-16 07:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc12380…
10-16 07:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc84da1…
10-16 07:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x042487…
10-16 07:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x42a32f…
10-16 06:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5bf257…
10-16 06:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x390b3b…
10-16 06:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf85a79…
10-16 03:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x0664ef…
10-15 18:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x73001a…
10-15 18:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x58be72…
10-15 18:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7a7f32…
10-15 18:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xed5d22…
10-15 18:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x764f6d…
10-15 18:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x8e585d…
10-15 18:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x35df9c…
10-15 18:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x6f59c4…
10-15 18:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x21db53…
10-15 18:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9cd9e6…
10-15 18:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x995c50…
10-15 18:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdcc944…
10-15 18:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x39c644…
10-15 18:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x65f2e9…
10-15 17:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x0ce93c…
10-15 17:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9b2826…
10-15 17:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x0a7b0c…
10-15 17:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1072d0…
10-15 16:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x938137…
10-15 16:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x289a34…
10-15 16:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x422784…
10-15 16:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0acc32…
10-15 15:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xaf0429…
10-15 15:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3de44a…
10-15 15:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5e0ae2…
10-14 16:33:10	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	West Indies	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x4faaf8…
10-14 16:16:19	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	West Indies	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc4136b…
10-14 16:09:18	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	West Indies	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcdc3e1…
10-14 15:59:18	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	India	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x396d02…