Idolized-Strife-Aftershock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$70

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-21 23:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 39% $-51

Other

7% 33% $-14

Politics

2% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$124	80	80	+0	Up	+$34	05-11 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9PM ET	4	$119	207	207	+0	Up	$-102	05-13 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$116	86	86	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET	2	$109	180	146	+34	open	—	05-17 17:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$90	148	0	+148	Down	+$58	05-12 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$51	177	0	+177	open	—	05-21 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$50	112	0	+112	Up	$-50	05-12 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$50	111	0	+111	Up	+$61	05-11 18:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	3	$48	123	0	+123	Down	+$75	05-12 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$40	72	0	+72	open	—	05-17 15:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$30	256	0	+256	Down	$-30	05-12 02:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$29	20	20	+0	Down	+$9	05-12 14:49
Will Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	3	$29	34	34	+0	open	—	05-13 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7PM ET	1	$26	57	0	+57	open	—	05-16 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	3	$26	48	48	+0	open	—	05-16 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$25	49	0	+49	Down	$-25	05-11 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$25	56	56	+0	open	—	05-17 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$20	44	0	+44	Down	$-20	05-12 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$20	38	0	+38	Down	+$18	05-12 20:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$20	43	0	+43	Up	+$23	05-12 15:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$20	51	0	+51	Down	+$31	05-11 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$20	49	0	+49	open	—	05-16 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$20	48	0	+48	Down	$-20	05-12 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$20	35	0	+35	Down	$-20	05-12 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$20	87	0	+87	Down	$-20	05-12 03:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$20	45	0	+45	open	—	05-17 15:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$20	34	0	+34	Down	+$14	05-12 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$18	47	0	+47	Up	$-18	05-11 17:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$16	31	10	+21	Down	$-14	05-12 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$13	27	0	+27	open	—	05-16 22:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 23:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	177	29¢	$51	0x682bde…
05-17 17:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	146	10¢	$15	0xdd5436…
05-17 17:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	180	52¢	$93	0x7050e0…
05-17 15:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xd78d2f…
05-17 15:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	72	55¢	$40	0xd1cd44…
05-17 15:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	56	8¢	$5	0xc21037…
05-17 15:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe1e4ea…
05-17 15:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x3ba555…
05-16 23:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	57	46¢	$26	0xfc7962…
05-16 22:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0x9b621d…
05-16 22:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	48	12¢	$6	0x767eff…
05-16 22:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x83ab95…
05-16 22:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x79c234…
05-16 21:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x0f7a39…
05-13 19:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xf130ab…
05-13 16:58:28	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xdfa645…
05-13 15:37:25	Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xeca868…
05-13 15:00:21	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	SELL	23	11¢	$3	0x13a838…
05-13 14:40:31	Will Starmer say "Appalling" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xe1341d…
05-13 14:39:47	Will Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	SELL	34	25¢	$9	0x7776e3…
05-13 11:23:10	Will Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x7c3069…
05-13 01:48:48	Will King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during State Opening?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x6e529d…
05-13 01:48:21	Will King Charles say "Economy" during State Opening?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x900144…
05-13 01:47:10	Will King Charles say "Security" during State Opening?	No	BUY	34	32¢	$11	0x6517b6…
05-13 01:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	207	4¢	$8	0xf8cce5…
05-13 01:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x53fe8a…
05-13 01:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0xed7ecf…
05-13 01:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0x70e10c…
05-12 20:43:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	148	61¢	$90	0x3d89b2…
05-12 20:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x97650d…
05-12 19:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xa56836…
05-12 19:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	37¢	$6	0xb66900…
05-12 16:13:36	Will "2026" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x11fd3d…
05-12 16:10:41	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc77f5f…
05-12 16:10:09	Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x134671…
05-12 16:04:46	Will Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x8f9da7…
05-12 15:54:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0x8c6b30…
05-12 15:53:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x9298b8…
05-12 15:52:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	66	45¢	$30	0x5a847f…
05-12 15:40:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x948ff9…
05-12 15:22:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xdfd77d…
05-12 15:20:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x124612…
05-12 14:49:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0xefca43…
05-12 14:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe87549…
05-12 14:42:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xff39a1…
05-12 14:41:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x34315f…
05-12 14:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xa36489…
05-12 14:13:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6f5e00…
05-12 14:13:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2d3771…
05-12 03:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x651307…
05-12 03:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xfab7b7…
05-12 02:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0xed9eb7…
05-12 02:29:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	247	4¢	$10	0x342cfc…
05-12 02:16:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	256	12¢	$30	0x8d1b00…
05-12 00:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0xe4d843…
05-12 00:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x54810a…
05-12 00:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x61366a…
05-11 19:12:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xe365ed…
05-11 18:58:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0xf32bf3…
05-11 18:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xdbdd6e…
05-11 18:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x354c63…
05-11 17:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	47	68¢	$32	0x708301…
05-11 17:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	38	33¢	$13	0x66480a…
05-11 17:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xf5f9cd…
05-11 17:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	47	38¢	$18	0xb09731…
05-11 17:15:42	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x2ec6ba…
05-11 16:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x87ec29…
05-11 15:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x00220a…
05-11 15:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	80	56¢	$45	0x883fb0…
05-11 15:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xe88db2…
05-11 15:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xeb4023…
05-11 15:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x801818…
05-11 14:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x019538…
05-11 14:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x23379f…
05-11 14:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x0b8a4f…
05-11 14:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb5912f…
05-11 13:55:44	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x8061ba…
05-11 13:44:50	Will Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xbb423b…
05-11 13:43:57	Will Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x257d3e…
05-11 13:42:51	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xbe2ff0…
05-11 13:39:26	Will Trump post "Black" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x1705c2…
05-11 13:31:23	Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xc5edc6…