Thorny-Bachelor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

148

Trades

192

lifetime

Volume

$834

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 08-06 13:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

85% 42% -$26

Politics

12% 44% +$14

Sports

2% 50% +$0

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+49	$10	18¢	$9	-$1	07-25 16:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+40	$5	11¢	$4	-$1	07-25 16:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	2	$40	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-01 14:34
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?	2	$40	53	0	+53	No	-$40	07-05 21:53
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	3	$32	18	18	+0	Argentina	+$4	07-15 21:17
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?	1	$30	38	0	+38	Yes	+$8	06-23 01:54
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?	2	$28	21	21	+0	Yes	+$14	06-23 01:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$26	16	16	+0	No	+$6	07-15 21:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	05-05 01:06
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?	1	$22	26	0	+26	No	-$22	06-29 18:54
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	1	$20	62	0	+62	No	-$20	07-03 01:04
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	2	$20	19	19	+0	cancelled	$0	04-30 00:17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 24?	1	$19	27	0	+27	Yes	+$9	05-24 23:17
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$14	59	10	+49	open	—	07-25 16:15
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	07-11 23:25
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?	2	$12	12	12	+0	Yes	+$8	06-28 01:24
Norway leading at halftime?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	06-23 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-02 02:39
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	1	$10	12	0	+12	No	+$2	05-02 02:46
DR Congo leading at halftime?	1	$10	23	0	+23	Yes	+$13	07-01 16:08
another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	1	$10	21	0	+21	No	-$10	08-06 13:54
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	+$5	06-30 18:48
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$4	07-01 17:49
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$10	16	0	+16	Yes	+$6	07-09 20:06
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$10	17	0	+17	No	-$10	05-04 00:59
Canada vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	07-04 17:45
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	07-02 20:54
Argentina leading at halftime?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	06-22 17:39
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-22 18:57
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	1	$10	13	0	+13	No	+$3	05-25 23:48
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts first half	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	06-22 17:48
Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?	1	$10	18	0	+18	No	+$8	04-28 22:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 13:54:51	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x9e7c8a…
07-25 16:15:18	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x2be858…
07-25 16:15:13	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x983a03…
07-25 16:15:01	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x145089…
07-19 19:31:19	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x67e2c8…
07-19 19:31:03	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5168b2…
07-19 19:30:51	Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0b6d83…
07-17 17:54:55	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x863b3c…
07-15 21:17:20	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x586454…
07-15 21:17:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x05cf2c…
07-15 20:53:37	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x78c315…
07-15 20:50:10	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x412aee…
07-15 20:49:29	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0x1f4618…
07-15 17:15:47	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0d86e1…
07-14 20:43:17	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x03086b…
07-14 20:25:31	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8cc4e6…
07-14 20:25:22	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9651b0…
07-14 19:13:44	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x5c53b8…
07-12 03:42:29	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9c0af3…
07-12 02:29:17	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xd102f7…
07-12 02:06:26	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe48ec2…
07-12 02:06:02	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc6d0be…
07-12 01:05:40	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3d2ffa…
07-11 23:25:08	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd12f45…
07-11 22:50:58	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x02ac85…
07-11 21:27:22	England leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x96ac16…
07-11 21:27:19	Norway leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x91a377…
07-11 15:27:07	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x3eab27…
07-10 20:17:58	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7ce47e…
07-10 19:44:13	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x72731b…
07-10 19:44:10	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x56afb1…
07-10 16:48:04	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe2d22d…
07-09 21:31:05	Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x24ead9…
07-09 21:24:43	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x326198…
07-09 21:10:19	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x69e134…
07-09 20:26:52	France leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x60a071…
07-09 20:06:38	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xf9da67…
07-06 20:47:22	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3dba0e…
07-06 19:15:43	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x88c24d…
07-05 22:02:50	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8b8f0d…
07-05 21:53:05	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xabfb73…
07-05 21:52:55	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xb1679f…
07-05 21:42:35	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x419ba9…
07-05 20:59:14	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb2554a…
07-05 20:59:07	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Norway?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x560d74…
07-05 20:59:01	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0befb1…
07-04 22:34:52	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf124ef…
07-04 22:34:46	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x18ce9f…
07-04 18:33:43	Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xd52bec…
07-04 18:16:11	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x81b53a…
07-04 18:15:58	Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x32587a…
07-04 18:15:13	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x238176…
07-04 18:05:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xcae641…
07-04 17:45:52	Canada vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xb7945b…
07-04 17:45:26	Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xcdb90a…
07-04 17:44:40	Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x94cfda…
07-04 15:55:31	Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb311e1…
07-04 15:55:20	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x43d24e…
07-04 15:55:19	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2c7094…
07-03 23:21:56	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x2e7d13…
07-03 22:31:05	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xad2b51…
07-03 22:30:52	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x91281e…
07-03 19:52:35	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x139a1e…
07-03 19:43:16	Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9e8ae0…
07-03 01:18:49	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xcfd93a…
07-03 01:18:41	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe99275…
07-03 01:18:29	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2cf6c2…
07-03 01:04:19	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x49a68b…
07-03 00:31:07	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x133616…
07-03 00:30:41	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa72239…
07-03 00:27:23	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x4bb6de…
07-03 00:27:07	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x69e746…
07-03 00:21:58	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x687d8e…
07-03 00:21:14	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x6fda24…
07-03 00:15:08	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x9cd48a…
07-03 00:14:49	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x52a104…
07-03 00:14:40	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x5b229b…
07-02 21:01:40	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x22b946…
07-02 21:01:28	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8bff03…
07-02 20:54:28	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xd30473…
07-02 20:09:52	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf81b4d…
07-02 20:09:43	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xaea6ba…
07-02 14:40:25	Spain leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x58f98a…
07-01 21:57:20	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x6c78b5…
07-01 20:51:34	Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xf63bc2…
07-01 20:51:26	Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb44c2a…
07-01 20:51:20	Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xd85af6…
07-01 20:25:35	Senegal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xfe75b3…
07-01 20:25:16	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9b6818…
07-01 17:49:46	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x31aac6…
07-01 17:49:23	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x88e75c…
07-01 16:53:53	Exact Score: England 0 - 2 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x55a480…
07-01 16:53:37	Exact Score: England 0 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x5ca72c…
07-01 16:53:31	Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xf2aa6b…
07-01 16:11:34	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x9e0a6f…
07-01 16:08:34	DR Congo leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x62b904…
06-30 23:13:38	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xf4fe4c…
06-30 23:13:35	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0xeee2e4…
06-30 23:13:28	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0xf57039…
06-30 23:13:25	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x9a1d22…