Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.50K

Unrealized P&L

-$48

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$46.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.40K

Open exposure

$62

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-25 17:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

74% 62% -$230

Sports

17% 100% +$12

Other

6% 75% +$16

Tech

3% 0% -$1,295

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	Yes		-1,240	-$14	5¢	$-62	-$48	10-25 17:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	1	$10.0K	10,276	0	+10,276	No	+$276	01-28 21:06
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$10.0K	10,032	0	+10,032	No	+$32	03-01 14:38
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	3	$9.9K	9,929	0	+9,929	No	+$32	02-28 16:10
will brazil record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 757	1	$7.0K	7,011	0	+7,011	Yes	+$11	02-15 15:37
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	5	$3.8K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$212	02-27 16:42
Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	1	$2.0K	2,013	0	+2,013	Yes	+$13	04-20 14:35
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	2	$1.3K	1,368	0	+1,368	No	-$1,295	02-04 06:12
will latvia record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 271	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	02-15 15:39
another us strike on venezuela by march 31	1	$500	511	0	+511	No	+$11	02-27 22:04
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	10	$241	500	0	+500	No	-$241	03-01 14:49
khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	2	$118	120	0	+120	No	+$2	02-28 23:47
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$117	0	649	-649	Yes	-$532	10-25 17:15
will trump talk to kevin hassett in february	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	02-27 22:31
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	1	$14	0	1,240	-1,240	open	—	10-25 17:14
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	1	$11	100	0	+100	No	-$11	01-12 01:25
atp fonseca sinner 2026 03 10	1	$10	100	0	+100	Jannik Sinner	-$10	03-11 01:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 17:15:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	649	18¢	$117	0x181e78…
10-25 17:14:50	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,240	1¢	$14	0x2327b8…
04-20 14:35:34	Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	2,013	99¢	$2,000	0x46125a…
03-11 01:14:03	atp fonseca sinner 2026 03 10	Joao Fonseca	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb947eb…
03-01 14:49:29	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	300	48¢	$144	0x8b4b63…
03-01 14:48:37	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc232e4…
03-01 14:48:11	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	117	49¢	$57	0xcf1d72…
03-01 14:42:49	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x5b0de0…
03-01 14:42:47	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x52a13e…
03-01 14:41:19	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	9	48¢	$5	0xcc3dfd…
03-01 14:41:17	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x9c25ed…
03-01 14:41:15	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xce54fd…
03-01 14:41:15	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xc36e71…
03-01 14:41:15	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x170eae…
03-01 14:38:37	Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	10,032	100¢	$10,000	0xae51ef…
02-28 23:47:23	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xab20a4…
02-28 23:46:55	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x033fb0…
02-28 16:10:41	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x5a3bba…
02-27 22:34:49	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	No	BUY	4,819	100¢	$4,800	0x86c46a…
02-27 22:31:01	will trump talk to kevin hassett in february	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x020a9e…
02-27 22:04:11	another us strike on venezuela by march 31	No	BUY	511	98¢	$500	0x517ba6…
02-27 16:42:47	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	693	95¢	$657	0x8e1c61…
02-27 16:42:11	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	189	95¢	$179	0x2c1b6c…
02-27 16:42:03	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	47	95¢	$44	0xaa0b02…
02-27 16:41:59	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	2,694	95¢	$2,551	0x4d1eff…
02-27 16:41:59	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	377	95¢	$357	0x48bffb…
02-27 16:04:33	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	No	BUY	5,010	100¢	$5,000	0xe74e3c…
02-15 15:39:19	will latvia record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 271	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x5c108d…
02-15 15:37:35	will brazil record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 757	Yes	BUY	7,011	100¢	$7,000	0xa851c2…
02-04 06:12:34	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	BUY	367	94¢	$345	0xddd496…
02-04 05:43:04	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0x85a89d…
01-28 21:06:00	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	No	BUY	10,276	97¢	$10,000	0x0fe276…
01-12 01:25:40	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x478002…