Muted-Midnight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$185

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.6%

Resolved

1,214

Trades

1,221

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 07-09 07:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 96% -$167

Other

5% 95% -$10

Politics

3% 95% -$8

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp mensik grieksp 2026 02 26	1	$49	52	0	+52	Tallon Griekspoor	+$3	02-26 18:30
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	07-09 07:48
bitcoin above 72k on march 25	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	03-25 15:00
bitcoin above 68k on march 30	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	03-30 15:19
ethereum above 2100 on march 4	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	03-04 16:02
bitcoin above 70k on march 26	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	03-26 15:07
solana above 90 on march 20	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	03-20 15:06
ethereum above 2300 on march 16	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	03-16 15:47
solana above 80 on april 2	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	04-02 15:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	06-03 15:01
ethereum above 1600 on june 29 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-29 15:00
bitcoin above 70k on march 6	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-06 16:02
Will André Carson be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-04 23:14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 3?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-03 15:01
will democrats 66 d66 win the most seats in utrechts 2026 municipal election	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-17 23:55
Bitcoin above 81,800 on May 6, 8PM ET?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-06 23:25
xrp above 1pt3 on march 3	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	03-03 16:00
bitcoin above 66600 on march 30 2026 11am et	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:08
bitcoin above 72k on march 4	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	03-04 16:01
ethereum above 1900 on march 3	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	03-03 16:00
bitcoin above 72400 on april 13 2026 11am et	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	-$20	04-13 14:32
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-25 23:00
ethereum above 1800 on june 15 2026	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	06-15 15:11
Will Ernesto Bello win the 2026 Castrovillari mayoral election?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	06-08 05:00
will liberal alliance win 15 seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	03-23 23:05
ethereum above 2200 on march 25	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	03-25 15:00
Will Eligia Santucci win the 2026 San Nicola La Strada mayoral election?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-08 05:00
bitcoin above 72k on april 8	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-08 15:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-28 15:00
bitcoin above 78k on april 22	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	04-22 15:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 07:48:11	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x1b9746…
07-02 08:13:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x84e87a…
07-02 04:51:56	xrp up or down july 2 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x721536…
07-02 00:42:11	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x887a60…
07-02 00:13:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x798064…
07-01 23:57:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x058b58…
07-01 14:59:23	xrp up or down july 1 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc32425…
07-01 12:55:59	xrp up or down july 1 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf9156e…
07-01 12:42:32	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbef0e6…
07-01 11:59:22	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x26bbd9…
07-01 10:29:16	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbc989c…
07-01 07:12:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe3ea72…
07-01 07:02:50	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-01 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc8d847…
07-01 05:57:47	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe7332e…
07-01 05:51:19	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x799945…
07-01 04:51:28	ethereum up or down july 1 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf161d3…
07-01 04:51:25	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x594ac9…
07-01 03:51:35	xrp up or down june 30 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xfb810e…
07-01 03:51:34	solana up or down june 30 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfbedc1…
07-01 03:06:07	will ethereum reach 1600 on june 30	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xff3f6c…
06-30 23:23:20	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x7ea669…
06-30 22:27:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3181a0…
06-30 21:50:59	solana up or down june 30 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xea1026…
06-30 21:50:56	ethereum up or down june 30 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb0de11…
06-30 21:50:53	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x29b5d9…
06-30 20:27:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x182a5a…
06-30 20:10:53	xagusd up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9790f6…
06-30 19:00:34	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-30 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x69c2a3…
06-30 18:43:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x552495…
06-30 16:42:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x388c80…
06-30 15:29:29	bitcoin above 58k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x09a103…
06-30 14:13:10	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5a4ef5…
06-30 06:55:49	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9aa2d8…
06-30 05:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xad1469…
06-30 03:50:50	xrp up or down june 29 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8ce8d3…
06-30 03:50:47	solana up or down june 29 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb2247b…
06-29 20:40:01	wti up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x988470…
06-29 15:01:01	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-29 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xda1875…
06-29 15:00:56	ethereum above 1600 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe39fe0…
06-29 15:00:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 29?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfd0673…
06-29 11:49:17	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-29 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x709f21…
06-29 09:50:32	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x53e158…
06-28 23:40:01	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-28 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x2b53a7…
06-28 16:51:17	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0211dd…
06-28 15:55:16	solana up or down june 28 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xb4252c…
06-28 11:05:17	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-28 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdf38ba…
06-28 06:43:02	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9b7862…
06-28 03:11:53	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xd2b06a…
06-28 03:01:41	will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 27	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa391cb…
06-28 02:53:11	ethereum up or down june 27 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa8140a…
06-27 23:23:07	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-27 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0xbac8cc…
06-27 19:34:34	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-27 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x228cc3…
06-27 18:43:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x413e54…
06-27 18:43:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1a0454…
06-27 17:51:11	bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbe2486…
06-27 08:13:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x251026…
06-27 05:12:17	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x58b2fa…
06-27 01:28:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbe48f9…
06-27 01:13:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfaa754…
06-27 00:14:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd22cf7…
06-26 23:58:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa120bb…
06-26 23:45:10	Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xb176af…
06-26 23:45:07	Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xd40160…
06-26 23:45:05	Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x8c5c35…
06-26 21:58:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x43584c…
06-26 21:50:32	ethereum up or down june 26 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd59f71…
06-26 20:31:58	wti closes above 70 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7bdb1d…
06-26 19:50:14	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc67f24…
06-26 17:55:44	ethereum up or down june 26 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfdaf2c…
06-26 15:12:16	bnb up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x03ac9d…
06-26 15:12:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x00b4cf…
06-26 15:12:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x040814…
06-26 13:42:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1d6d82…
06-26 10:55:19	solana up or down june 26 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x7df746…
06-26 08:44:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8fc804…
06-25 03:37:40	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x1fc1da…
06-24 19:02:43	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-24 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x71cde7…
06-24 19:00:34	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-24 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x7b8832…
06-24 16:13:32	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3b6f72…
06-24 15:37:37	solana up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb17149…
06-24 15:04:50	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 24?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4c9ab2…
06-24 15:01:37	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-24 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xe78fbf…
06-24 15:01:34	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 24?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x358cd7…
06-24 15:01:32	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 24?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x5f3a88…
06-24 15:01:29	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 24?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x206fed…
06-24 15:01:26	bitcoin above 62k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdd1135…
06-24 15:01:23	bitcoin above 60k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x21e429…
06-24 15:01:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 24?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xced041…
06-24 15:01:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 24?	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xe247bd…
06-24 15:01:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 24?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdca364…
06-24 14:53:40	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6a2529…
06-24 10:56:38	ethereum up or down june 24 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xacf825…
06-24 10:53:04	solana up or down june 24 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x79ee11…
06-24 06:54:02	solana up or down june 24 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x39ac69…
06-24 06:53:59	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x995c1c…
06-24 05:28:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x83f59d…
06-24 00:43:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x07f6c6…
06-23 23:56:43	ethereum up or down june 23 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x220940…
06-23 23:50:43	bitcoin up or down june 23 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x18d0ab…
06-23 23:04:56	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-23 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb74e37…