Measly-Filter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$136

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

120

Trades

251

lifetime

Volume

$23.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 09-16 17:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

66% 64% +$389

Politics

17% 48% -$513

Sports

14% 58% +$200

Tech

2% 100% +$40

Crypto

2% 50% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	10	$2.7K	1,656	1,656	+0	Yes	+$654	03-16 02:43
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	9	$1.8K	1,191	1,191	+0	Yes	+$53	03-16 02:44
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	13	$1.3K	5,374	3,249	+2,125	No	-$782	06-16 17:53
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	5	$1.2K	654	654	+0	Yes	+$153	03-16 01:21
mlb bal det 2026 07 27	2	$1.0K	539	539	+0	Baltimore Orioles	+$34	07-28 01:36
lulu quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 17 2026 4pt78	4	$622	322	322	+0	Yes	+$22	03-17 22:50
will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	6	$608	322	322	+0	Yes	+$8	03-16 02:44
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$545	293	293	+0	Yes	+$35	02-16 17:03
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$469	200	375	-175	Yes	+$93	02-03 04:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$458	258	258	+0	Yes	+$58	07-29 18:56
adbe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 12 2026 5pt87	5	$450	476	0	+476	Yes	+$26	03-11 17:47
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$425	261	261	+0	Spurs	+$25	05-31 02:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$404	306	306	+0	Yes	+$204	04-08 00:25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	2	$380	320	320	+0	Yes	+$180	07-15 20:56
baba quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 19 2026 1pt59	4	$300	340	0	+340	No	-$300	03-17 17:47
will kenneth walker iii win the super bowl lx mvp	3	$250	370	0	+370	Yes	+$120	02-09 03:14
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$247	150	150	+0	Yes	+$47	01-25 18:55
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	3	$246	218	218	+0	Spurs	+$46	06-09 01:52
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	2	$246	136	136	+0	Yes	+$26	06-17 00:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 07:50 UTC	2	$226	135	133	+3	Up	+$29	04-12 07:54
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	2	$225	125	125	+0	Yes	+$25	03-22 20:42
will powell say sorry or pardon during march press conference 745 799	2	$225	125	125	+0	Yes	+$25	03-18 18:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$224	125	125	+0	Yes	+$24	04-12 23:31
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$217	133	133	+0	Yes	+$37	02-25 21:16
mlb tor wsh 2026 07 27	2	$216	125	125	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$16	07-28 01:32
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	3	$213	207	207	+0	No	+$93	07-15 20:48
will one battle after another win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	2	$212	112	112	+0	Yes	+$12	03-16 01:48
will powell say percent 20 times during march press conference	2	$210	110	110	+0	Yes	+$10	03-18 19:00
will golden kpop demon hunters win best original song at the 98th academy awards	2	$210	110	110	+0	Yes	+$10	03-16 02:18
will powell say food or energy 3 times during march press conference	2	$209	109	109	+0	Yes	+$9	03-18 19:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 17:07:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0x8abc6d…
09-16 17:07:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x7dfdfd…
07-29 18:56:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	258	100¢	$258	0x27df2e…
07-29 18:56:05	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x6c905e…
07-29 17:49:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,600	0¢	$5	0xf54f25…
07-29 17:48:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xfd80dd…
07-29 14:15:57	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x2f8bf5…
07-29 14:15:18	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	SELL	66	37¢	$24	0x36c21b…
07-29 14:13:35	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x682d5f…
07-29 14:12:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa9c4d7…
07-29 14:11:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0xdc4dc7…
07-29 14:11:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x0e584a…
07-28 02:08:40	atp tiafoe atmane 2026 07 27	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x09c9d9…
07-28 01:42:54	wta krueger boulter 2026 07 27	Katie Boulter	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x10012d…
07-28 01:42:04	mlb nyy cws 2026 07 27	New York Yankees	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xfcebd6…
07-28 01:36:25	mlb bal det 2026 07 27	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	539	99¢	$534	0xc07ffd…
07-28 01:32:52	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x957493…
07-28 01:32:04	mlb tor wsh 2026 07 27	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	125	93¢	$116	0x83447c…
07-28 01:22:16	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xc9fce2…
07-28 01:19:01	mlb bal det 2026 07 27	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	539	93¢	$500	0x2ab7b3…
07-28 01:18:18	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	110	98¢	$107	0x230467…
07-28 01:18:03	mlb tor wsh 2026 07 27	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x68752a…
07-19 22:11:21	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0x18e43b…
07-19 22:10:43	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x852ea4…
07-19 21:45:12	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	137	7¢	$10	0x3b1115…
07-19 21:44:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0x2814a2…
07-19 21:31:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xfd7dc5…
07-15 21:13:28	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x6fbc96…
07-15 21:13:08	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xfe64c9…
07-15 20:56:05	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	320	87¢	$280	0xba630f…
07-15 20:48:59	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	207	74¢	$153	0x42f729…
07-15 20:18:47	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	177	28¢	$50	0x4f4b32…
07-15 18:17:44	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x825370…
07-15 18:17:05	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	262	20¢	$51	0x8352ec…
07-15 18:16:43	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	58¢	$18	0x864bd0…
07-15 18:16:19	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	320	31¢	$100	0x2856bd…
07-14 20:24:10	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	364	3¢	$10	0x57563e…
07-14 20:23:49	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$10	0x3f77c5…
07-14 20:07:32	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xe3e45a…
07-14 20:07:19	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	270	18¢	$50	0x4850f1…
07-14 19:30:49	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x6f4a78…
07-14 19:29:38	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	177	28¢	$50	0xff471e…
07-14 19:24:28	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	471	21¢	$100	0x03e9f7…
07-12 01:13:55	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	130	76¢	$99	0xcd59d3…
07-12 00:27:59	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0xc0895d…
07-12 00:27:17	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	262	19¢	$50	0x2d4572…
07-12 00:25:47	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x35a8a3…
06-23 23:41:37	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xd46d98…
06-23 23:41:07	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	SELL	149	53¢	$79	0xbd5fee…
06-23 21:59:05	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0xfc8a3f…
06-23 21:56:02	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xcf772d…
06-23 17:18:53	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xcadb47…
06-17 01:30:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	77	81¢	$62	0xdebc29…
06-17 00:08:04	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xa876f6…
06-17 00:07:13	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0x81615f…
06-16 17:54:04	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	136	81¢	$110	0xdbf277…
06-16 17:53:35	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	2,125	1¢	$15	0x59b70d…
06-16 17:51:40	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x758971…
06-09 01:52:06	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	SELL	218	67¢	$146	0x42f408…
06-09 00:52:49	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x21e925…
06-09 00:18:51	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt03	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x4dd240…
06-09 00:17:25	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	127	78¢	$100	0xdf92e7…
06-09 00:17:03	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xc9029c…
06-09 00:16:30	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	878	1¢	$5	0xc32f11…
05-31 02:25:57	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	261	86¢	$225	0xa8c91b…
05-31 02:24:57	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xb7effd…
05-31 02:06:50	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1,124	23¢	$259	0x32a83d…
05-31 02:02:47	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xfb9232…
05-31 01:56:22	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x006a4f…
05-26 01:09:22	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	169	6¢	$10	0x47bc3b…
05-25 20:26:17	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2,273	22¢	$500	0x07df31…
05-24 00:37:38	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x8a7fd5…
05-14 00:02:18	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd67b13…
05-14 00:02:07	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x783763…
05-14 00:01:50	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0xd54ef6…
05-13 23:59:52	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xeebff0…
05-11 21:12:36	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x7ca2b7…
05-11 21:12:04	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	324	31¢	$100	0x80235b…
05-09 01:54:53	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x9da192…
05-08 17:07:43	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x4d83cf…
05-08 00:48:31	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0xc86465…
05-07 21:26:36	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xa50c2a…
05-07 21:24:16	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	446	22¢	$100	0x044fcf…
05-07 21:23:55	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x0b70fc…
05-07 19:59:48	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	237	21¢	$50	0x85b7d1…
04-27 19:15:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	2¢	$5	0x387355…
04-12 23:36:39	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x54f10c…
04-12 23:31:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	125	99¢	$124	0xc6656b…
04-12 07:54:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 07:50 UTC	Up	SELL	133	95¢	$126	0x9e6807…
04-12 07:53:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xcecece…
04-12 07:49:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x17be2d…
04-08 00:25:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	306	99¢	$304	0x32fed0…
04-06 16:24:05	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	53	73¢	$38	0x97de10…
04-05 20:05:11	cwbb sc ucla 2026 04 05	UCLA Bruins	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x46a5aa…
04-05 19:42:01	cwbb sc ucla 2026 04 05	UCLA Bruins	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xfefcfc…
04-05 02:46:31	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x8fa243…
04-04 01:14:45	cwbb tx ucla 2026 04 03	UCLA Bruins	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x4f65b6…
04-02 01:30:17	will trump say obliterated or obliteration during address to the nation	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x76ec2d…
04-02 01:29:47	will trump say objective or goal 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x026355…
04-02 01:29:41	will trump say oil or gas 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x5d4927…