Unripe-Most — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

26.4%

Resolved

103

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

$116

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-08 07:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Sports

56% 10% -$7

Politics

26% 60% +$4

Other

10% 77% -$1

Crypto

8% 96% -$29

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No		+128	$100	90¢	$116	+$16	08-02 07:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	24	$2.4K	7,560	7,560	+0	No	-$3	06-25 07:47
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$1.8K	910	910	+0	No	-$1	01-26 02:46
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	3	$1.7K	829	829	+0	No	-$1	01-06 02:48
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$1.6K	831	831	+0	No	-$1	01-26 02:46
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.6K	807	807	+0	No	-$1	01-06 02:48
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.2K	4,348	4,340	+8	Yes	+$2	06-26 03:18
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	1	$818	819	0	+819	No	+$1	01-03 06:40
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	1	$108	108	0	+108	No	+$0	07-15 06:51
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$100	128	0	+128	open	—	08-02 07:06
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	04-30 12:46
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in february 2026	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	02-20 08:07
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$35	22	22	+0	Yes	+$1	01-27 03:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	1	$31	51	0	+51	No	-$31	05-16 07:47
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$29	15	14	+1	No	+$0	08-17 05:39
minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	2	$29	20	20	+0	No	+$1	02-08 01:40
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?	2	$29	15	14	+1	No	$0	03-10 06:20
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	10-08 07:07
us strike on colombia by january 31	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$1	01-20 05:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	09-11 06:59
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 320 339	2	$25	13	12	+1	No	+$0	03-31 01:15
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	01-20 05:30
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	2	$23	12	11	+1	No	+$0	03-31 01:15
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	2	$21	11	10	+1	No	$0	06-13 06:04
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 580plus	2	$19	10	9	+1	No	+$0	03-10 06:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 8	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	02-08 01:42
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	02-08 01:42
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$16	0	16	-16	No	$0	01-06 02:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 28?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	05-26 07:28
will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-10 03:37
bitcoin above 64k on march 19	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	03-18 02:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 07:07:41	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x36b64c…
09-11 06:59:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x5b7f5c…
08-17 05:49:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x678065…
08-17 05:39:54	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x4d167e…
08-02 07:07:51	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x840f38…
08-02 07:07:33	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5becc3…
08-02 07:06:30	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x11d92f…
07-15 06:51:13	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x6c7d02…
07-02 02:49:20	will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8dc5bd…
07-02 02:49:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $50,000 on July 5?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbfad62…
07-02 02:48:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on July 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdcf0f4…
07-02 02:48:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on July 3?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x380f59…
07-02 02:48:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 2?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x662c7d…
07-02 02:47:46	will bitcoin dip to 46k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x63ffef…
07-02 02:47:10	bitcoin above 50k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5cee33…
07-02 02:46:58	bitcoin above 50k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x272640…
07-02 02:46:34	bitcoin above 52k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x038d73…
07-02 02:46:19	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90846b…
06-26 03:18:14	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,340	14¢	$595	0x263082…
06-26 03:08:14	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,348	14¢	$600	0x5d1374…
06-25 07:47:08	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	719	16¢	$114	0x72789f…
06-25 07:45:44	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	633	16¢	$100	0x61c3fe…
06-25 07:45:29	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xbf8d6d…
06-25 07:45:10	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x8dfc36…
06-25 07:44:44	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x6604ff…
06-25 07:43:23	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x5bf494…
06-25 07:41:22	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xcaae2b…
06-25 07:41:20	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x3d26a5…
06-25 07:40:59	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	316	16¢	$50	0x205db8…
06-25 07:37:16	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xb42621…
06-25 07:33:34	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	910	16¢	$144	0xa7cbec…
06-25 07:33:34	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	600	16¢	$95	0x6a398b…
06-25 07:31:35	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	217	16¢	$34	0x5a8b6f…
06-25 07:29:38	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	300	16¢	$47	0xe194c5…
06-25 07:24:08	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	127	16¢	$20	0x3ae79f…
06-25 07:23:11	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	38	16¢	$6	0x6d268e…
06-25 07:22:05	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,165	16¢	$500	0x8210a8…
06-25 07:21:40	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x58eacc…
06-25 07:21:38	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0x9dfe1e…
06-25 07:19:04	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	56	16¢	$9	0x19721a…
06-25 07:18:28	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	32	16¢	$5	0x16a694…
06-25 07:17:55	will bitcoin reach 78k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe364ae…
06-25 07:17:34	bitcoin above 54k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x8c2a56…
06-25 07:17:23	bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb182fe…
06-25 07:17:13	bitcoin above 54k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x85c789…
06-25 07:17:02	bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc6c053…
06-25 07:16:26	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x4b94ec…
06-25 07:16:22	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	345	16¢	$55	0x4e2421…
06-25 07:16:01	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7,560	16¢	$1,197	0x821c7d…
06-13 06:13:12	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x99ab1f…
06-13 06:12:58	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xedf9ab…
06-13 06:04:28	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7ad6bc…
06-10 03:38:49	bitcoin above 54k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe56a30…
06-10 03:38:21	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4b81c6…
06-10 03:37:55	will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc87281…
06-10 03:37:36	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdd73a7…
06-10 03:35:37	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7cea3a…
05-26 07:28:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb19ac4…
05-26 07:27:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfc5ebf…
05-26 07:27:29	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x011d38…
05-26 07:27:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x20abed…
05-26 07:26:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x197874…
05-18 02:19:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x142add…
05-18 02:19:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb98db7…
05-16 07:48:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x187f63…
05-16 07:47:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	51	61¢	$31	0xb81279…
04-30 12:46:46	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xfaa14e…
04-13 02:06:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbb3524…
04-13 02:06:19	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x39d551…
04-13 02:06:11	bitcoin above 60k on april 14	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x134594…
04-13 02:05:57	bitcoin above 76k on april 13	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x28bdbe…
04-03 01:10:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 3	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xafaddb…
04-03 01:09:51	bitcoin above 58k on april 4	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3ae8b5…
04-03 01:09:39	bitcoin above 60k on april 3	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd34b94…
03-31 01:20:19	bitcoin above 78k on april 1	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7cec08…
03-31 01:20:01	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x90074f…
03-31 01:15:19	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf4aca2…
03-31 01:15:13	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 320 339	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x61ba10…
03-30 06:45:22	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 240plus	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe205b9…
03-30 06:45:08	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x27aff4…
03-30 06:44:50	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 520 539	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x560304…
03-30 06:44:26	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 320 339	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe348c2…
03-18 02:36:09	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 240plus	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x093ff0…
03-18 02:36:03	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 140 164	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2c060c…
03-18 02:35:25	bitcoin above 64k on march 19	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0582ba…
03-18 02:35:13	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdace5f…
03-10 06:26:19	cbb njit verm 2026 03 10	NJIT Highlanders	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x370f75…
03-10 06:25:43	cbb kanst byu 2026 03 10	Kansas State Wildcats	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x6bf93b…
03-10 06:25:37	cbb utah cin 2026 03 10	Utah Utes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcd9326…
03-10 06:25:21	nba cha sac 2026 03 11	Kings	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa67024…
03-10 06:25:17	nba nyk uta 2026 03 11	Jazz	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0c51d5…
03-10 06:25:07	nba dal atl 2026 03 10	Mavericks	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1f226e…
03-10 06:25:03	nba was mia 2026 03 10	Wizards	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xba3cbc…
03-10 06:24:53	nba det bkn 2026 03 10	Nets	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3b3536…
03-10 06:24:33	cs2 33 qua1 2026 03 10	QUAZAR	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2ab8db…
03-10 06:24:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 10	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x86b6b6…
03-10 06:23:55	ethereum above 2500 on march 11	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf48f4f…
03-10 06:23:47	ethereum above 2300 on march 10	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd73748…
03-10 06:23:39	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x502182…
03-10 06:23:33	bitcoin above 76k on march 10	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbca397…