Chilly-Formal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.12K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

1,747

Trades

3,105

lifetime

Volume

$49.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-29

last 10-26 01:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 131 days

Categories

Other

77% 28% -$1,229

Crypto

20% 56% -$799

Sports

3% 21% -$93

Tech

0% 100% +$14

Politics

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes		+107	$1	1¢	$1	$0	10-03 02:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 second half total 1pt5	2	$1.1K	714	714	+0	Over	+$314	07-07 18:09
atp dedurap virtane 2026 07 26	10	$816	896	351	+545	Diego Dedura-Palomero	+$111	07-26 10:20
atp rincon prado 2026 07 27	4	$791	467	467	+0	Juan Carlos Prado	+$91	07-27 14:55
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	3	$715	1,423	892	+531	No	-$305	06-27 04:46
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	1	$700	1,045	0	+1,045	Spain	+$345	07-06 13:22
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	4	$557	475	364	+111	Knicks	+$81	06-11 03:32
wnba chi phx 2026 07 07	2	$514	314	314	+0	Chicago Sky	+$114	07-08 04:06
Argentina leading at halftime?	1	$500	926	0	+926	No	-$500	07-07 14:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 00:35 UTC	10	$466	240	240	+0	Down	+$10	06-25 00:40
atp vasa milic 2026 06 24	2	$464	243	243	+0	Ognjen Milic	+$21	06-24 11:54
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 second half total 1pt5	2	$400	748	0	+748	Over	+$348	07-07 01:07
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	4	$399	612	213	+400	Spurs	+$10	06-09 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 20?	2	$363	202	202	+0	No	+$40	07-20 07:48
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 25?	3	$346	209	209	+0	Yes	+$73	07-25 10:16
atp pascual smith 2026 07 26	4	$344	292	292	+0	Roger Pascual	-$56	07-26 07:53
wnba la gsv 2026 06 15	4	$336	267	267	+0	Golden State Valkyries	+$41	06-16 03:48
wta tagger krejcik 2026 07 25	4	$311	267	267	+0	Lilli Tagger	+$11	07-25 16:53
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 11?	9	$309	300	300	+0	Yes	+$285	08-11 08:01
atp ferrari callejo 2026 06 09	8	$302	514	464	+50	Gianmarco Ferrari	+$17	06-09 09:54
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	1	$300	492	0	+492	Switzerland	-$300	07-07 19:10
wnba por phx 2026 08 16	4	$300	303	303	+0	Portland Fire	+$100	08-17 01:10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 18?	34	$271	242	242	+0	Yes	+$213	07-18 16:06
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-28 12:00 UTC	7	$270	625	405	+220	Down	-$33	06-28 13:40
atp zheng walton 2026 07 24	3	$267	189	185	+3	Michael Zheng	+$70	07-24 17:36
wta oliynyk uchijim 2026 07 06	2	$266	166	166	+0	Moyuka Uchijima	+$66	07-06 11:56
bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 5am et	3	$260	212	123	+88	Up	-$40	07-23 09:59
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks	2	$249	541	541	+0	New York Liberty	-$151	07-29 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 16?	6	$239	190	190	+0	Yes	+$140	07-16 16:23
bitcoin up or down july 26 2026 4am et	3	$231	245	189	+56	Up	-$19	07-26 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 13?	2	$230	181	181	+0	Yes	+$130	07-13 09:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 01:22:47	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x5c750d…
10-25 16:06:17	Exact Score: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1 - 1 Levante UD?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xea74fe…
10-25 16:05:38	Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 2 - 2 Leeds United FC?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xcf7c17…
10-25 16:05:15	Exact Score: SC Freiburg 1 - 2 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xd82e7a…
10-25 16:04:56	Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 1 - 1 RC Strasbourg Alsace?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe83381…
10-25 16:04:30	Exact Score: Olympique de Marseille 2 - 0 Le Havre AC?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xf678af…
10-25 09:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x6300ff…
10-25 09:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x9a9e80…
10-25 08:54:50	Exact Score: Atalanta BC 2 - 1 Frosinone Calcio?	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x568379…
10-25 08:53:54	Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 0 ACF Fiorentina?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x1f1b24…
10-25 08:52:17	Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 1 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x64acdd…
10-25 08:50:24	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x126dc4…
10-25 08:49:48	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 1 AFC Bournemouth?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x43f334…
10-25 05:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x81c487…
10-25 05:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xaf1f34…
10-25 05:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4e1f00…
10-25 03:51:18	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Pelicans	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x517e72…
10-24 19:19:18	Exact Score: SS Lazio 2 - 1 Parma Calcio 1913?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x56013a…
10-24 09:56:00	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Dayana Yastremska vs Xiaodi You	Xiaodi You	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x19b600…
10-24 09:50:41	Exact Score: Como 1907 2 - 0 US Sassuolo Calcio?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xfa4668…
10-24 09:49:38	Exact Score: Real Racing Club 2 - 2 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x847379…
10-24 09:48:39	Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 1 Elche CF?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x22d084…
10-23 18:03:38	Exact Score: Torino FC 1 - 1 AC Monza?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x9a4611…
10-23 18:02:50	Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 1 - 0 Málaga CF?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x7d5895…
10-23 17:54:12	Exact Score: Ipswich Town FC 1 - 1 Nottingham Forest FC?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x40b6f8…
10-23 17:53:03	Exact Score: Ipswich Town FC 0 - 2 Nottingham Forest FC?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x97bd92…
10-22 02:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xa0b186…
10-18 16:44:17	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 1 Sevilla FC?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xde32c0…
10-18 16:42:09	Exact Score: Juventus FC 2 - 2 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x444993…
10-18 13:38:56	Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb2b34e…
10-18 13:28:33	Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 - 1 SC Freiburg?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x8d062e…
10-18 13:12:39	Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 2 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x2ca574…
10-18 13:11:03	Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 1 - 0 Deportivo Alavés?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x2ec50d…
10-12 02:54:11	Bulls vs. Nuggets	Bulls	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xeaca4e…
10-11 04:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	44	20¢	$9	0x296903…
10-11 04:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xb4a771…
10-09 16:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcb1967…
10-09 08:53:10	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery	Arthur Fery	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x39e192…
10-09 04:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x74a526…
10-09 04:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x908987…
10-09 04:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x384827…
10-09 01:28:26	Pelicans vs. Heat	Pelicans	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x157379…
10-09 01:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xea458b…
10-08 04:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0xfd331b…
10-08 04:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x601444…
10-08 04:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x53b702…
10-08 01:18:01	New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa1c2ba…
10-07 14:25:49	China Open: Ann Li vs Elina Svitolina	Ann Li	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x5c8bd0…
10-07 13:29:22	Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfi	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x154599…
10-07 08:41:47	Villena: Hynek Barton vs Toby Samuel	Hynek Barton	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x057e38…
10-07 08:41:26	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Yi Zhou	Yi Zhou	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa24bb2…
10-07 08:41:11	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zhizhen Zhang vs Tomas Machac	Zhizhen Zhang	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x0e6610…
10-07 06:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x0106ec…
10-07 06:24:21	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x78396c…
10-07 06:23:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x969548…
10-07 06:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x1c6237…
10-06 14:05:23	Samsun: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Carole Monnet	Carole Monnet	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc72fce…
10-06 09:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x8c19af…
10-06 08:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0xa94e9d…
10-06 08:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x5da2d0…
10-06 08:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x448bba…
10-06 08:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x352ae9…
10-06 08:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2f05bc…
10-06 07:38:42	Suzhou: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Tyra Caterina Grant	Tyra Caterina Grant	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x76424f…
10-06 07:16:34	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Hikaru Shiraishi	Hikaru Shiraishi	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x1ab6aa…
10-06 02:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x58ebf6…
10-06 01:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xabb4ad…
10-06 01:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xb40e82…
10-06 01:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x1fcee1…
10-06 01:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	80	7¢	$6	0x52d6e1…
10-06 01:32:38	Suns vs. Pistons	Suns	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x385b43…
10-05 17:30:41	atp monteir moeller 2026 10 05	Elmer Moeller	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0xd2e780…
10-05 04:32:35	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-05 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xaa338e…
10-05 04:32:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-05 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	20¢	$5	0x10b451…
10-05 04:32:16	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-05 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0x44b463…
10-04 20:47:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-04 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x985416…
10-04 10:24:40	atp lehecka vallejo 2026 10 04	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x15e38c…
10-03 17:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x000297…
10-03 12:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xef4c4f…
10-03 04:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x91e9d1…
10-03 02:06:54	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x7a65d6…
10-02 06:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x3acabd…
10-02 04:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x2c01a3…
10-02 03:01:47	Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces	Indiana Fever	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xee36d4…
09-30 16:40:33	wnba atl wsh 2026 09 30	Washington Mystics	BUY	103	42¢	$43	0x932bfb…
09-30 12:35:17	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0xaf99d5…
09-30 12:35:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0eab77…
09-30 07:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xe4a2c6…
09-30 06:03:50	atp sharipo svrcina 2026 09 30	Dalibor Svrcina	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xfca082…
09-30 06:03:23	wta oliynyk yuan 2026 09 29	Oleksandra Oliynykova	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x495905…
09-30 05:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	70	18¢	$13	0x358620…
09-30 04:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	51	18¢	$9	0x6745a8…
09-30 04:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x2f7896…
09-30 02:03:44	wnba min nyl 2026 09 29	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xacde02…
09-30 02:03:42	wnba min nyl 2026 09 29	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa18c59…
09-30 02:03:41	wnba min nyl 2026 09 29	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf6bd07…
09-30 00:57:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xe9addc…
09-30 00:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xd740b9…
09-30 00:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x27fa5e…
09-30 00:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x1d155d…