Silly-Trench — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$159

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 11-07 11:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 53% -$27

Other

6% 33% -$4

Sports

6% 40% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes		+1	$1	62¢	$1	$0	11-05 11:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on january 19	1	$25	26	0	+26	Down	+$1	01-19 12:17
bitcoin up or down on february 2	1	$15	17	0	+17	Up	-$15	02-02 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	10-02 15:31
Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	10-30 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	1	$6	7	0	+7	Down	-$6	05-13 09:49
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$6	11	11	+0	No	+$4	07-18 04:08
bitcoin up or down on january 27	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	01-27 00:46
bitcoin up or down on february 25	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	02-25 02:59
bitcoin up or down on march 4	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	03-04 11:54
bitcoin up or down on march 23 2026	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	03-23 11:47
bitcoin up or down on march 12	2	$3	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	03-12 12:22
bitcoin up or down on march 9	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	03-09 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-19 12:28
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-18 04:07
Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	10-11 10:07
bitcoin up or down on february 21	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	02-21 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	-$2	05-03 02:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 2	2	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	03-02 04:15
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	1	$1	2	0	+2	Bilibili Gaming	+$1	11-05 11:17
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	1	$1	1	0	+1	Gen.G	+$0	11-07 11:32
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	1	$1	2	0	+2	Bilibili Gaming	-$1	11-07 11:33
bitcoin above 68k on march 3	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	03-03 03:00
bitcoin up or down on july 18 2026	1	$1	11	0	+11	Up	-$1	07-18 04:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 2	1	$1	20	0	+20	No	-$1	03-02 04:14
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	11-05 11:14
bitcoin above 68k on march 1	1	$1	15	0	+15	No	-$1	03-01 15:43
bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	-$1	08-09 14:25
bitcoin up or down on march 16 2026	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	-$1	03-16 01:55
will li guyi perform at the spring festival gala	1	$1	45	0	+45	No	-$1	02-14 15:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:25 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	03-10 01:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 11:33:01	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	T1	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2e5df0…
11-07 11:32:37	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7dbb5d…
11-05 11:17:18	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa03737…
11-05 11:16:21	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9d7caf…
11-05 11:14:34	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x51c37c…
10-30 12:14:34	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb7e4d9…
10-11 10:07:29	Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0e66c4…
10-02 15:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc763b4…
08-09 14:25:36	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x59dfed…
08-08 14:22:16	bitcoin up or down on august 8 2026	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa60378…
08-07 14:27:19	bitcoin up or down on august 7 2026	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbcb4ec…
08-06 14:31:30	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xeb2c91…
08-05 14:31:42	bitcoin up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x25bb7f…
08-04 13:59:35	bitcoin up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x838f6b…
08-03 03:18:57	bitcoin up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x09acc1…
08-02 02:37:02	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfc2987…
08-01 01:58:45	bitcoin up or down on august 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x3a946b…
07-27 15:19:01	bitcoin up or down on july 27 2026	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd65a85…
07-26 05:00:33	bitcoin up or down on july 26 2026	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xde023f…
07-25 03:51:43	bitcoin up or down on july 25 2026	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x729829…
07-24 02:45:57	bitcoin up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1d57de…
07-18 04:08:07	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	40¢	$5	0x321e2b…
07-18 04:07:48	5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x5ec9e3…
07-18 04:07:33	bitcoin up or down on july 18 2026	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x23005e…
06-24 01:30:41	bitcoin up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa7378e…
06-11 03:11:57	bitcoin up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc1476b…
06-03 07:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xef0cd5…
05-19 12:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x64a51d…
05-19 12:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc051a1…
05-18 06:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3a24fe…
05-13 09:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xe58330…
05-10 05:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x24850d…
05-09 13:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x94a4e9…
05-07 13:41:25	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x6b60e2…
05-07 13:41:17	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbc2df4…
05-07 13:41:06	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x24910b…
05-07 13:40:57	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xfc5118…
05-07 13:40:49	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc23e4c…
05-07 10:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xba12e1…
05-05 13:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x25ac9f…
05-03 02:58:32	5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x398c8b…
05-03 02:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd055e5…
05-03 02:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4ed1df…
04-30 06:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1fb8ec…
04-22 01:38:36	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8919ee…
03-25 02:53:17	bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4ce96c…
03-23 11:47:19	bitcoin up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x7b33e0…
03-23 09:39:49	bitcoin up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x31b31c…
03-18 06:55:09	bitcoin up or down on march 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6ce9c3…
03-17 05:05:49	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0062d9…
03-16 01:55:49	bitcoin up or down on march 16 2026	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xabd863…
03-15 03:11:11	bitcoin up or down on march 15 2026	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa64393…
03-14 02:22:13	bitcoin above 70k on march 14	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4263b3…
03-13 03:00:19	bitcoin above 72k on march 13	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfaf464…
03-12 12:22:33	bitcoin up or down on march 12	Up	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xd7a260…
03-12 02:56:41	bitcoin up or down on march 12	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x490350…
03-10 01:27:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x270eca…
03-09 06:51:05	bitcoin up or down on march 9	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x8988ea…
03-08 23:47:21	bitcoin up or down on march 9	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4e4628…
03-08 03:18:13	bitcoin up or down on march 8	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbc37e8…
03-07 12:51:21	bitcoin up or down on march 7	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x93b1e6…
03-06 04:02:01	bitcoin up or down on march 6	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x44008c…
03-05 01:21:35	bitcoin above 74k on march 5	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x29e7ed…
03-04 11:54:59	bitcoin up or down on march 4	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x96e579…
03-03 10:27:05	bitcoin up or down on march 3	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x97db59…
03-03 03:00:27	bitcoin above 68k on march 3	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x301355…
03-02 04:15:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 2	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf273bc…
03-02 04:14:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 2	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x70d914…
03-02 04:14:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 2	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf464c0…
03-01 15:43:39	bitcoin above 68k on march 1	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x2f20bd…
02-25 02:59:44	bitcoin up or down on february 25	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5254cd…
02-21 04:15:54	bitcoin up or down on february 21	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8865ec…
02-14 15:31:53	will li guyi perform at the spring festival gala	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x15dac3…
02-02 05:23:12	bitcoin up or down on february 2	Down	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x14c850…
01-27 00:46:21	bitcoin up or down on january 27	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe5960c…
01-19 12:17:44	bitcoin up or down on january 19	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x307981…