Adolescent-Industrialization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

Trades

114

lifetime

Volume

$1.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-02-05

last 08-27 03:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

47% 64% +$17

Sports

27% 50% +$23

Politics

14% 25% -$51

Crypto

9% 60% +$3

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+55	$20	34¢	$19	-$1	05-14 03:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	12	$195	180	180	+0	Yes	+$25	02-14 21:39
will green day perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	6	$126	67	67	+0	No	+$8	02-08 18:11
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	5	$121	70	70	+0	open	—	07-30 02:26
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	2	$88	50	50	+0	Yes	+$8	03-26 19:45
will bruno mars release the romantic before march	2	$69	40	40	+0	Yes	+$9	02-27 00:46
trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	6	$62	271	271	+0	No	-$19	03-22 21:02
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	4	$60	52	52	+0	No	+$12	06-03 20:16
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	6	$45	398	8	+390	Yes	-$35	07-19 23:19
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	5	$42	28	28	+0	Yes	+$12	04-13 21:14
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	2	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	05-13 13:49
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	2	$37	24	24	+0	No	-$3	05-07 15:42
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?	2	$26	16	16	+0	Yes	+$6	04-12 12:59
trump approval up or down this week 678	5	$24	20	20	+0	Down	+$3	03-30 11:03
will kanye release bully by april 3	4	$23	17	17	+0	Yes	+$3	03-28 08:53
Will Nate and Cassie get divorced in Euphoria: Season 3?	5	$21	56	56	+0	No	+$10	05-26 22:08
another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	4	$20	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-15 10:00
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$20	55	0	+55	open	—	05-14 03:21
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	1	$20	45	0	+45	No	-$20	08-27 03:26
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	5	$20	22	22	+0	No	+$0	05-20 06:34
Trump goes to space in 2026?	3	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	07-12 20:51
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	2	$16	22	22	+0	No	-$4	04-20 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-18 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-18 01:21
north korea missile testlaunch by april 15	2	$13	9	9	+0	Yes	+$3	04-08 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-18 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-18 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$11	23	23	+0	Down	+$1	05-18 01:13
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 125m and 150m views in its first 7 days	3	$10	167	167	+0	No	+$0	02-12 18:27
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	1	$10	20	0	+20	Michigan Wolverines	-$10	04-05 00:04
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?	2	$10	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	05-15 21:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 03:26:01	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x814f35…
07-30 02:26:12	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	70	87¢	$61	0x43066a…
07-19 23:19:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	234	2¢	$5	0x45dc03…
07-19 22:59:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x49dd88…
07-18 07:55:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x9ba0c3…
07-18 01:41:45	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x8a4ce2…
07-15 10:00:46	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	Yes	SELL	23	36¢	$8	0x3e70fb…
07-14 20:02:14	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x8fa35d…
07-13 21:44:28	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x6cbdfb…
07-13 20:05:16	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x0b0fd9…
07-12 20:51:47	Trump goes to space in 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xbfadfe…
07-11 20:12:38	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x731d5c…
07-11 19:56:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3f3256…
06-16 22:31:52	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 btts	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x6074a2…
06-16 21:54:34	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 btts	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x475b43…
06-15 21:27:46	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	192	5¢	$10	0x7e9210…
06-03 20:16:19	Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	No	SELL	45	69¢	$31	0xd531f5…
06-01 18:59:45	Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0xbf6f1d…
05-26 22:08:50	Will Nate and Cassie get divorced in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x0a0848…
05-21 02:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9800e3…
05-20 06:34:41	Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x5cba59…
05-20 00:07:49	Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xfa550a…
05-20 00:07:49	Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xbae884…
05-19 20:45:54	Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	No	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0xec3a58…
05-18 03:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x2c1023…
05-18 03:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2526ae…
05-18 03:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0x4649b8…
05-18 03:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x9efbd3…
05-18 03:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0x970fa5…
05-18 02:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfe6b80…
05-18 02:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x4debbf…
05-18 02:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x56accc…
05-18 02:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xbc0114…
05-18 02:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x00a1ac…
05-18 01:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x6f19f4…
05-18 01:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x38e1e3…
05-18 01:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x2df55a…
05-18 01:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6340da…
05-18 01:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0xb7f429…
05-18 01:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x8a732e…
05-18 00:47:25	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x305e63…
05-18 00:45:42	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x2394fc…
05-16 13:46:26	Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xfe5b9b…
05-15 21:06:27	U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?	No	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0xc7e718…
05-14 06:42:19	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf89d03…
05-14 03:21:58	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x7e4c71…
05-13 13:49:42	Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0x3bb65e…
05-12 16:12:56	Will Nate and Cassie get divorced in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x0b3241…
05-12 07:56:52	Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xbcb1b2…
05-11 09:36:30	Will Nate and Cassie get divorced in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xbcdf06…
05-08 03:38:30	Will Nate and Cassie get divorced in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0x31eb3b…
05-08 02:16:35	Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	No	BUY	52	46¢	$24	0x82e111…
05-07 19:53:58	Will Nate and Cassie get divorced in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xe0a765…
05-07 15:51:32	Trump goes to space in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0af2ae…
05-07 15:42:07	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	24	69¢	$17	0xfaae0f…
05-07 10:07:19	Trump goes to space in 2026?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x217bc9…
05-07 07:18:26	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x2ded60…
05-07 06:40:52	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x9ac85e…
05-01 17:14:22	U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x415387…
05-01 04:33:56	Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	No	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xf91bd7…
04-20 19:12:16	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	25¢	$6	0xf6e0f9…
04-16 08:13:08	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xa1479c…
04-13 21:14:01	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0x3a4bab…
04-12 13:27:37	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x8fd9b0…
04-12 12:59:05	Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x007fa0…
04-11 07:24:27	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x636fe6…
04-11 03:12:01	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x4631e0…
04-10 15:56:33	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x39d978…
04-08 00:04:11	north korea missile testlaunch by april 15	Yes	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0xf7aec4…
04-07 02:31:35	Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xc9d21a…
04-05 00:04:51	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbe9918…
03-30 11:03:50	trump approval up or down this week 678	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x78f2b3…
03-30 08:34:56	trump approval up or down this week 678	Down	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xb44161…
03-29 15:21:26	trump approval up or down this week 678	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x9748e1…
03-28 08:53:21	will kanye release bully by april 3	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf5efc0…
03-28 08:52:11	will kanye release bully by april 3	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x15596a…
03-28 07:39:03	will kanye release bully by april 3	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xfac209…
03-28 03:43:27	will kanye release bully by april 3	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x97c0ef…
03-27 20:29:11	trump approval up or down this week 678	Down	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x25b6ef…
03-27 20:26:55	trump approval up or down this week 678	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x88e268…
03-27 12:09:43	north korea missile testlaunch by april 15	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x544f7f…
03-26 19:45:47	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x5bfeaf…
03-22 21:02:23	trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	Yes	SELL	271	8¢	$22	0x9a53d0…
03-20 06:49:13	trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xa863e4…
03-20 03:00:47	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x6446bf…
03-19 12:20:23	trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	Yes	BUY	127	19¢	$24	0x37c5c6…
03-19 11:27:09	trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xee4d3a…
03-19 09:34:13	trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x9acf81…
03-19 09:30:37	trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x3aa1e5…
03-19 02:38:43	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x1e6f1d…
03-19 02:04:29	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xabc9e9…
02-27 00:46:12	will bruno mars release the romantic before march	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x405ae8…
02-20 18:02:00	will bruno mars release the romantic before march	Yes	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xbaffd1…
02-14 21:39:13	will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	Yes	SELL	37	79¢	$30	0x2c43cb…
02-14 21:39:09	will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0xc7c823…
02-14 16:23:03	will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	Yes	SELL	38	78¢	$29	0x2a7e23…
02-13 09:35:01	will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	Yes	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x617e75…
02-13 09:34:31	will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	Yes	SELL	33	45¢	$15	0xc76e9c…
02-13 09:27:55	will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	Yes	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0x2eb1d9…
02-13 03:43:51	will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x49ce5d…