Pessimistic-Lambkin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

Trades

473

lifetime

Volume

$2.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 05-22 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% +$42

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773924300	4	$81	99	37	+62	open	—	03-19 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	7	$62	38	38	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 19:42
btc updown 5m 1773924900	5	$54	74	23	+50	open	—	03-19 12:59
btc updown 5m 1773927900	5	$53	43	30	+13	open	—	03-19 13:49
btc updown 5m 1774113000	9	$47	54	33	+20	open	—	03-21 17:13
btc updown 5m 1773882600	5	$40	39	20	+18	open	—	03-19 01:16
btc updown 5m 1774282800	8	$40	128	9	+119	open	—	03-23 16:26
btc updown 5m 1774115700	8	$40	64	0	+64	open	—	03-21 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	8	$39	23	23	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	8	$39	26	26	+0	Up	+$9	05-11 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	8	$39	53	29	+24	Down	+$3	05-11 18:39
btc updown 5m 1773915900	4	$36	61	39	+22	open	—	03-19 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	8	$35	21	21	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 03:19
btc updown 5m 1773903600	2	$32	23	22	+0	open	—	03-19 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$32	18	17	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 05:29
btc updown 5m 1773928200	3	$29	24	22	+1	open	—	03-19 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$29	45	19	+26	Down	+$7	05-11 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$28	19	18	+1	Down	+$9	05-12 01:09
btc updown 5m 1773900300	2	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	03-19 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	7	$27	27	27	+0	Down	$-3	05-11 02:48
btc updown 5m 1773915600	3	$25	41	22	+20	open	—	03-19 10:22
btc updown 5m 1773918000	2	$25	16	15	+0	open	—	03-19 11:05
btc updown 5m 1773925200	2	$24	45	0	+45	open	—	03-19 13:01
btc updown 5m 1773929100	3	$24	37	0	+37	open	—	03-19 14:08
btc updown 5m 1773926700	3	$24	36	0	+36	open	—	03-19 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	6	$24	24	24	+0	Down	$-6	05-12 01:59
btc updown 5m 1773899700	2	$22	22	21	+0	open	—	03-19 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	5	$21	32	10	+22	Down	+$3	05-12 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$21	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	5	$21	36	21	+15	Down	$-5	05-11 19:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 16:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xcbed27…
05-22 15:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x4ff51f…
05-22 15:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6b49d4…
05-22 15:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x823fe6…
05-22 14:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf3c2f0…
05-22 14:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x89ba98…
05-22 14:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x21ea40…
05-22 14:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x3498d1…
05-22 14:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x190e3b…
05-22 14:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x302b5e…
05-22 14:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xafecfd…
05-22 14:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2932f5…
05-22 14:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x124093…
05-22 14:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2989c3…
05-22 14:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x473108…
05-22 13:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x565fbe…
05-22 13:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x6ac18f…
05-22 13:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x910de1…
05-22 13:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x5803ca…
05-22 13:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2c98b1…
05-22 13:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8dbbe8…
05-22 13:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x95f4cf…
05-22 12:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2d8498…
05-12 15:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x803d14…
05-12 15:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x27e08f…
05-12 15:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x075cee…
05-12 15:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x8266b5…
05-12 15:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xc10641…
05-12 15:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x53ba22…
05-12 15:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x67fdf5…
05-12 02:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xbbb3fa…
05-12 02:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0x8e9d58…
05-12 02:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0a7ad0…
05-12 02:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xfbe20d…
05-12 01:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0x58a995…
05-12 01:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8a484e…
05-12 01:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x98b8e7…
05-12 01:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x708dd4…
05-12 01:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xbdb63b…
05-12 01:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x564fc4…
05-12 01:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe781d2…
05-12 01:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x67fd7f…
05-12 01:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xf0b038…
05-12 01:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xbff921…
05-12 01:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x74ca0d…
05-12 01:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x188cb9…
05-12 01:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x180463…
05-12 01:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x55317a…
05-12 01:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1ef51a…
05-12 01:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x82395d…
05-12 01:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0efe6f…
05-12 01:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf96d95…
05-12 01:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xbf579c…
05-12 01:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xfd50b9…
05-12 01:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0e0f46…
05-12 01:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9a9d64…
05-12 01:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf51b14…
05-12 01:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xfaf289…
05-12 01:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x5023fe…
05-12 01:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x706ffc…
05-12 01:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc745c5…
05-12 01:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x66ae8a…
05-12 01:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xae627e…
05-12 00:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xe8d0be…
05-12 00:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x27993c…
05-12 00:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x71e7d5…
05-12 00:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0814af…
05-12 00:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf28980…
05-12 00:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x446490…
05-12 00:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfdd471…
05-12 00:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8c6cde…
05-12 00:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x589c3a…
05-11 19:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x4a6b4b…
05-11 19:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x2ca4e5…
05-11 19:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb23f30…
05-11 19:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x38d3e1…
05-11 19:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0680ac…
05-11 19:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0xbbbad3…
05-11 19:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd05404…
05-11 19:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xbaf680…
05-11 19:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8a72c4…
05-11 19:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb4369a…
05-11 19:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x737ab5…
05-11 19:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x1b4cf5…
05-11 18:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x194fb6…
05-11 18:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5e4f24…
05-11 18:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9fd154…
05-11 18:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6516cf…
05-11 18:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8dc140…
05-11 18:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xebf0ee…
05-11 18:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xc594af…
05-11 18:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	28	30¢	$8	0xde713b…
05-11 18:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x360129…
05-11 18:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc2e51c…
05-11 18:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xffa2d8…
05-11 18:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x3e2d2a…
05-11 17:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xb3f9a1…
05-11 17:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x90832a…
05-11 17:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0585de…
05-11 17:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	75¢	$11	0x56d812…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	180	$59.8K	6,909	05-22 15:59
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	177	$19.7K	4,425	05-22 15:58
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	171	$9.32K	1,659	05-12 15:58
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	170	$193.9K	40,814	05-12 15:59
(anonymous) 0x7e5b…06e8	170	$7.03K	670	05-22 15:56
Definite-Smoke 0x4b6b…5578	170	$2.23K	640	05-22 15:50
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	167	$43.0K	2,733	05-22 15:57
Animated-Health 0x4d8b…a00d	167	$16.4K	1,944	05-12 15:55