Cheap-Kickoff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.93K

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

321

Trades

2,316

lifetime

Volume

$302.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$131

Open exposure

$120

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-17 23:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Sports

72% 51% -$2,283

Other

26% 60% -$2,646

Crypto

1% 67% +$1,214

Politics

1% 14% -$854

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$642

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes		+770	$142	16¢	$120	-$23	10-06 08:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	133	$19.4K	18,124	18,124	+0	No	-$2,154	05-25 16:54
cbb unlv boise 2026 02 13	23	$9.2K	10,000	0	+10,000	UNLV Runnin' Rebels	-$9,250	02-14 04:45
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	41	$7.2K	9,014	5,000	+4,014	No	-$2,177	05-31 01:38
nhl utah las 2026 04 19	77	$6.3K	4,350	4,298	+53	Golden Knights	+$1,585	04-20 04:56
nba sas dal 2026 02 05	26	$6.3K	4,118	4,000	+118	Spurs	+$440	02-06 03:37
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	34	$5.8K	9,584	7,000	+2,584	Yes	+$1,661	04-12 22:39
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	4	$4.9K	3,020	3,020	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$1,115	07-08 08:46
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	16	$4.6K	3,857	2,000	+1,857	Yes	+$1,141	05-25 19:02
Patriots vs. Bills	2	$4.6K	6,500	0	+6,500	Patriots	-$4,555	10-04 17:15
cbb siena duke 2026 03 19	2	$4.5K	5,866	0	+5,866	Duke Blue Devils	+$1,320	03-19 19:54
Broncos vs. 49ers	14	$4.4K	7,500	0	+7,500	49ers	+$3,100	10-04 22:18
nhl stl dal 2026 02 04	29	$4.4K	7,524	0	+7,524	Stars	+$3,126	02-05 05:13
nfl gb chi 2026 01 10	61	$4.1K	12,851	11,500	+1,351	Bears	-$1,268	01-11 04:17
will indiana win the 2026 college football national championship	29	$3.9K	5,400	0	+5,400	Yes	+$1,486	01-10 06:48
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$3.2K	5,000	0	+5,000	Knicks	-$3,250	05-31 05:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	2	$3.0K	2,126	2,126	+0	Yes	+$541	09-15 15:08
cbb tenn iowast 2026 03 27	29	$3.0K	3,944	2,000	+1,944	Tennessee Volunteers	-$416	03-28 04:16
Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)	16	$2.9K	4,800	0	+4,800	Tommy McMillen	+$1,923	09-08 05:33
Bills vs. Raiders	9	$2.7K	4,000	0	+4,000	Bills	+$1,280	10-14 23:00
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	20	$2.6K	4,000	0	+4,000	Natalia Silva	+$1,420	09-28 19:16
UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	18	$2.6K	4,056	0	+4,056	Jai Herbert	-$2,566	10-09 02:14
cbb iowa fl 2026 03 22	23	$2.4K	3,500	0	+3,500	Iowa Hawkeyes	-$2,385	03-22 23:44
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	1	$2.2K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$2,160	05-23 22:44
UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	28	$2.1K	3,000	0	+3,000	Alexander Hernandez	+$900	10-03 20:55
ufc kam dri 2026 07 18	72	$2.1K	7,000	0	+7,000	Dricus Du Plessis	-$2,080	07-17 02:28
nhl tor col 2026 01 12	34	$2.1K	3,856	0	+3,856	Maple Leafs	-$2,059	01-13 05:19
UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	3	$2.0K	3,681	0	+3,681	Ismail Naurdiev	+$1,664	10-02 15:10
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	8	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Alexander Volkanovski	-$2,000	10-15 12:09
nhl las dal 2026 03 22	1	$2.0K	3,509	0	+3,509	Golden Knights	-$2,000	03-22 22:44
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	2	$1.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$3,050	10-08 23:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 23:34:14	UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tanner Boser	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x083d03…
10-17 23:34:12	UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tanner Boser	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x970cf0…
10-17 23:34:06	UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tanner Boser	BUY	470	34¢	$160	0x4a9f64…
10-17 23:33:57	UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tanner Boser	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x8f58bc…
10-17 19:20:00	UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	1,811	63¢	$1,141	0x5d4c7b…
10-17 18:57:23	UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x1f71c4…
10-17 18:01:47	UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0xe34d77…
10-17 17:46:09	UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x00d4d8…
10-17 15:27:39	UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x4c7e95…
10-17 14:22:51	UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	41	63¢	$26	0x087eea…
10-17 13:58:56	UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	811	63¢	$511	0x6b8780…
10-17 13:07:11	UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	135	63¢	$85	0xe2fc6b…
10-17 11:52:00	UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	88	63¢	$55	0x29bf6f…
10-17 08:51:00	UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xa927cf…
10-17 02:57:17	UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb647f6…
10-16 00:47:13	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	498	53¢	$264	0xb0ce89…
10-16 00:47:12	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x719bee…
10-15 12:09:23	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	248	50¢	$124	0x06e45c…
10-15 08:41:23	ufc ale14 mov 2026 10 24	Movsar Evloev	BUY	762	50¢	$381	0x0ebbd6…
10-15 08:40:49	ufc ale14 mov 2026 10 24	Movsar Evloev	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8af6bc…
10-15 08:40:40	ufc ale14 mov 2026 10 24	Movsar Evloev	BUY	1,600	50¢	$800	0x527de7…
10-15 06:37:56	ufc kyl3 mar14 2026 10 17	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	34	63¢	$21	0x04e12c…
10-15 04:11:05	ufc ale14 mov 2026 10 24	Movsar Evloev	BUY	800	50¢	$400	0x89567f…
10-15 02:13:38	ufc ale14 mov 2026 10 24	Movsar Evloev	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xfcecef…
10-14 23:28:03	ufc ale14 mov 2026 10 24	Movsar Evloev	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9d570c…
10-14 23:00:48	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	3,754	68¢	$2,553	0x614cc9…
10-14 21:53:31	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x233f9d…
10-14 21:38:27	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x3fb8e1…
10-14 21:20:52	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa2c396…
10-14 20:01:49	ufc ale14 mov 2026 10 24	Movsar Evloev	BUY	469	50¢	$234	0xd3704a…
10-14 14:53:43	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	94	68¢	$64	0x7ec0b9…
10-14 11:32:43	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	61	68¢	$41	0x21fdff…
10-14 08:22:19	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	26	68¢	$18	0xa370b4…
10-14 08:22:14	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x9883a4…
10-14 07:35:13	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x3f467d…
10-13 01:49:21	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	1,000	53¢	$530	0x5fbce3…
10-12 23:09:33	UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Erin Blanchfield	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xb1cd79…
10-11 22:51:33	49ers vs. Seahawks	49ers	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x27b67e…
10-11 22:49:27	49ers vs. Seahawks	49ers	BUY	282	33¢	$93	0xa03ce9…
10-11 22:49:20	49ers vs. Seahawks	49ers	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf4f24e…
10-11 22:49:20	49ers vs. Seahawks	49ers	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x802791…
10-11 22:49:20	49ers vs. Seahawks	49ers	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x15e31a…
10-11 22:49:20	49ers vs. Seahawks	49ers	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0x11a9d8…
10-11 22:49:18	49ers vs. Seahawks	49ers	BUY	147	33¢	$49	0x01b2e1…
10-11 22:03:08	Broncos vs. Chargers	Broncos	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0x474488…
10-11 22:03:06	Broncos vs. Chargers	Broncos	BUY	497	55¢	$273	0x8ff7c6…
10-11 22:03:02	Broncos vs. Chargers	Broncos	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x56ef3f…
10-11 20:59:37	49ers vs. Seahawks	49ers	BUY	500	45¢	$225	0x365399…
10-11 20:58:07	49ers vs. Seahawks	49ers	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0xefc5ee…
10-11 20:18:19	Broncos vs. Chargers	Broncos	BUY	362	59¢	$214	0xdd0f9b…
10-11 20:18:19	Broncos vs. Chargers	Broncos	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xa1f7a8…
10-11 20:18:18	Broncos vs. Chargers	Broncos	BUY	128	59¢	$76	0xe04256…
10-11 15:43:09	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	1,000	53¢	$530	0xb6c503…
10-09 13:53:45	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0xcc50f0…
10-09 13:46:49	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xbd5172…
10-09 13:39:12	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xaa4d13…
10-09 12:37:01	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	1,000	56¢	$560	0xfb3d59…
10-09 11:15:04	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0x9f7ebf…
10-09 09:21:45	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	590	47¢	$277	0x1e86b4…
10-09 05:39:30	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x0cbac1…
10-09 05:11:42	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xf057b5…
10-09 04:33:28	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x9ec825…
10-09 02:26:38	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Cowboys	BUY	500	22¢	$110	0x9b469d…
10-09 02:14:27	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Matheus Camilo	BUY	1,000	63¢	$630	0x09be85…
10-08 23:02:38	Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	No	BUY	2,456	39¢	$958	0xd67d58…
10-08 22:50:51	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Matheus Camilo	BUY	1,380	63¢	$869	0x145bf7…
10-08 22:40:23	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Matheus Camilo	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x16daed…
10-08 22:36:35	Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	No	BUY	2,544	39¢	$992	0x9e7c3a…
10-08 22:24:51	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Matheus Camilo	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0xfd733d…
10-08 22:23:30	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Matheus Camilo	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0x6887b2…
10-08 05:04:35	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	677	57¢	$386	0xd08f9e…
10-08 04:09:34	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	54	57¢	$31	0xce0ed1…
10-08 03:42:38	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	55	57¢	$31	0x4dc693…
10-08 03:42:14	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	41	57¢	$23	0xba20b3…
10-08 03:03:53	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	90	57¢	$51	0x2318ef…
10-08 02:42:26	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Matheus Camilo	BUY	184	64¢	$118	0x392001…
10-08 01:34:29	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xaf6ec7…
10-08 01:34:25	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x24ab94…
10-08 01:34:07	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	897	57¢	$511	0x2137e0…
10-08 01:28:55	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x8fa455…
10-08 01:28:46	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x826296…
10-08 00:06:25	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Matheus Camilo	BUY	111	64¢	$71	0x414bae…
10-07 20:24:23	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Matheus Camilo	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd829fd…
10-07 18:39:58	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Matheus Camilo	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x227a31…
10-07 14:59:41	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Matheus Camilo	BUY	560	64¢	$358	0x5b9fac…
10-07 08:23:33	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Matheus Camilo	BUY	139	64¢	$89	0xf44e7f…
10-07 07:58:59	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	99	57¢	$57	0xb9beeb…
10-07 07:58:57	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x278079…
10-07 02:39:12	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x52bc1e…
10-07 02:39:09	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x65751a…
10-07 02:09:03	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfb0cb4…
10-07 02:02:53	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xee8185…
10-07 01:31:41	Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5	Under	BUY	786	55¢	$432	0xe61376…
10-07 01:29:12	Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5	Under	BUY	214	55¢	$118	0x040bc5…
10-06 08:13:09	Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$37	0xbe7930…
10-06 08:12:06	Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$37	0x1a3658…
10-06 05:59:04	Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$6	0x485ae8…
10-06 05:57:51	Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	240	18¢	$44	0x26534a…
10-06 05:57:46	Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x8d452b…
10-06 05:26:46	Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xa0bb3b…