Our-Culvert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$139

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

889

lifetime

Volume

$82.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-21 05:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 95% +$137

Other

27% 100% +$2

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	27	$5.3K	2,766	2,830	-64	open	—	01-21 18:27
Elsa FDV above $100M one day after launch?	7	$1.8K	886	886	+0	open	—	01-22 01:50
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?	18	$1.7K	1,020	960	+60	open	—	01-20 15:45
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	8	$1.4K	826	556	+270	open	—	03-31 21:26
will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2026	7	$1.3K	1,428	81	+1,347	open	—	06-30 04:42
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	18	$1.1K	555	555	+0	No	+$31	04-16 18:24
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?	8	$990	499	499	+0	open	—	04-30 20:26
ETHGAS FDV above $300M one day after launch?	8	$970	488	488	+0	open	—	01-22 20:58
will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	9	$906	569	569	+0	open	—	06-27 10:26
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	4	$852	427	427	+0	open	—	04-27 16:48
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	3	$816	411	411	+0	open	—	04-13 18:20
Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	4	$802	405	405	+0	open	—	01-26 10:53
bitcoin up or down february 1 10pm et	8	$795	437	437	+0	open	—	02-02 03:59
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	10	$786	408	408	+0	open	—	04-22 20:01
Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?	8	$760	409	409	+0	open	—	01-20 20:12
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?	7	$752	400	400	+0	open	—	01-18 15:00
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 20?	1	$700	701	0	+701	open	—	05-20 19:38
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$700	719	0	+719	open	—	05-26 19:57
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	7	$688	653	653	+0	open	—	05-18 09:35
Mezo FDV above $600M one day after launch?	2	$679	341	341	+0	open	—	04-02 16:41
Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	11	$631	318	318	+0	open	—	03-31 19:49
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$627	427	213	+214	open	—	04-14 19:32
over 60m committed to the laso finance public sale	7	$620	397	243	+154	open	—	07-04 16:54
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	7	$620	312	312	+0	open	—	04-01 19:59
Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?	4	$609	310	310	+0	open	—	01-19 22:09
Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?	6	$606	616	0	+616	open	—	05-27 19:31
bitcoin up or down january 24 7am et	2	$603	303	303	+0	open	—	01-24 13:03
Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2027?	2	$600	301	301	+0	open	—	06-18 03:48
Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$600	601	0	+601	open	—	05-21 18:55
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$598	300	300	+0	open	—	02-06 17:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 08:37:51	over 3m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129599	Yes	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x1a4496…
07-21 08:00:27	over 3m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129599	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xdd0e39…
07-21 07:51:54	townsquare fdv above 350m one day after launch 20260720191919477	No	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0xedfa9d…
07-21 07:35:45	over 500k committed to the townsquare public sale 20260720183419652	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe24e5e…
07-21 07:28:30	townsquare fdv above 350m one day after launch 20260720191919477	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x733d63…
07-21 07:19:55	over 4m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129600	Yes	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x9f695c…
07-21 07:19:48	over 5m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129601	Yes	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0xa4b577…
07-21 05:13:25	will squid launch a token by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x1515eb…
07-20 05:06:33	will squid launch a token by july 31 2026	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb24f5a…
07-17 19:10:52	credible fdv above 30m one day after launch 20260708144505952	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xa01ede…
07-17 13:59:13	over 60m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325657 955	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xa1be2a…
07-17 12:33:55	over 60m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325657 955	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xbbc6f0…
07-17 12:20:42	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x99d766…
07-17 04:49:43	over 65m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	201	99¢	$199	0x194c4b…
07-14 02:39:19	over 20m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325650	Yes	BUY	441	100¢	$440	0xcdd7ac…
07-13 18:52:02	over 4m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325642	Yes	BUY	440	100¢	$440	0xf3963e…
07-09 17:48:29	will rho labs launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174513381	No	SELL	80	78¢	$62	0xd85aa4…
07-09 17:26:16	will vest launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174029216	No	SELL	41	87¢	$36	0x7016f3…
07-09 12:49:28	will vest launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174029216	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x0a5e39…
07-09 10:52:02	will rho labs launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174513381	No	BUY	80	78¢	$63	0xc03fec…
07-09 10:27:53	over 60m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325657	No	SELL	24	86¢	$20	0x04ad09…
07-08 20:28:43	over 60m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325657	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x3d956f…
07-05 20:00:14	laso finance fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9b98d5…
07-05 17:15:32	laso finance fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xc099f7…
07-05 17:07:31	laso finance fdv above 12m one day after launch	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb908e5…
07-05 15:48:34	laso finance fdv above 15m one day after launch	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xc191c5…
07-05 05:11:01	laso finance fdv above 20m one day after launch	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x01759e…
07-04 17:02:16	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x794c99…
07-04 17:00:47	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x495fbb…
07-04 16:54:47	over 60m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x07635d…
07-04 16:40:47	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	SELL	103	98¢	$101	0xa30aa1…
07-04 16:37:56	over 60m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9239e0…
07-04 16:36:22	over 60m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x275d3e…
07-04 16:34:41	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0x2633e7…
07-04 16:23:08	over 60m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x9cc599…
07-04 15:52:38	over 70m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xd448a3…
07-04 14:22:25	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	SELL	68	98¢	$66	0xbbd6b7…
07-04 14:17:02	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	SELL	68	97¢	$66	0x3606ab…
07-04 13:18:14	over 50m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	42	91¢	$38	0xc903bf…
07-04 13:13:20	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x3849a8…
07-04 13:13:05	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	Yes	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0xe83caa…
07-04 13:10:14	over 60m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	143	94¢	$135	0x86233e…
07-04 09:45:46	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	No	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x06030b…
07-04 09:42:02	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	No	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0xab10e6…
07-04 07:24:28	over 60m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x628228…
07-04 05:44:47	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x838475…
07-04 04:43:28	over 50m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	42	90¢	$38	0x31acf0…
07-04 04:42:02	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	No	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x6b80a7…
07-04 04:24:14	over 70m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xd07b44…
07-04 04:16:22	over 60m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	88	94¢	$82	0x658b8f…
07-02 11:06:01	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	No	SELL	260	72¢	$187	0xc53c83…
07-02 05:36:41	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x902d54…
07-02 05:32:29	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	55	83¢	$46	0xec6745…
07-02 05:32:26	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	55	83¢	$46	0xea2227…
07-02 05:32:23	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x5bb077…
07-02 05:32:19	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	55	83¢	$46	0xa1402b…
07-02 05:32:16	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0xccc08e…
07-02 05:18:25	over 3m committed to the squid public sale	Yes	BUY	74	98¢	$72	0x428b33…
07-01 06:43:07	laso finance fdv above 3m one day after launch	No	SELL	36	11¢	$4	0x4c4b05…
07-01 03:42:26	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x9b9ed3…
06-30 09:54:17	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xee6fb7…
06-30 09:08:11	laso finance fdv above 3m one day after launch	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x50c4ca…
06-30 09:07:53	laso finance fdv above 3m one day after launch	No	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x5ab6b8…
06-30 04:42:44	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	171	100¢	$170	0x051375…
06-29 04:37:28	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfb02ff…
06-28 11:05:53	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	116	98¢	$114	0x816dcf…
06-28 08:51:20	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xb7339a…
06-28 04:38:53	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa015a8…
06-28 04:37:08	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xd92b64…
06-28 04:25:31	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc11f6e…
06-27 20:00:11	Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x049779…
06-27 19:57:02	cap fdv above 300m one day after launch	No	BUY	84	100¢	$83	0xfd20c5…
06-27 19:56:53	cap fdv above 300m one day after launch	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5016e6…
06-27 19:32:19	cap fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xdc14f2…
06-27 19:29:07	cap fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc3b7b9…
06-27 10:26:23	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	285	81¢	$231	0x941eae…
06-27 10:16:50	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe8ff5d…
06-27 10:16:32	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x812f0f…
06-27 10:15:41	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x36ac7f…
06-27 10:07:04	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x3882f3…
06-27 10:06:59	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	36	69¢	$24	0x8dfe8b…
06-27 10:05:43	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf970f3…
06-27 09:25:11	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0xa0a107…
06-27 08:04:38	will kast launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0x22d899…
06-27 03:52:58	Over $30M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xfc8b8e…
06-27 03:47:59	Over $8M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x73a9ea…
06-27 03:25:44	will kast launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0xa8e157…
06-26 09:46:41	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x5d644d…
06-24 03:13:13	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	281	20¢	$57	0x58f130…
06-24 01:25:49	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0xed5252…
06-24 01:25:49	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0x53e107…
06-24 01:25:47	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	24	27¢	$6	0xcecdf6…
06-24 01:25:41	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0xb7d63a…
06-24 01:25:40	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xadb63e…
06-24 01:25:38	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	320	28¢	$88	0x00e301…
06-23 20:41:23	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	483	24¢	$116	0xeed4a1…
06-23 18:25:47	Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xe3a86f…
06-23 17:44:25	Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x9c30de…
06-23 16:13:58	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xc361ab…
06-22 18:06:53	Over $30M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa2e065…