Our-Culvert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$135

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

Trades

775

lifetime

Volume

$74.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

$88

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-06 18:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 95% +$132

Other

21% 100% +$2

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No		+93	$86	95¢	$88	+$2	06-06 04:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	27	$5.3K	2,766	2,830	-64	open	—	01-21 18:27
Elsa FDV above $100M one day after launch?	7	$1.8K	886	886	+0	open	—	01-22 01:50
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?	18	$1.7K	1,020	960	+60	open	—	01-20 15:45
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	8	$1.4K	826	556	+270	open	—	03-31 21:26
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	18	$1.1K	555	555	+0	No	+$31	04-16 18:24
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?	8	$990	499	499	+0	open	—	04-30 20:26
ETHGAS FDV above $300M one day after launch?	8	$970	488	488	+0	open	—	01-22 20:58
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?	3	$962	1,100	31	+1,069	open	—	05-30 10:06
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	4	$852	427	427	+0	open	—	04-27 16:48
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	3	$816	411	411	+0	open	—	04-13 18:20
Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	4	$802	405	405	+0	open	—	01-26 10:53
bitcoin up or down february 1 10pm et	8	$795	437	437	+0	open	—	02-02 03:59
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	10	$786	408	408	+0	open	—	04-22 20:01
Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?	8	$760	409	409	+0	open	—	01-20 20:12
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?	7	$752	400	400	+0	open	—	01-18 15:00
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 20?	1	$700	701	0	+701	open	—	05-20 19:38
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$700	719	0	+719	open	—	05-26 19:57
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	7	$688	653	653	+0	open	—	05-18 09:35
Mezo FDV above $600M one day after launch?	2	$679	341	341	+0	open	—	04-02 16:41
Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	11	$631	318	318	+0	open	—	03-31 19:49
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$627	427	213	+214	open	—	04-14 19:32
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	7	$620	312	312	+0	open	—	04-01 19:59
Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?	4	$609	310	310	+0	open	—	01-19 22:09
Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?	6	$606	616	0	+616	open	—	05-27 19:31
bitcoin up or down january 24 7am et	2	$603	303	303	+0	open	—	01-24 13:03
Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$600	601	0	+601	open	—	05-21 18:55
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$598	300	300	+0	open	—	02-06 17:35
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 in June?	2	$588	1,200	1	+1,199	open	—	06-03 13:11
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	5	$581	597	0	+597	open	—	01-23 19:49
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$578	296	296	+0	open	—	01-16 05:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 18:53:30	YOM FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	170	96¢	$163	0xc16878…
06-06 04:00:36	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xc5cf94…
06-06 03:57:13	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xe4aab3…
06-06 03:57:04	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x8195c1…
06-06 03:56:49	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x43992b…
06-03 13:11:31	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 in June?	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x84c1bc…
06-03 06:26:46	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 in June?	Yes	BUY	1,200	49¢	$588	0x0c5dba…
06-01 19:29:16	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x0082c3…
05-31 11:04:40	Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xd99971…
05-30 10:06:51	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	86¢	$27	0x5dee2b…
05-30 10:06:19	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xf3f683…
05-30 06:10:36	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,100	85¢	$935	0x73626a…
05-29 19:59:39	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 25 above $430?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x085f25…
05-29 19:50:45	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 25 above $430?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd8695b…
05-29 19:50:22	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 25 above $430?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9db03f…
05-29 19:45:11	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 25 above $430?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb4771b…
05-29 19:33:45	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $590 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x093e92…
05-29 19:32:03	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf5e33f…
05-29 19:20:25	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $650 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x5ea171…
05-29 18:55:37	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 in May?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x045738…
05-29 17:09:33	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x09a19a…
05-29 16:50:51	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	428	99¢	$423	0xbdb1a2…
05-28 20:25:28	XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x6a34e5…
05-28 20:23:41	XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xd6a892…
05-28 20:02:48	XMAQUINA FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x01568c…
05-28 20:00:16	XMAQUINA FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa8ab16…
05-28 20:00:13	XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xdcd1a1…
05-28 19:57:26	XMAQUINA FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x055dba…
05-28 19:56:41	XMAQUINA FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb747d0…
05-28 19:56:32	XMAQUINA FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x3f82a6…
05-28 19:56:09	XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x83fe86…
05-28 19:52:57	XMAQUINA FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x004bee…
05-28 19:52:13	XMAQUINA FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe0aca4…
05-28 19:51:28	XMAQUINA FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xba0738…
05-28 19:42:58	XMAQUINA FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0xf4fbb1…
05-28 19:28:22	XMAQUINA FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x7bf5fe…
05-28 04:37:28	Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	300	72¢	$216	0x5e0079…
05-28 04:18:13	Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0xf054fc…
05-27 20:34:21	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc063df…
05-27 20:28:05	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4b766f…
05-27 19:59:02	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xce7622…
05-27 19:31:47	Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x98485d…
05-27 19:31:28	Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xcdad77…
05-27 19:25:57	Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x711d46…
05-27 19:22:17	Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x5faf07…
05-27 19:20:09	Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xd21ae7…
05-27 19:16:21	Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xdbb87a…
05-26 19:57:15	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x085d9c…
05-26 19:54:27	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	512	98¢	$500	0xf2d3f8…
05-26 19:51:34	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xab83c7…
05-26 19:40:15	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x7878d3…
05-26 19:23:06	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac44bf…
05-21 19:21:21	Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	202	98¢	$199	0xfeb40c…
05-21 18:55:06	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	601	100¢	$600	0xf9c4e0…
05-20 19:38:50	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 20?	No	BUY	701	100¢	$700	0xe837e8…
05-19 19:29:53	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on May 19?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3c44ee…
05-18 16:58:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xda1087…
05-18 13:29:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xb7dde7…
05-18 09:35:31	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	No	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xf2a6dc…
05-18 09:35:31	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	No	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xea0a72…
05-18 09:35:31	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x6853e0…
05-18 09:06:17	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	No	SELL	629	52¢	$330	0x3b8aae…
05-18 06:51:04	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x929766…
05-18 06:48:18	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	No	BUY	279	53¢	$148	0x1e4c95…
05-18 06:38:21	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	No	BUY	324	53¢	$172	0x002cf3…
05-17 09:26:38	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	No	SELL	55	71¢	$39	0xd2a2f5…
05-17 07:57:32	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	No	SELL	50	71¢	$35	0xbb2d58…
05-17 07:51:38	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	No	BUY	105	71¢	$75	0x9c37c6…
05-13 19:53:53	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe16992…
05-13 19:53:41	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x1376b7…
05-13 06:23:31	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x910edc…
05-12 20:00:01	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 12?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x1e9d76…
05-12 19:59:37	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x40051a…
05-12 19:43:31	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x287b49…
05-12 19:23:00	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 13?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xdf6bd7…
05-08 19:57:30	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xbecb96…
05-07 19:58:38	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 7?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xf0523d…
05-07 19:47:37	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x753c89…
05-05 19:49:24	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0x6d0e1e…
05-05 19:46:48	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x21a7b2…
05-05 16:17:56	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xed4e80…
05-05 16:16:52	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfabd48…
05-05 11:17:48	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc88183…
05-04 14:19:04	Billions FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xefd296…
05-02 16:24:04	Billions FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xade4b2…
05-01 21:13:16	megaeth fdv above 1pt6b one day after launch	No	BUY	191	99¢	$190	0x51ce15…
05-01 21:05:48	megaeth fdv above 1pt2b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x9f4a6a…
05-01 20:31:12	megaeth fdv above 1pt6b one day after launch	No	BUY	280	99¢	$277	0x1810b6…
05-01 20:30:06	megaeth fdv above 1pt6b one day after launch	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0abe75…
05-01 20:13:48	megaeth fdv above 1pt6b one day after launch	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x098811…
05-01 20:12:42	megaeth fdv above 1pt6b one day after launch	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x381d98…
05-01 20:08:04	megaeth fdv above 1pt6b one day after launch	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x44c7cb…
05-01 20:08:00	megaeth fdv above 1pt6b one day after launch	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa365ed…
05-01 20:07:30	megaeth fdv above 1pt8b one day after launch	No	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0x67cb7b…
05-01 17:11:06	megaeth fdv above 2b one day after launch	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3b2378…
05-01 14:52:06	megaeth fdv above 1pt8b one day after launch	No	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0x84182d…
05-01 14:50:16	megaeth fdv above 2b one day after launch	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0x38ab0b…
05-01 14:38:20	megaeth fdv above 1pt2b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	63	99¢	$63	0x57cd60…
05-01 13:38:46	megaeth fdv above 1pt2b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xea4462…
05-01 10:19:48	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x85c586…