Our-Culvert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$135

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

Trades

834

lifetime

Volume

$78.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

$116

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-30 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 95% +$132

Other

24% 100% +$2

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No		+77	$70	100¢	$76	+$7	06-30 09:54
Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No		+40	$39	99¢	$40	+$1	06-19 11:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	27	$5.3K	2,766	2,830	-64	open	—	01-21 18:27
Elsa FDV above $100M one day after launch?	7	$1.8K	886	886	+0	open	—	01-22 01:50
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?	18	$1.7K	1,020	960	+60	open	—	01-20 15:45
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	8	$1.4K	826	556	+270	open	—	03-31 21:26
will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2026	7	$1.3K	1,428	81	+1,347	open	—	06-30 04:42
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	18	$1.1K	555	555	+0	No	+$31	04-16 18:24
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?	8	$990	499	499	+0	open	—	04-30 20:26
ETHGAS FDV above $300M one day after launch?	8	$970	488	488	+0	open	—	01-22 20:58
will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	9	$906	569	569	+0	open	—	06-27 10:26
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	4	$852	427	427	+0	open	—	04-27 16:48
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	3	$816	411	411	+0	open	—	04-13 18:20
Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	4	$802	405	405	+0	open	—	01-26 10:53
bitcoin up or down february 1 10pm et	8	$795	437	437	+0	open	—	02-02 03:59
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	10	$786	408	408	+0	open	—	04-22 20:01
Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?	8	$760	409	409	+0	open	—	01-20 20:12
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?	7	$752	400	400	+0	open	—	01-18 15:00
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 20?	1	$700	701	0	+701	open	—	05-20 19:38
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$700	719	0	+719	open	—	05-26 19:57
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	7	$688	653	653	+0	open	—	05-18 09:35
Mezo FDV above $600M one day after launch?	2	$679	341	341	+0	open	—	04-02 16:41
Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	11	$631	318	318	+0	open	—	03-31 19:49
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$627	427	213	+214	open	—	04-14 19:32
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	7	$620	312	312	+0	open	—	04-01 19:59
Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?	4	$609	310	310	+0	open	—	01-19 22:09
Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?	6	$606	616	0	+616	open	—	05-27 19:31
bitcoin up or down january 24 7am et	2	$603	303	303	+0	open	—	01-24 13:03
Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2027?	2	$600	301	301	+0	open	—	06-18 03:48
Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$600	601	0	+601	open	—	05-21 18:55
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$598	300	300	+0	open	—	02-06 17:35
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 in June?	3	$594	1,200	37	+1,163	open	—	06-12 15:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 09:54:17	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xee6fb7…
06-30 09:08:11	laso finance fdv above 3m one day after launch	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x50c4ca…
06-30 09:07:53	laso finance fdv above 3m one day after launch	No	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x5ab6b8…
06-30 04:42:44	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	171	100¢	$170	0x051375…
06-29 04:37:28	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfb02ff…
06-28 11:05:53	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	116	98¢	$114	0x816dcf…
06-28 08:51:20	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xb7339a…
06-28 04:38:53	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa015a8…
06-28 04:37:08	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xd92b64…
06-28 04:25:31	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc11f6e…
06-27 20:00:11	Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x049779…
06-27 19:57:02	cap fdv above 300m one day after launch	No	BUY	84	100¢	$83	0xfd20c5…
06-27 19:56:53	cap fdv above 300m one day after launch	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5016e6…
06-27 19:32:19	cap fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xdc14f2…
06-27 19:29:07	cap fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc3b7b9…
06-27 10:26:23	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	285	81¢	$231	0x941eae…
06-27 10:16:50	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe8ff5d…
06-27 10:16:32	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x812f0f…
06-27 10:15:41	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x36ac7f…
06-27 10:07:04	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x3882f3…
06-27 10:06:59	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	36	69¢	$24	0x8dfe8b…
06-27 10:05:43	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf970f3…
06-27 09:25:11	will arch network launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0xa0a107…
06-27 08:04:38	will kast launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0x22d899…
06-27 03:52:58	Over $30M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xfc8b8e…
06-27 03:47:59	Over $8M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x73a9ea…
06-27 03:25:44	will kast launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0xa8e157…
06-26 09:46:41	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x5d644d…
06-24 03:13:13	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	281	20¢	$57	0x58f130…
06-24 01:25:49	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0xed5252…
06-24 01:25:49	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0x53e107…
06-24 01:25:47	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	24	27¢	$6	0xcecdf6…
06-24 01:25:41	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0xb7d63a…
06-24 01:25:40	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xadb63e…
06-24 01:25:38	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	320	28¢	$88	0x00e301…
06-23 20:41:23	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	483	24¢	$116	0xeed4a1…
06-23 18:25:47	Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xe3a86f…
06-23 17:44:25	Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x9c30de…
06-23 16:13:58	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xc361ab…
06-22 18:06:53	Over $30M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa2e065…
06-22 18:05:35	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x92efe5…
06-22 18:04:35	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x4a6ce6…
06-20 17:01:23	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0xfe5af9…
06-20 13:30:34	Over $8M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x901fa0…
06-19 18:30:53	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xf3fe57…
06-19 14:23:34	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x30dd5f…
06-19 11:41:59	Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x63f471…
06-18 19:46:55	o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x579568…
06-18 19:46:34	o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	151	100¢	$150	0xcb6868…
06-18 17:02:44	o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0x74c589…
06-18 03:48:59	Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	301	100¢	$300	0x81a626…
06-17 17:43:25	Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xbb9283…
06-17 06:29:44	Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x8e13dd…
06-12 15:06:42	will coin reach 195 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	36	15¢	$5	0x1fd630…
06-12 12:58:00	Over $30M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x874924…
06-12 12:57:39	Over $30M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xe96520…
06-06 18:53:30	YOM FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	170	96¢	$163	0xc16878…
06-06 04:00:36	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xc5cf94…
06-06 03:57:13	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xe4aab3…
06-06 03:57:04	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x8195c1…
06-06 03:56:49	Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x43992b…
06-03 13:11:31	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 in June?	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x84c1bc…
06-03 06:26:46	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 in June?	Yes	BUY	1,200	49¢	$588	0x0c5dba…
06-01 19:29:16	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x0082c3…
05-31 11:04:40	Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xd99971…
05-30 10:06:51	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	86¢	$27	0x5dee2b…
05-30 10:06:19	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xf3f683…
05-30 06:10:36	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,100	85¢	$935	0x73626a…
05-29 19:59:39	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 25 above $430?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x085f25…
05-29 19:50:45	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 25 above $430?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd8695b…
05-29 19:50:22	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 25 above $430?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9db03f…
05-29 19:45:11	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 25 above $430?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb4771b…
05-29 19:33:45	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $590 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x093e92…
05-29 19:32:03	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf5e33f…
05-29 19:20:25	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $650 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x5ea171…
05-29 18:55:37	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 in May?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x045738…
05-29 17:09:33	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x09a19a…
05-29 16:50:51	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	428	99¢	$423	0xbdb1a2…
05-28 20:25:28	XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x6a34e5…
05-28 20:23:41	XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xd6a892…
05-28 20:02:48	XMAQUINA FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x01568c…
05-28 20:00:16	XMAQUINA FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa8ab16…
05-28 20:00:13	XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xdcd1a1…
05-28 19:57:26	XMAQUINA FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x055dba…
05-28 19:56:41	XMAQUINA FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb747d0…
05-28 19:56:32	XMAQUINA FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x3f82a6…
05-28 19:56:09	XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x83fe86…
05-28 19:52:57	XMAQUINA FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x004bee…
05-28 19:52:13	XMAQUINA FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe0aca4…
05-28 19:51:28	XMAQUINA FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xba0738…
05-28 19:42:58	XMAQUINA FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0xf4fbb1…
05-28 19:28:22	XMAQUINA FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x7bf5fe…
05-28 04:37:28	Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	300	72¢	$216	0x5e0079…
05-28 04:18:13	Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0xf054fc…
05-27 20:34:21	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc063df…
05-27 20:28:05	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4b766f…
05-27 19:59:02	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xce7622…
05-27 19:31:47	Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x98485d…
05-27 19:31:28	Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xcdad77…
05-27 19:25:57	Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x711d46…