Similar-Balcony — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$2.60K

Unrealized P&L

+$22

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved (30d)

861

Trades (30d)

2,188

3,837 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$150.5K

$378.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

$72

1 position

First seen

2026-04-21

last 10-27 09:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 60% +$16

Other

40% 52% -$2,938

Sports

0% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 424 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	—	+73	$50	98¢	$72	+$22	10-27 10:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	4	$4.7K	3,129	3,129	+0	Karmine Corp	+$356	05-09 19:01
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	3	$4.6K	2,514	2,514	+0	Anyone's Legend	+$365	05-10 12:54
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	4	$4.4K	2,458	2,458	+0	JD Gaming	+$178	05-10 12:10
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	2	$4.3K	2,335	2,335	+0	Movistar KOI	+$311	05-08 17:50
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	2	$4.2K	2,249	2,249	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$246	05-09 09:48
LoL: FALKE Esports vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season	2	$4.0K	2,024	2,024	+0	LUA Gaming	+$22	05-06 17:37
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	7	$3.9K	2,322	2,322	+0	paiN	+$688	05-12 21:48
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner	2	$3.3K	1,731	1,731	+0	Sentinels	+$114	05-09 20:50
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner	4	$3.2K	1,894	1,894	+0	G2 Esports	+$575	05-08 15:39
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner	5	$3.0K	1,758	1,752	+5	T1	+$282	05-10 09:33
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	4	$2.5K	1,384	1,384	+0	BetBoom Team	+$263	05-12 20:51
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD - Game 4 Winner	2	$2.4K	1,406	1,406	+0	LOUD	+$405	05-09 19:27
LoL: Ici Japon Corp. Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season	2	$2.3K	1,449	1,449	+0	Vitality.Bee	+$534	05-01 18:43
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner	2	$2.3K	1,337	1,337	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$324	05-10 10:48
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	6	$2.3K	1,695	1,695	+0	Nuclear TigeRES	-$150	05-19 17:39
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner	2	$2.3K	1,189	1,189	+0	Kiwoom DRX Challengers	+$88	05-11 05:36
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	3	$2.3K	1,187	1,187	+0	T1	+$113	05-08 09:23
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner	4	$2.0K	1,233	1,233	+0	BNK FEARX	+$200	05-09 08:30
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winner	4	$1.8K	1,076	1,076	+0	DN SOOPers Challengers	+$185	05-11 10:07
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner	3	$1.8K	1,002	1,002	+0	Sentinels	+$192	05-09 21:38
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	4	$1.8K	979	979	+0	BetBoom Team	+$116	05-11 18:23
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner	2	$1.8K	955	955	+0	Gen.G	+$154	05-14 10:05
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	3	$1.7K	963	963	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$212	05-07 13:26
LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	2	$1.7K	903	903	+0	Zena Esports	+$122	05-01 18:28
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	2	$1.7K	947	947	+0	Nongshim Red Force	+$64	05-23 11:42
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	4	$1.6K	903	903	+0	T1	+$174	05-10 09:30
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner	2	$1.5K	814	814	+0	T1	+$113	05-13 08:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 08:00 UTC	10	$1.5K	946	946	+0	Up	-$141	09-25 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	5	$1.4K	907	907	+0	Up	+$182	10-05 17:28
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner	3	$1.4K	976	976	+0	Ultra Prime	+$566	05-08 10:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0x0765d2…
10-27 10:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0xf75c07…
10-27 10:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xf001c8…
10-27 10:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x554ae5…
10-27 09:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	68	94¢	$64	0x20da74…
10-27 09:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x42e06b…
10-27 09:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	138	99¢	$137	0x18acf3…
10-27 09:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x45f4b2…
10-27 09:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x38da0b…
10-27 09:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	161	96¢	$155	0xa1209e…
10-27 09:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xda47d8…
10-27 09:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x31ac18…
10-27 09:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	89	35¢	$31	0xdade05…
10-27 09:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x5e8a8e…
10-27 09:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	71	96¢	$69	0x3dd741…
10-27 09:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	141	10¢	$14	0xda9981…
10-27 09:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xa92e99…
10-27 09:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xd650dd…
10-27 09:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x3207be…
10-27 09:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xb13a9f…
10-27 09:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xd685f8…
10-27 09:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0x2fd554…
10-27 09:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x6e0910…
10-27 09:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x6d807a…
10-27 09:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	109	98¢	$107	0x998477…
10-27 09:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xecd516…
10-27 09:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xefcd6a…
10-27 09:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	155	98¢	$152	0xe45954…
10-27 09:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x780451…
10-27 09:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xbfc876…
10-27 09:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x43ad1f…
10-27 09:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	137	99¢	$136	0xd82cdf…
10-27 09:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x658bcb…
10-27 09:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x139c22…
10-27 09:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x9d1bb8…
10-27 09:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x5e80ce…
10-27 08:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	78	93¢	$73	0x0f1708…
10-27 08:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xa516d4…
10-27 08:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	129	96¢	$124	0x593d5b…
10-27 08:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x80a3d4…
10-27 08:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x2c050c…
10-27 08:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	78	32¢	$25	0x795e7c…
10-27 08:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xa6321e…
10-27 08:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	91	94¢	$85	0x21bc2c…
10-27 08:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x9ad198…
10-27 08:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xcc1bcb…
10-27 08:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	198	94¢	$186	0x4c5dc8…
10-27 08:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x7bb8d5…
10-27 08:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	61	59¢	$36	0xc49ea3…
10-27 08:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xccf801…
10-27 08:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x7df6c9…
10-27 08:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	216	98¢	$212	0xacf34c…
10-27 08:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xe331e8…
10-27 08:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xc672b4…
10-27 08:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x2d0c14…
10-27 08:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xbc8f49…
10-27 08:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xabc5e1…
10-27 08:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x86e020…
10-27 08:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x3250a0…
10-27 08:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x28c746…
10-27 08:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xb6dadb…
10-27 08:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xb3d488…
10-27 08:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xe136ef…
10-27 08:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x982f77…
10-27 07:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	77	96¢	$74	0xc62aec…
10-27 07:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x969153…
10-27 07:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	67	98¢	$65	0xda31be…
10-27 07:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xec76c5…
10-27 07:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xaa5179…
10-27 07:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x53ec3e…
10-27 07:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x342ad3…
10-27 07:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x1da9db…
10-27 07:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x87a5c5…
10-27 07:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0xa82649…
10-27 07:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x8f3112…
10-27 07:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xcb2572…
10-27 07:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x2df55b…
10-27 07:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	139	99¢	$138	0xa5c3e3…
10-27 07:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x323c13…
10-27 07:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x530276…
10-27 07:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0x6a78e7…
10-27 07:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x32ebb4…
10-27 07:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xfcd3e2…
10-27 01:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x665f76…
10-27 00:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x53668a…
10-27 00:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x41811c…
10-27 00:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	90	38¢	$34	0x45cc95…
10-27 00:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xad2f62…
10-27 00:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	90	56¢	$50	0xd9d124…
10-26 16:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xdd0c0d…
10-26 16:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0x7a5113…
10-26 16:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xbce660…
10-26 16:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	82	88¢	$72	0xd6afa8…
10-26 16:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xdb9dc4…
10-26 12:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x53f2e6…
10-26 11:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0xf3b6cb…
10-26 11:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x169880…
10-26 10:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	166	74¢	$123	0x3bc5eb…
10-26 10:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xdfde31…
10-26 10:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x5dae51…