Similar-Balcony — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$273

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.3%

Resolved (90d)

1,232

Trades (90d)

3,221

3,868 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$229.5K

$380.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 10-27 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 60% +$28

Other

40% 52% -$2,938

Sports

0% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 424 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	4	$4.7K	3,129	3,129	+0	Karmine Corp	+$356	05-09 19:01
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	3	$4.6K	2,514	2,514	+0	Anyone's Legend	+$365	05-10 12:54
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	4	$4.4K	2,458	2,458	+0	JD Gaming	+$178	05-10 12:10
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	2	$4.3K	2,335	2,335	+0	Movistar KOI	+$311	05-08 17:50
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	2	$4.2K	2,249	2,249	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$246	05-09 09:48
LoL: FALKE Esports vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season	2	$4.0K	2,024	2,024	+0	LUA Gaming	+$22	05-06 17:37
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	7	$3.9K	2,322	2,322	+0	paiN	+$688	05-12 21:48
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner	2	$3.3K	1,731	1,731	+0	Sentinels	+$114	05-09 20:50
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner	4	$3.2K	1,894	1,894	+0	G2 Esports	+$575	05-08 15:39
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner	5	$3.0K	1,758	1,752	+5	T1	+$282	05-10 09:33
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	4	$2.5K	1,384	1,384	+0	BetBoom Team	+$263	05-12 20:51
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD - Game 4 Winner	2	$2.4K	1,406	1,406	+0	LOUD	+$405	05-09 19:27
LoL: Ici Japon Corp. Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season	2	$2.3K	1,449	1,449	+0	Vitality.Bee	+$534	05-01 18:43
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner	2	$2.3K	1,337	1,337	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$324	05-10 10:48
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	6	$2.3K	1,695	1,695	+0	Nuclear TigeRES	-$150	05-19 17:39
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner	2	$2.3K	1,189	1,189	+0	Kiwoom DRX Challengers	+$88	05-11 05:36
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	3	$2.3K	1,187	1,187	+0	T1	+$113	05-08 09:23
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner	4	$2.0K	1,233	1,233	+0	BNK FEARX	+$200	05-09 08:30
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winner	4	$1.8K	1,076	1,076	+0	DN SOOPers Challengers	+$185	05-11 10:07
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner	3	$1.8K	1,002	1,002	+0	Sentinels	+$192	05-09 21:38
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	4	$1.8K	979	979	+0	BetBoom Team	+$116	05-11 18:23
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner	2	$1.8K	955	955	+0	Gen.G	+$154	05-14 10:05
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	3	$1.7K	963	963	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$212	05-07 13:26
LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	2	$1.7K	903	903	+0	Zena Esports	+$122	05-01 18:28
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	2	$1.7K	947	947	+0	Nongshim Red Force	+$64	05-23 11:42
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	4	$1.6K	903	903	+0	T1	+$174	05-10 09:30
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner	2	$1.5K	814	814	+0	T1	+$113	05-13 08:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 08:00 UTC	10	$1.5K	946	946	+0	Up	-$141	09-25 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	5	$1.4K	907	907	+0	Up	+$182	10-05 17:28
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner	3	$1.4K	976	976	+0	Ultra Prime	+$566	05-08 10:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 16:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0xdd44bc…
10-27 16:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xab3dc9…
10-27 16:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	102	23¢	$23	0x413284…
10-27 16:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x63d6a9…
10-27 16:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x9ac752…
10-27 16:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x4897cb…
10-27 16:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x03eec0…
10-27 16:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xb970bc…
10-27 16:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x7fd428…
10-27 16:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0xf1c9a5…
10-27 16:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x4959b3…
10-27 16:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	104	14¢	$15	0x2b8f6c…
10-27 16:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x894150…
10-27 16:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x43dd27…
10-27 15:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x194884…
10-27 14:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x1a74ec…
10-27 14:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x7a9bf0…
10-27 14:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x33a2df…
10-27 14:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xf8d6e8…
10-27 13:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	89	96¢	$85	0x334e75…
10-27 13:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xa911c1…
10-27 12:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x2755cc…
10-27 12:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xab24f5…
10-27 12:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	79	99¢	$79	0x1d4b07…
10-27 12:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x75be8b…
10-27 12:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	94	97¢	$92	0xaa3a25…
10-27 12:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x709fc1…
10-27 12:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x3ab629…
10-27 12:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x1a8327…
10-27 12:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x3b5536…
10-27 12:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xeca1fb…
10-27 12:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	65	76¢	$50	0xbd9f30…
10-27 12:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	76	49¢	$37	0xcd232a…
10-27 12:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x2ade71…
10-27 12:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x57ec18…
10-27 10:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	85	94¢	$80	0x5eaaeb…
10-27 10:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xa87d58…
10-27 10:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0x0765d2…
10-27 10:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0xf75c07…
10-27 10:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xf001c8…
10-27 10:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x554ae5…
10-27 09:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	68	94¢	$64	0x20da74…
10-27 09:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x42e06b…
10-27 09:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	138	99¢	$137	0x18acf3…
10-27 09:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x45f4b2…
10-27 09:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x38da0b…
10-27 09:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	161	96¢	$155	0xa1209e…
10-27 09:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xda47d8…
10-27 09:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x31ac18…
10-27 09:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	89	35¢	$31	0xdade05…
10-27 09:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x5e8a8e…
10-27 09:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	71	96¢	$69	0x3dd741…
10-27 09:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	141	10¢	$14	0xda9981…
10-27 09:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xa92e99…
10-27 09:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xd650dd…
10-27 09:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x3207be…
10-27 09:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xb13a9f…
10-27 09:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xd685f8…
10-27 09:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0x2fd554…
10-27 09:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x6e0910…
10-27 09:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x6d807a…
10-27 09:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	109	98¢	$107	0x998477…
10-27 09:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xecd516…
10-27 09:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xefcd6a…
10-27 09:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	155	98¢	$152	0xe45954…
10-27 09:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x780451…
10-27 09:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xbfc876…
10-27 09:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x43ad1f…
10-27 09:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	137	99¢	$136	0xd82cdf…
10-27 09:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x658bcb…
10-27 09:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x139c22…
10-27 09:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x9d1bb8…
10-27 09:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x5e80ce…
10-27 08:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	78	93¢	$73	0x0f1708…
10-27 08:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xa516d4…
10-27 08:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	129	96¢	$124	0x593d5b…
10-27 08:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x80a3d4…
10-27 08:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x2c050c…
10-27 08:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	78	32¢	$25	0x795e7c…
10-27 08:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xa6321e…
10-27 08:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	91	94¢	$85	0x21bc2c…
10-27 08:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x9ad198…
10-27 08:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xcc1bcb…
10-27 08:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	198	94¢	$186	0x4c5dc8…
10-27 08:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x7bb8d5…
10-27 08:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	61	59¢	$36	0xc49ea3…
10-27 08:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xccf801…
10-27 08:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x7df6c9…
10-27 08:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	216	98¢	$212	0xacf34c…
10-27 08:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xe331e8…
10-27 08:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xc672b4…
10-27 08:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x2d0c14…
10-27 08:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xbc8f49…
10-27 08:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xabc5e1…
10-27 08:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x86e020…
10-27 08:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x3250a0…
10-27 08:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x28c746…
10-27 08:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xb6dadb…
10-27 08:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xb3d488…
10-27 08:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xe136ef…