Informal-Spectacle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$25

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 17:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 50% +$1

Other

34% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (1)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 6?	Yes		-38	$-2	2¢	$-1	+$1	05-05 11:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on May 6?	Yes		+111	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-05 17:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch	3	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-05 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$4	193	0	+193	open	—	05-05 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	1	$2	0	4	-4	Up	+$2	05-05 00:30
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 6?	1	$2	0	38	-38	open	—	05-05 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$2	239	239	+0	open	—	05-05 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-04 23:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on May 6?	1	$1	111	0	+111	open	—	05-05 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-05 15:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 17:07:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on May 6?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x9bc7aa…
05-05 16:47:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch	Mayar Sherif	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x9bcf23…
05-05 16:04:46	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch	Tamara Korpatsch	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe033d4…
05-05 15:39:46	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch	Mayar Sherif	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x330670…
05-05 15:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	239	0¢	$0	0x5326ec…
05-05 15:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	239	1¢	$1	0x5a3581…
05-05 15:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x53a2f1…
05-05 11:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xd943f9…
05-05 11:51:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x669026…
05-05 11:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	189	1¢	$2	0x3be1d1…
05-05 11:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x51f4ba…
05-05 08:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x751a56…
05-05 08:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xcf38aa…
05-05 00:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x56c106…
05-04 23:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x58f6be…