Plaintive-Mouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.84K

Unrealized P&L

-$214

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

224

Trades

1,449

lifetime

Volume

$66.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$330

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-24 22:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Other

48% 61% -$874

Politics

39% 62% -$575

Crypto

12% 64% -$393

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+438	$292	42¢	$186	-$105	10-20 14:38
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+2,189	$152	3¢	$68	-$84	10-24 02:38
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+390	$51	11¢	$41	-$10	10-01 13:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+333	$50	11¢	$35	-$15	10-20 15:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	23	$5.8K	7,564	7,564	+0	Yes	+$47	03-05 23:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	18	$3.9K	3,109	2,904	+205	Yes	-$145	02-28 17:40
us strikes iraq by february 28	35	$3.8K	3,001	3,001	+0	Yes	+$243	03-03 15:28
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	53	$3.0K	6,746	4,072	+2,674	Yes	-$150	03-22 15:35
us strikes iraq by march 7	30	$2.0K	1,918	1,837	+80	Yes	-$78	03-07 22:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	13	$1.9K	2,699	2,899	-200	Yes	-$1,431	03-01 01:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	27	$1.8K	2,313	3,039	-726	No	+$374	06-17 00:47
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	13	$1.6K	1,422	1,422	+0	No	+$33	03-06 01:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	11	$1.5K	1,184	382	+802	No	+$33	01-26 01:03
another critical cloudflare incident by february 28	5	$1.1K	581	581	+0	Yes	+$43	02-04 18:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	32	$1.1K	2,917	2,726	+191	No	+$485	04-21 22:22
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	10	$1.1K	550	550	+0	Yes	+$13	02-01 22:05
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	3	$1.0K	530	530	+0	Yes	+$15	02-25 20:10
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	38	$1.0K	2,751	1,438	+1,313	No	-$132	03-26 20:14
coin up or down on february 26 2026	14	$949	501	501	+0	Down	+$10	02-26 20:10
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	4	$875	455	555	-100	No	-$14	03-04 00:11
spx up or down on february 25 2026	9	$823	467	467	+0	Up	+$13	02-25 15:32
amzn up or down on february 26 2026	10	$760	404	404	+0	Down	+$4	02-26 20:11
coin up or down on february 27 2026	7	$733	400	400	+0	Down	+$6	02-27 19:29
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	11	$644	400	400	+0	Yes	$0	02-23 20:20
aapl up or down on february 25 2026	8	$603	325	325	+0	Up	+$17	02-25 20:50
spx opens up or down on february 25 2026	5	$579	291	291	+0	Up	+$1	02-25 14:04
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?	23	$533	1,508	395	+1,113	Yes	-$301	01-23 17:28
Trump renames AI by September 30?	16	$530	582	582	+0	Yes	+$168	09-29 14:47
open up or down on february 25 2026	7	$526	292	292	+0	Down	+$5	02-25 20:50
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	17	$518	752	752	+0	Yes	-$100	08-28 22:22
amzn up or down on february 25 2026	13	$514	338	338	+0	Up	+$5	02-25 18:01
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	8	$512	519	200	+319	Yes	-$206	08-29 16:50
ndx up or down on february 27 2026	6	$511	258	258	+0	Down	+$4	02-27 20:16
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?	3	$501	1,710	0	+1,710	Yes	-$501	09-11 13:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 22:21:47	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	139	0¢	$1	0x3ba659…
10-24 02:38:03	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xc45e0b…
10-24 02:37:57	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0x683093…
10-24 02:37:56	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xd732eb…
10-22 22:17:30	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	108	0¢	$0	0xa178a1…
10-22 22:17:30	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x95a286…
10-22 22:17:30	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0x8ed94a…
10-22 22:17:30	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x56a9c6…
10-22 17:30:03	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x0fba47…
10-22 17:30:02	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x95013a…
10-21 10:56:32	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf715dd…
10-21 10:56:32	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0xf5cf00…
10-21 10:56:32	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0xb18022…
10-21 10:56:32	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x446238…
10-21 10:51:15	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,012	0¢	$4	0xcae1e4…
10-21 10:51:15	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x8e2208…
10-21 10:51:15	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0x4a8746…
10-20 15:13:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x8235ef…
10-20 14:38:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	40¢	$59	0xa2b9d2…
10-16 15:17:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x5f7a14…
10-14 20:11:36	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0xfd5ebe…
10-14 20:11:36	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xe46838…
10-14 20:11:36	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	613	2¢	$13	0xd00653…
10-14 20:11:36	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xbd5091…
10-14 20:11:36	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	178	2¢	$4	0x8780b6…
10-14 20:11:36	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	172	6¢	$10	0x566c13…
10-14 20:11:36	Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x355646…
10-13 16:20:58	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	28	6¢	$2	0x94eaad…
10-13 15:29:11	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xa2d33d…
10-12 12:52:48	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xa58ab7…
10-12 12:39:47	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xafed0c…
10-01 13:30:12	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	390	13¢	$51	0xffbf68…
09-30 09:40:06	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x34cd35…
09-29 14:47:42	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	SELL	222	75¢	$166	0xe539ad…
09-29 14:34:39	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	SELL	97	52¢	$50	0x2b2fbc…
09-29 14:02:48	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xab8b9e…
09-29 14:02:44	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc05e7f…
09-29 14:02:41	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x85032c…
09-29 14:02:39	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	103	40¢	$41	0x3c9cbd…
09-29 04:39:39	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	SELL	186	55¢	$102	0x611078…
09-26 15:08:06	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	74	19¢	$14	0xbfbf37…
09-26 15:05:42	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x6e0f94…
09-26 15:05:41	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xf80608…
09-26 15:05:41	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x04418a…
09-26 15:05:35	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xcbaa8d…
09-26 15:05:21	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x5b6d63…
09-26 14:26:06	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	BUY	65	24¢	$16	0x4c0c4f…
09-25 19:54:53	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	SELL	77	39¢	$30	0xa58102…
09-22 23:16:47	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x7339c8…
09-22 17:02:22	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	SELL	500	11¢	$54	0x274356…
09-22 12:57:51	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0xacd7d1…
09-22 12:40:58	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	SELL	86	10¢	$8	0xd0ec39…
09-21 21:29:48	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	SELL	800	8¢	$61	0xb8512e…
09-21 18:24:27	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	BUY	310	3¢	$10	0xfe2192…
09-21 16:32:32	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x5da896…
09-21 13:54:26	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x8ae4dd…
09-21 13:19:24	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xf96fac…
09-19 15:24:33	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	470	6¢	$31	0xfdf572…
09-18 01:36:12	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	244	8¢	$20	0x17cebf…
09-17 05:28:58	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	BUY	305	3¢	$10	0x9ab9c7…
09-16 18:24:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17?	No	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0xd34b52…
09-16 18:21:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 17?	No	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0xc0900b…
09-16 18:21:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 17?	No	BUY	1,169	0¢	$5	0xff7542…
09-16 18:18:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17?	No	BUY	85	2¢	$1	0xa898e5…
09-16 18:08:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17?	No	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x01547e…
09-16 18:08:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xdea61f…
09-16 18:08:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdd2393…
09-16 18:08:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x15f13c…
09-16 18:08:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x0da6b5…
09-16 18:08:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17?	No	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0xc4d1f0…
09-16 01:36:39	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	660	5¢	$30	0x17a820…
09-15 14:19:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17?	No	BUY	455	3¢	$15	0x7309a4…
09-15 14:17:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 17?	No	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x1cdb67…
09-11 13:45:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?	No	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xe18df5…
09-11 13:41:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 11?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xba61b6…
09-11 13:41:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 11?	No	BUY	122	33¢	$40	0x52d145…
09-11 13:14:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 11?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc29028…
09-11 13:03:07	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	315	16¢	$50	0x7b4a20…
09-11 12:39:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 11?	No	SELL	184	2¢	$4	0x998218…
09-11 12:38:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 11?	No	SELL	950	0¢	$4	0x079104…
09-11 12:29:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 11?	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x5e95a8…
09-11 12:29:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 11?	No	BUY	130	11¢	$15	0x4478f7…
09-11 12:27:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 11?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x14c884…
09-11 11:59:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 11?	No	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0xe3780d…
09-11 05:45:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 11?	No	BUY	900	1¢	$10	0xa7bc06…
09-11 05:09:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 11?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x21f570…
09-11 05:08:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 11?	No	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x540ad6…
09-10 13:28:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10?	No	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0xb0daca…
09-10 13:28:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10?	No	SELL	120	21¢	$25	0x54e12c…
09-10 13:27:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10?	No	SELL	133	23¢	$31	0xb1ca16…
09-10 13:12:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10?	No	SELL	60	26¢	$15	0x82c5f2…
09-10 12:21:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10?	No	BUY	117	4¢	$4	0xd1b38a…
09-10 12:20:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10?	No	BUY	209	5¢	$10	0xed05ef…
09-09 22:09:37	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	328	6¢	$20	0xb73456…
09-09 22:08:46	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x058ba7…
09-08 15:48:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?	No	BUY	371	27¢	$100	0x06d6b8…
09-08 13:34:55	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?	No	BUY	884	34¢	$301	0xf55822…
09-01 12:09:39	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	BUY	615	7¢	$43	0xd58620…
09-01 10:47:25	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x63624a…
09-01 10:34:27	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x80ac86…