Similar-Nation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.20K

Unrealized P&L

+$823

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

227

Trades

4,675

lifetime

Volume

$211.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$6.75K

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 10-30 23:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Other

95% 46% +$7,140

Sports

4% 45% -$221

Crypto

1% 21% -$722

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	+5,000	$4,155	88¢	$4.4K	+$220	10-25 22:51
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+5,000	$1,547	44¢	$2.2K	+$628	10-17 01:22
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	+1,000	$230	20¢	$205	-$25	10-19 19:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	122	$17.7K	25,600	21,600	+4,000	No	-$4,185	09-15 13:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	14	$12.1K	10,200	5,000	+5,200	Yes	+$1,667	07-24 04:49
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	48	$7.4K	5,302	5,302	+0	Yes	+$818	08-24 22:51
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	24	$7.2K	5,178	5,178	+0	open	—	06-22 05:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	10	$7.1K	4,252	4,252	+0	Yes	+$443	10-24 16:37
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	43	$6.7K	8,383	3,383	+5,000	open	—	10-25 22:51
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	154	$5.1K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$691	09-09 04:45
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	71	$5.1K	3,739	2,711	+1,029	open	—	10-31 01:55
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?	64	$5.0K	10,000	3,040	+6,960	No	-$2,442	06-10 05:41
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	35	$5.0K	4,500	4,500	+0	No	+$1,539	08-22 05:07
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$4.4K	10,000	10,000	-0	No	+$92	07-15 03:47
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?	146	$4.4K	12,487	2,487	+10,000	Yes	+$6,917	06-10 05:50
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?	17	$4.2K	4,142	4,142	+0	No	+$247	09-12 15:41
will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	65	$4.1K	3,852	2,126	+1,726	No	-$862	04-10 06:41
will annual inflation increase by 3pt1 in march	209	$3.4K	10,104	5,100	+5,004	No	-$2,864	04-07 23:35
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?	22	$3.3K	3,866	49	+3,817	open	—	10-31 01:11
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?	79	$3.3K	4,975	2,475	+2,500	No	-$656	07-04 09:12
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	124	$3.1K	2,990	2,990	+0	Yes	+$88	08-11 23:54
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	35	$3.1K	8,500	0	+8,500	Yes	+$5,369	08-03 12:32
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 or less in january 157	28	$2.9K	3,738	0	+3,738	No	+$884	02-09 10:37
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	49	$2.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	-$83	10-26 20:07
will annual inflation increase by 2pt5 in february 439 553 591 573	80	$2.8K	6,800	0	+6,800	No	-$2,751	03-11 05:55
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	3	$2.4K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	-$810	07-23 20:58
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	31	$2.3K	2,937	3,000	-62	Yes	-$1,407	03-30 04:34
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt6 in march	105	$2.1K	7,296	4,620	+2,676	No	-$1,929	04-10 05:44
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	83	$2.1K	5,361	4,362	+1,000	No	-$49	07-04 09:13
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	112	$2.0K	3,477	3,477	+0	No	+$242	08-10 15:45
will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 4	16	$2.0K	2,000	900	+1,100	Yes	-$163	09-17 10:05
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?	22	$2.0K	2,940	2,940	+0	No	+$26	06-01 01:41
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt2 in february 422	59	$1.9K	3,761	1,661	+2,100	No	-$662	03-11 05:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 01:55:31	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x218920…
10-31 01:55:27	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xd10d65…
10-31 01:11:49	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x2ca81e…
10-31 01:11:40	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?	No	BUY	76	89¢	$68	0xf745df…
10-31 01:11:16	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xf1db99…
10-31 01:10:55	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?	No	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0xd228b7…
10-30 23:47:28	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	54	89¢	$48	0x8b5e74…
10-30 22:27:37	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xbd0e35…
10-30 16:50:34	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x4485e0…
10-30 16:50:22	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	31	89¢	$28	0x8d7b63…
10-30 14:27:46	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?	Yes	SELL	47	10¢	$5	0x71928f…
10-30 14:27:36	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x56fc48…
10-30 11:04:10	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x254cb7…
10-30 10:10:18	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x5ba875…
10-30 08:54:12	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0xeccebc…
10-30 08:53:07	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xcfc923…
10-30 03:48:16	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?	Yes	SELL	190	10¢	$20	0xe7eb04…
10-30 03:47:24	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?	No	SELL	49	93¢	$46	0xfcbda5…
10-30 02:37:13	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xc61e06…
10-30 01:29:33	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?	No	BUY	305	89¢	$271	0x6c4dfb…
10-30 01:29:21	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x08f4a8…
10-29 19:11:00	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	92	89¢	$81	0xa04d68…
10-29 17:45:17	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x06e2ca…
10-29 16:09:17	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x331bcb…
10-29 09:00:19	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	SELL	43	44¢	$19	0x5fd750…
10-29 08:59:07	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?	Yes	SELL	47	8¢	$4	0x431607…
10-29 07:53:41	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	37	89¢	$33	0x922acf…
10-29 07:18:20	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xf41424…
10-28 19:04:43	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x51c556…
10-28 18:45:52	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3b3c2a…
10-28 18:29:05	Will Canyon win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	225	7¢	$16	0x3bf1b0…
10-28 15:21:47	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xeac960…
10-28 15:21:07	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x3a75ab…
10-28 15:20:17	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xb9611a…
10-28 07:19:02	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	87	44¢	$38	0xbab307…
10-28 06:55:37	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	27	44¢	$12	0x429e32…
10-28 01:44:39	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa1388e…
10-28 01:44:36	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x5cfa2e…
10-28 01:08:50	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	331	43¢	$141	0xabc09e…
10-27 19:04:15	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x05945d…
10-27 09:56:32	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xf0cb84…
10-27 09:43:51	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	161	43¢	$69	0xfd4828…
10-27 09:43:26	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	Yes	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0xe74d83…
10-27 08:47:11	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	SELL	24	47¢	$11	0x8bc704…
10-27 08:47:02	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	SELL	61	47¢	$29	0x8bd5e8…
10-27 08:11:30	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?	Yes	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x4b4b59…
10-27 05:53:48	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x41c8c1…
10-27 04:01:59	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0x4b57b2…
10-27 04:01:57	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xf2c056…
10-27 03:57:45	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x54df2a…
10-27 03:31:42	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x674f57…
10-27 03:30:18	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	161	43¢	$69	0xf30b9b…
10-27 03:30:03	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	161	43¢	$69	0x9b5abb…
10-27 03:29:29	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	168	43¢	$72	0xf2caf7…
10-27 03:28:50	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	181	43¢	$78	0x9fb8ac…
10-27 03:25:56	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x9b4e71…
10-27 03:25:56	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?	Yes	SELL	521	10¢	$52	0x83abb8…
10-27 03:22:41	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0xf0de13…
10-27 03:22:41	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?	Yes	SELL	611	11¢	$67	0xcfd419…
10-27 03:22:41	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x95dbd4…
10-27 03:22:08	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xd4765d…
10-27 03:21:39	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?	Yes	SELL	198	13¢	$25	0xa80da6…
10-27 03:21:39	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in October?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x58cf8b…
10-27 03:21:39	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x53a477…
10-27 03:21:39	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?	Yes	SELL	142	12¢	$17	0x05597b…
10-27 03:20:51	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x3c15e6…
10-27 03:19:08	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in October?	Yes	SELL	91	2¢	$2	0x53ffa8…
10-27 02:33:14	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	120	41¢	$49	0x7b3abd…
10-27 01:02:59	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x474a4c…
10-27 01:02:51	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	105	39¢	$41	0x3f42f8…
10-27 01:02:42	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5f94c0…
10-26 20:07:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	470	24¢	$113	0x26f56d…
10-26 20:07:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x41166b…
10-26 20:07:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0x1c6c6e…
10-26 20:07:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	67	24¢	$16	0xdc1415…
10-26 20:07:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x360f76…
10-26 20:07:35	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x4f74c2…
10-26 20:07:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xe074e6…
10-26 20:07:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0x36e98f…
10-26 20:07:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x1e4eb9…
10-26 20:07:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0x388a41…
10-26 20:07:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x8d6a8e…
10-26 20:07:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0x58a390…
10-26 20:07:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	25	24¢	$6	0x4c3186…
10-26 20:07:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0x0eefc6…
10-26 20:07:23	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0x8201ac…
10-26 20:07:23	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0x35386d…
10-26 19:31:08	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x1af1e2…
10-26 18:53:35	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	60	44¢	$26	0xe2c00e…
10-26 18:45:45	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe34315…
10-26 18:44:42	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	17	44¢	$7	0x79dfca…
10-26 18:44:41	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xad4336…
10-26 18:03:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x6ec3ef…
10-26 18:01:03	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	Yes	BUY	33	29¢	$10	0x33bbc1…
10-26 18:00:35	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	454	38¢	$173	0xda93f8…
10-26 16:53:30	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	75	89¢	$67	0xf1f0fc…
10-26 16:53:30	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	15	89¢	$14	0xe83ef5…
10-26 16:53:02	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x764483…
10-26 16:53:02	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x563450…
10-26 16:53:02	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x54fb09…