Monthly-Fork — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.74K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.3%

Resolved

3,230

Trades

6,417

lifetime

Volume

$396.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-01 08:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 206 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 61% +$4,893

Other

2% 41% -$25

Politics

0% 33% +$206

Sports

0% 40% -$335

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-16 05:00 UTC	9	$1.5K	1,673	1,598	+75	Up	+$42	02-16 08:55
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-09 13:00 UTC	4	$1.2K	785	785	+0	Up	+$225	02-09 16:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 05:00 UTC	6	$1.2K	1,102	1,085	+17	Down	+$99	01-11 05:15
bitcoin up or down january 11 12am et	5	$1.2K	906	906	+0	Down	-$121	01-11 06:02
bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	4	$1.2K	698	698	+0	Up	+$132	02-18 12:57
bitcoin up or down february 14 8am et	4	$1.1K	782	782	+0	Down	+$195	02-14 14:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$1.1K	917	917	+0	Yes	+$225	02-28 22:41
ethereum up or down february 9 3pm et	4	$1.1K	791	791	+0	Down	+$58	02-09 21:49
bitcoin up or down february 14 9am et	4	$1.0K	738	738	+0	Up	+$149	02-14 14:52
bitcoin up or down february 13 3pm et	4	$1.0K	691	691	+0	Down	+$176	02-13 20:53
bitcoin up or down on february 27	4	$957	777	777	+0	Down	+$206	02-27 16:28
bitcoin up or down january 10 10pm et	6	$941	994	994	+0	Up	-$32	01-11 03:51
bitcoin up or down february 13 2pm et	4	$927	601	601	+0	Down	+$127	02-13 19:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 18:45 UTC	4	$915	669	660	+9	Down	+$149	02-13 19:01
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-10 01:00 UTC	4	$898	621	621	+0	Down	+$9	02-10 04:42
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-09 09:00 UTC	2	$878	602	602	+0	Down	+$229	02-09 11:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 06:45 UTC	4	$859	677	667	+10	Down	+$153	02-18 06:55
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-09 05:00 UTC	2	$809	581	581	+0	Down	+$216	02-09 07:46
bitcoin up or down february 9 3am et	2	$808	596	596	+0	Down	+$211	02-09 08:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 15:30 UTC	9	$807	754	743	+11	Up	-$2	01-10 15:41
bitcoin up or down february 9 7am et	2	$794	537	537	+0	Up	+$201	02-09 12:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 19:15 UTC	2	$756	454	449	+5	Down	+$144	01-09 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 06:30 UTC	4	$749	528	522	+6	Up	+$113	02-18 06:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 17:45 UTC	2	$749	463	458	+5	Down	+$91	02-09 17:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 18:15 UTC	5	$748	901	361	+540	Down	-$99	01-04 18:29
ethereum up or down february 9 10pm et	5	$746	677	677	+0	Down	-$105	02-10 03:21
bitcoin up or down february 14 12pm et	4	$744	492	492	+0	Down	+$60	02-14 17:59
bitcoin up or down february 21 6pm et	9	$730	636	636	+0	Up	+$58	02-21 23:41
bitcoin up or down february 14 7am et	4	$717	471	471	+0	Down	+$216	02-14 12:47
bitcoin up or down february 14 12am et	4	$713	937	937	+0	Down	+$180	02-14 05:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 08:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0x554139…
11-01 07:58:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	21	36¢	$7	0xb51b11…
11-01 06:46:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x0a1033…
10-30 16:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xacc661…
10-30 11:37:04	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x218dc0…
10-30 10:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0x8de63b…
10-30 10:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0xdc2177…
10-30 10:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0xbc2c78…
10-30 10:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	39	62¢	$24	0x946580…
10-30 10:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	39	34¢	$14	0xcbb39f…
10-30 10:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0xdf96fe…
10-30 10:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xedebb0…
10-30 10:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	34	27¢	$9	0x472064…
10-30 10:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	34	52¢	$18	0xeb9413…
10-30 10:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	80	24¢	$19	0x689497…
10-30 09:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	80	53¢	$42	0x9b4eca…
10-30 09:49:43	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	BUY	140	18¢	$25	0x907be6…
10-30 09:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0xc649fc…
10-30 09:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x506ee3…
10-30 08:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	99	51¢	$51	0xc4910f…
10-30 08:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	130	42¢	$55	0x94aa12…
10-30 08:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	130	53¢	$68	0xbaffe4…
10-30 08:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	110	66¢	$73	0xa28c50…
10-30 08:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	110	55¢	$61	0xe33825…
10-30 08:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	148	43¢	$64	0x1ab65a…
10-30 07:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	148	53¢	$79	0x4797e7…
10-30 07:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	82	99¢	$82	0x3ddfc8…
10-30 06:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	82	51¢	$42	0x399898…
10-30 06:57:43	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	244	19¢	$46	0xfa8333…
10-29 23:25:52	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	BUY	244	22¢	$54	0xcf5abe…
10-29 21:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xd71af7…
10-29 20:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xc59a00…
10-29 15:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	105	51¢	$53	0x2373d6…
10-29 15:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x57976a…
10-29 15:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	97	21¢	$20	0xeac9eb…
10-29 14:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	97	52¢	$50	0xf54112…
10-29 13:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x6d11f8…
10-29 13:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	57	76¢	$43	0xc201cc…
10-29 13:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	49	80¢	$39	0x36e146…
10-29 12:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0xd0667a…
10-29 12:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xd6a9c2…
10-29 12:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x616b9f…
10-29 11:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	191	51¢	$98	0x731f4f…
10-29 11:54:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	114	90¢	$102	0x94258e…
10-29 11:13:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	114	74¢	$84	0xe29c08…
10-29 11:12:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	89	97¢	$86	0x0ebc94…
10-29 10:57:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	89	53¢	$47	0x334d56…
10-29 10:56:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	155	95¢	$148	0xca8f19…
10-29 09:30:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	155	78¢	$121	0x2d0806…
10-23 13:30:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	116	70¢	$81	0x12564b…
10-23 13:03:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	116	49¢	$57	0x63970c…
10-23 09:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0xf223ef…
10-23 09:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	13	73¢	$9	0x53f263…
10-23 09:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x86ee98…
10-23 09:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	44	16¢	$7	0xc33afe…
10-23 09:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	44	64¢	$28	0x5e32f4…
10-22 19:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	96	47¢	$45	0x2ee701…
10-22 19:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xbf3ade…
10-22 18:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	47	60¢	$28	0xeb711b…
10-22 15:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x626269…
10-22 15:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xed11ea…
10-22 15:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfd7552…
10-22 14:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x33e237…
10-22 14:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	39	7¢	$3	0x2344d2…
10-22 14:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0x026f6b…
10-22 13:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x921981…
10-22 13:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xc968f7…
10-22 13:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x0e5e60…
10-22 13:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0xf5d521…
10-22 13:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0x827ddc…
10-22 12:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x94f2f7…
10-22 12:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xb7897b…
10-22 11:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa4feec…
10-22 11:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	28	91¢	$26	0xd546bc…
10-22 11:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x3973d3…
10-22 11:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	40	54¢	$21	0x4ece8b…
10-22 11:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x1d0801…
10-22 11:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	25	79¢	$20	0xe578b8…
10-22 11:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x5e665b…
10-22 11:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	64	22¢	$14	0x2b3ae0…
10-22 11:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	64	46¢	$29	0x168a6f…
10-22 10:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	56	95¢	$53	0x39f6a5…
10-22 10:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	56	84¢	$47	0xfd5586…
10-22 10:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	65	74¢	$48	0x402c17…
10-22 10:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0x392c39…
10-22 09:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	51¢	$18	0xcc1879…
10-22 09:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x08e9ae…
10-22 09:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xea9819…
10-22 08:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	53¢	$19	0xcbd737…
10-22 08:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	34¢	$13	0x2950d4…
10-22 07:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x1e8a6f…
10-21 20:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x6c3b85…
10-21 20:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	62	31¢	$19	0x81661c…
10-21 19:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	51¢	$32	0xcab316…
10-21 19:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	47	71¢	$33	0xe45d21…
10-21 19:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	47	71¢	$33	0x94805d…
10-21 19:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	68	50¢	$34	0xec4440…
10-21 19:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	74	94¢	$69	0x279f33…
10-21 19:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	74	52¢	$38	0xc28838…
10-21 19:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	52	78¢	$40	0x5949c8…