Optimal-Fur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.06K

Unrealized P&L

-$64

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

570

Trades

1,646

lifetime

Volume

$44.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$178

9 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 11-10 11:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Other

97% 46% -$2,269

Sports

2% 52% +$28

Politics

1% 20% +$177

Crypto

0% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 150 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Froglings	+47	$31	99¢	$46	+$15	11-10 11:22
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Group C	MOUZ NXT	+424	$111	11¢	$44	-$66	11-10 11:07
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage	ex-Zero Tenacity	+37	$26	82¢	$30	+$4	11-10 11:37
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage	Isurus	+38	$22	60¢	$23	+$1	11-10 11:37
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	+43	$35	32¢	$14	-$21	11-10 12:12
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	-25	-$12	52¢	$-13	-$1	05-16 17:31
Map Handicap: FORZE.R (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)	MOUZ NXT	+18	$10	32¢	$6	-$4	11-10 07:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-40	-$17	4¢	$-1	+$16	05-16 17:31
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	Yellow Submarine	+14	$7	0¢	$0	-$7	11-10 11:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	15	$1.1K	1,845	1,797	+48	Team Falcons	-$4	11-04 03:23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	2	$804	1,005	0	+1,005	Yes	+$201	11-04 14:12
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)	10	$781	660	660	+0	Team Falcons	-$2	11-04 03:35
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Playoffs	11	$658	1,316	0	+1,316	Betclic Apogee Esports	-$658	11-01 08:23
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	12	$650	919	0	+919	TheMongolz	-$650	11-04 01:52
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	10	$637	1,771	0	+1,771	Liquid	-$637	11-04 00:55
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-10-24?	3	$551	500	500	+0	Yes	+$251	10-24 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 17?	3	$549	318	318	+0	No	+$79	08-17 05:52
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?	3	$545	833	0	+833	No	-$545	11-05 19:52
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 15?	2	$538	338	338	+0	No	+$138	08-15 04:15
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs	8	$483	829	0	+829	DENDELE CS	+$346	11-01 19:38
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 16?	2	$470	271	271	+0	No	+$70	08-16 05:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 19?	2	$470	270	270	+0	No	+$70	08-19 06:06
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	3	$468	388	388	+0	Yes	+$268	07-12 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 18?	2	$460	263	263	+0	No	+$60	08-18 09:17
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	12	$453	1,177	0	+1,177	Heroic	-$453	11-01 20:23
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	17	$453	979	0	+979	TheMongolz	-$453	11-04 07:23
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	13	$446	770	0	+770	PARIVISION	+$324	11-02 22:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$442	344	344	+0	Yes	+$243	04-08 01:11
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 15?	2	$432	232	232	+0	No	+$32	08-16 05:44
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	3	$419	370	370	+0	Yes	+$219	07-12 03:01
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	2	$412	312	312	+0	Yes	+$212	06-30 04:08
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 17?	2	$410	215	215	+0	No	+$10	08-17 15:28
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?	8	$404	1,102	0	+1,102	No	-$404	11-05 18:58
Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)	5	$393	210	210	+0	Buriram United	+$26	11-04 14:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 16?	2	$370	233	233	+0	No	+$94	08-16 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 19?	3	$361	227	227	+0	No	-$39	08-18 12:27
Dota 2: CyberHero vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner	19	$345	217	217	+0	HULIGANI	+$90	11-04 18:40
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	10	$335	1,008	0	+1,008	PARIVISION	+$673	11-02 21:07
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 20?	2	$333	339	339	+0	Yes	-$67	08-19 23:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 12:12:42	Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xe7091b…
11-10 12:12:31	Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	26	82¢	$21	0xf5bad0…
11-10 12:12:19	Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x42191f…
11-10 11:48:37	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x1bb5f1…
11-10 11:37:39	Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage	ex-Zero Tenacity	BUY	37	71¢	$26	0xd6fb0d…
11-10 11:37:24	Counter-Strike: Isurus vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage	Isurus	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x7516fd…
11-10 11:22:04	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Froglings	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0xb683e1…
11-10 11:21:54	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Froglings	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0xfd260d…
11-10 11:07:40	Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Group C	MOUZ NXT	BUY	70	27¢	$19	0x4617b1…
11-10 10:56:15	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	LEGION	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x5df580…
11-10 10:55:58	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	LEGION	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xd04ab5…
11-10 10:55:42	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	LEGION	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0xe6d28d…
11-10 10:55:15	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x9e4392…
11-10 10:55:04	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x962bfd…
11-10 10:54:45	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	LEGION	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x7d179f…
11-10 10:45:39	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xcdcd92…
11-10 10:38:58	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x189a85…
11-10 10:28:01	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	35	70¢	$24	0x5134eb…
11-10 10:25:42	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x9883c6…
11-10 10:23:22	Counter-Strike: Isurus vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage	Isurus	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x5d0149…
11-10 10:23:12	Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Group C	MOUZ NXT	BUY	266	26¢	$69	0x4632a4…
11-10 10:22:06	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xac215e…
11-10 10:21:55	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xf9a33b…
11-10 10:21:43	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x13078a…
11-10 10:20:19	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xde8f8a…
11-10 10:20:09	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x839835…
11-10 10:18:49	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x533f76…
11-10 10:18:39	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x0f6636…
11-10 10:18:03	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xda79b5…
11-10 10:17:51	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x260817…
11-10 10:17:40	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x69948a…
11-10 10:16:37	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x3b7d14…
11-10 10:15:58	Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Group C	MOUZ NXT	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x675552…
11-10 10:07:49	Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Group C	MOUZ NXT	BUY	67	26¢	$17	0xa861a9…
11-10 09:53:34	Counter-Strike: Isurus vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage	Isurus	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x89579e…
11-10 09:37:18	Counter-Strike: Isurus vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage	Isurus	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x8579b8…
11-10 08:08:25	Counter-Strike: Isurus vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage	Isurus	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x42a2c7…
11-10 07:52:25	Map Handicap: FORZE.R (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)	MOUZ NXT	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x9fdd20…
11-10 07:07:36	Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Group C	MOUZ NXT	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x537034…
11-09 22:24:19	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	Xipto Esports	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x8b48ff…
11-09 22:05:55	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	Yellow Submarine	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x0f8bdd…
11-09 22:05:43	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	Yellow Submarine	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xb39805…
11-09 22:05:31	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	Yellow Submarine	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x9e63b7…
11-09 22:05:22	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	Yellow Submarine	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x7ae8d0…
11-09 21:46:27	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xaa46b9…
11-09 21:46:16	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x14d85b…
11-09 21:34:25	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x1de5a3…
11-09 21:34:15	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x58357e…
11-09 21:31:18	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x272213…
11-09 21:31:07	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0xa11e30…
11-09 21:26:33	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xae2b48…
11-09 21:26:22	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x2b0a3f…
11-09 21:26:09	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	18	63¢	$12	0x305937…
11-09 21:25:03	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	38	68¢	$26	0x312189…
11-09 20:47:52	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xe6969a…
11-09 20:44:39	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xad2783…
11-09 20:41:25	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x51e176…
11-09 20:40:49	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0x9a2a56…
11-09 20:39:42	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	31	63¢	$19	0xd51884…
11-09 20:39:25	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	47	65¢	$30	0x3cc584…
11-09 20:35:57	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0x8cc88a…
11-09 20:33:03	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x34f9cf…
11-09 20:26:03	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xb9e9db…
11-09 20:25:52	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xa0cd07…
11-09 19:53:24	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner	Yellow Submarine	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x5434ec…
11-09 19:53:12	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner	Yellow Submarine	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0xf49732…
11-09 19:53:01	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner	Yellow Submarine	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0xb83970…
11-09 19:52:52	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner	Yellow Submarine	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x44c7fb…
11-09 19:48:15	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner	Xipto Esports	BUY	21	74¢	$15	0x7c670c…
11-09 19:31:31	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x7be156…
11-09 18:14:54	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	Ka4kanarskie cyxariki	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xbe04ae…
11-09 18:14:40	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	Ka4kanarskie cyxariki	BUY	21	69¢	$14	0x046331…
11-09 17:23:48	Dota 2: Froglings vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	PlayTime	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x4ee29a…
11-09 17:18:13	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki - Game 2 Winner	Ka4kanarskie cyxariki	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0xf8878c…
11-09 17:04:55	Dota 2: Froglings vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Froglings	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x5195fc…
11-09 17:04:45	Dota 2: Froglings vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Froglings	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x7414d0…
11-09 17:04:33	Dota 2: Froglings vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Froglings	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x557951…
11-09 17:04:22	Dota 2: Froglings vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Froglings	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x45010d…
11-09 17:04:10	Dota 2: Froglings vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Froglings	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7075fb…
11-09 17:01:58	Dota 2: Froglings vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Froglings	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xe483ff…
11-09 17:01:46	Dota 2: Froglings vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Froglings	BUY	14	68¢	$9	0xaf8b24…
11-09 16:47:22	Dota 2: Froglings vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Froglings	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x6ea334…
11-09 16:47:09	Dota 2: Froglings vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Froglings	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xce39d3…
11-09 16:22:52	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki - Game 1 Winner	Ka4kanarskie cyxariki	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x9c6ff3…
11-09 16:19:54	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki - Game 1 Winner	Ka4kanarskie cyxariki	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0x65752c…
11-09 13:36:51	Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Alliance (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #11 Playoffs	FOKUS	BUY	151	54¢	$81	0xca1922…
11-09 13:08:01	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x4ec370…
11-09 12:55:31	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	Xipto Esports	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x50d0e8…
11-09 12:54:21	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Power Rangers	BUY	64	67¢	$43	0x344e38…
11-09 12:52:00	Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Ryvex (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Play-In	Honvéd	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xf4d42a…
11-09 12:48:54	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Power Rangers	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x9d11fc…
11-09 12:27:21	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Power Rangers	SELL	24	78¢	$19	0xae5908…
11-09 12:27:10	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Power Rangers	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0x38e0bb…
11-09 12:19:16	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	Xipto Esports	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x9470aa…
11-09 12:04:03	Dota 2: Froglings vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner	Froglings	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0xff5fee…
11-09 12:03:52	Dota 2: Froglings vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner	Froglings	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x08f395…
11-09 11:52:48	Dota 2: Froglings vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner	Froglings	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x004e51…
11-09 11:52:37	Dota 2: Froglings vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner	Froglings	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xc34671…
11-09 11:52:27	Dota 2: Froglings vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner	Froglings	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x746a7c…
11-09 11:50:54	Dota 2: Froglings vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner	Froglings	BUY	18	74¢	$14	0xd8d223…