Reliable-Sombrero — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

1,449

Trades

1,650

lifetime

Volume

$1.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 10-31 04:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 64% -$67

Other

10% 60% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	-$5	10-29 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$5	14	0	+14	Down	-$5	10-29 14:02
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	10-30 14:49
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	10-25 08:41
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	10-31 04:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Down	-$5	10-29 14:21
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:00 UTC	2	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	04-24 04:03
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$4	10	0	+10	Up	-$4	10-31 04:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 22:50 UTC	3	$4	3	2	+1	Up	+$0	04-22 22:54
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 12:30 UTC	2	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	04-04 12:42
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 06:30 UTC	2	$4	5	0	+5	Up	-$4	04-04 06:42
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$4	7	7	+0	Down	-$4	10-25 08:59
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 00:40 UTC	2	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	04-24 00:44
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 20:00 UTC	2	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	04-23 20:03
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 06:30 UTC	2	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	04-24 06:33
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 19:35 UTC	2	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	04-23 19:39
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 06:30 UTC	2	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	04-24 06:33
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:55 UTC	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	-$1	10-16 16:59
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 07:40 UTC	2	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	04-22 07:43
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 09:40 UTC	2	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	04-22 09:43
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$3	6	6	+0	Down	-$3	10-29 07:04
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 16:40 UTC	2	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	04-20 16:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 10:10 UTC	2	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	04-22 10:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 01:25 UTC	2	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	04-23 01:29
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$3	9	0	+9	Down	-$3	10-25 08:31
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 19:55 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	04-20 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	10-29 06:51
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 07:40 UTC	2	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	04-21 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:05 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	04-14 14:09
BNB Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$3	9	0	+9	Down	-$3	10-29 07:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 04:06:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3782b2…
10-31 04:06:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x33c3b4…
10-30 16:26:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x6313a2…
10-30 16:06:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5f001d…
10-30 15:36:06	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf0b3c3…
10-30 15:31:01	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xc294fb…
10-30 14:50:58	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x6232a8…
10-30 14:49:21	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0x433949…
10-30 14:46:04	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x1d0358…
10-30 14:17:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf59e0b…
10-30 14:06:00	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x5e54fd…
10-29 14:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0xc0a7ae…
10-29 14:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf6890b…
10-29 14:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x1cf389…
10-29 09:26:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x9fed8f…
10-29 07:06:19	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xfa7ac4…
10-29 07:04:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x3aab5b…
10-29 07:01:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xf8c321…
10-29 06:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xaa3824…
10-29 06:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$3	0xe0390a…
10-28 23:54:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x6596b9…
10-28 23:51:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x28cb71…
10-28 23:46:08	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x96b75f…
10-28 23:41:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$2	0x3ec6ab…
10-28 23:11:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x54b16c…
10-28 22:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0xdd7f01…
10-28 21:56:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xae5c0f…
10-28 19:51:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x7c6a8d…
10-28 19:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x382448…
10-28 19:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x7aed59…
10-28 16:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xeb9b7a…
10-28 16:19:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x9009b5…
10-28 16:16:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0xdfa88a…
10-28 16:06:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x97b226…
10-28 15:26:16	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x5d0823…
10-28 14:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3d19cc…
10-26 08:07:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0xc260d8…
10-26 05:06:48	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xac7e46…
10-25 08:59:21	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x76349f…
10-25 08:56:21	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x1cff3a…
10-25 08:41:21	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf0799a…
10-25 08:41:21	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x47522a…
10-25 08:31:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x0c240a…
10-25 02:16:14	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x96a1ed…
10-25 02:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa9ece2…
10-25 01:51:09	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x81e466…
10-25 01:36:12	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdceb74…
10-25 01:26:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb27acb…
10-25 01:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4f3d43…
10-25 00:56:09	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2f1616…
10-25 00:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x2bd0cc…
10-24 23:21:09	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x425c0a…
10-24 23:11:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x836a0e…
10-24 23:01:08	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x77339c…
10-24 22:51:08	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x65c26d…
10-24 22:41:08	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2eccef…
10-24 22:26:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x66f19a…
10-24 22:16:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb20dc4…
10-24 21:56:06	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe3bdfd…
10-24 21:36:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbef205…
10-24 21:31:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x56b935…
10-24 21:16:09	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xdaa90f…
10-24 21:06:11	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1b941d…
10-24 16:21:09	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb31466…
10-24 13:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xbae803…
10-24 10:49:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x44473e…
10-24 10:46:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6f1bc9…
10-24 10:31:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0acb89…
10-24 01:11:08	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x492b8d…
10-24 00:51:18	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc5b68a…
10-24 00:51:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x972f4a…
10-24 00:16:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7ae43f…
10-24 00:11:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0d6d98…
10-24 00:11:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x59cb41…
10-24 00:06:11	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x95e26a…
10-23 23:51:08	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x793700…
10-23 23:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x9df89f…
10-23 23:16:11	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x8d6e30…
10-23 23:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x4793d9…
10-23 23:01:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x747e6e…
10-23 21:36:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc7b377…
10-23 21:11:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xb87212…
10-23 21:11:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbb639f…
10-23 19:46:23	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x3f0dd8…
10-23 18:21:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdf249d…
10-23 17:29:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xd9bbda…
10-23 17:26:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe3942a…
10-23 17:11:05	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x526d93…
10-23 17:11:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb22903…
10-23 16:41:09	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x56a7aa…
10-23 16:36:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x70dc9e…
10-23 16:36:05	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x86c01d…
10-23 16:16:06	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x43ef1a…
10-23 14:31:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc7ee9c…
10-23 14:31:06	BNB Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x59553d…
10-23 13:36:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1488ad…
10-23 13:26:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1fd52a…
10-23 12:26:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x9354c5…
10-23 12:11:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb5c6ed…
10-23 11:46:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x999e87…